THE FUTURE OF EDUCATION MAYBE

1
THE FUTURE OF EDUCATION MAYBE
2
We are not civilized. . . Yet.

• We say of the Stone Age man of 500,000 years ago,
  He has a long way to go to become civilized.
• What will humans 500,000 years from now say of
  us?
• (Based on Arthur Brisbane writings.)

3
We are only beginning mental life.
4
GOOD-BYE JOBS?

• In 100 years, will people look back and wonder
  why we sold ourselves by the hour?
• Will we say of jobs what was said of
  slaverydehumanizing.

5
A CHANGE MODEL

• Settling the old west (source Joe
  Sensenbrenner)

6
THE EXPLORER
7
PIONEERS
8
SETTLERS
9
OLD WORLDERS
10
Which is larger 2009 or 2008?
11
2009 wins!

• (Source, WICHE)

12
C2C beats P2P

• I wonder how many computer-to-computer
  communications occur each minute, each
  nanosecond?

13
Goodbye land line phones.

• From 1998 to 2003, residential long-distance
  calls fell from 97 to 52 minutes monthly while
  wireless grew to 34 minutes from four
  minutes--Robert Rosenberg, president, Insight
  Research Corp.
• One drawback most home alarm systems require a
  landline. (Get a BIG dog!).

14
88,000 Hallmark cards for people 100 or
older--2005

• 100,000 to 1,000,000
• 5 million to 30 million
• All by 2050

15

• Who are the Millenials and what do they want?
• (Also known a GenY, NetG, Nexters, etc.)

16
BACK TO PHONES

• Minnelials wonder why people own land line
  phones.
• They take their phones with them, probably for
  life.

17
NEW TERM

• Thumb jockey

18
MULTI-TASKING MANIA

• Granddaughter Laurianne, age 10, watching a
  movie, playing a game, watching her Mom and
  Sister play a game on T.V., and taking part in a
  conversation with me.
• Normal life for her!

19
DONT EXPECT HER

• To want to do this

20
The business of buildings.

21
WHAT WORKERS WANT

• Flex time
• More training
• Fewer cubicles
• More technology access
• Better, different benefits
• More pay (of course)
• Source Fortune, Jan, 2007

22
Whats going to happen to all the school buses?
23
GOOD NEWS?

• Check out HHO gas
• Aquygen Gas
• (Probably a scam, but maybe not. Get ready for
  more items like this as people get more
  frustrated over fuel prices.)

24
Can you outsource purchasing to a foreign
country?
25
It is makes money, it can be outsourced.
26
Certification for what?
27
Home schooling numbers

• 1.1 million home schooled, about 2.2 of the
  total school-age population William Bainbridge,
  Feb, 2006.

28
HAS THE WAR STARTED?

• The California Court of Appeals, on February 28,
  2008, essentially declared that homeschooling is
  illegal in California and no constitutional right
  to its practice exists in either California or
  the United States at large. (Source
  www.nheri.org)
• Oops.

29
WHO IS THIS? Call 1-866-2eLearn
30
BAD NEWS

• We conclude that there will continue to be a
  large state role in education funding, but
  demographic changes may lead to reduced political
  support for schools in the future. (source
  www.urban.org)
• Why? Ageing American population.

31
Do have-not kids become have-not adults?
32
The new illiteracytalking computers.
33
What is Wetware?
34

• What I want,
• where I want it,
• when I want it,
• without it failing.

35
TALK ABOUT HIGH TECH!

• You teaching this in art class yet?
• (laser art on egg shell)

36
EDUTOPIA MAGAZINE

• George Lucas Foundation publication
• If you are not getting this, you are not even
  close to being current.
• www.edutopia.org
• You get a free subscription.

37
The digital child.
38
REMEMBER FUTURE SHOCK?

• Alvin Toffler (and his wife) respond to this
  question You've been writing about our
  educational system for decades. What's the most
  pressing need in public education right now?
• Their answer Shut down the public education
  system.

39
THEIR SOURCE?

• Bill Gates (remember him? Hes the one in the
  lower left)

40
BILL GATES QUOTE

• "We don't need to reform the system we need to
  replace the system."
• Of course, youve heard this all your career.
  And whats happened? Incremental change.
  Oh,well. . .
• Continuous improvement counts.

41
3 POSSIBLE FUTURES

• Extreme constraintpeak oil scenario
• Globalization runs wildnear future
• Abundance and automation abound

42
Want something to really worry about?

• Losing the nematodes

43
YOU TELL ME

• What will change the next 5 years in
• Office Administration
• Staff Development
• Maintenance
• Transportation
• Technology
• Pay and Benefits
• Purchasing
• Other

44
So, what do you think?

• The future of education is. . . .