Title: Campaign Finance
1Campaign Finance
2Why is this stuff so important?
- Politicians do notice campaign contributors
- That doesnt mean it buys votes, but it does buy
access and the opportunity to persuade an elected
politician to see things your way
3How to get attention
- Top Verizon executives, including CEO Ivan
Seidenberg and President Dennis Strigl, wrote
personal checks to Rockefeller totaling 23,500
in March, 2007. Prior to that apparently
coordinated flurry of 29 donations, only one of
those executives had ever donated to Rockefeller
(at least while working for Verizon).
4If you start looking for these patterns, youll
find them
- This is Rep. Tim Holden, hardly a household name.
- Holden is a Democrat, and represents 17th
congressional district which covers a large chunk
of Central Pennsylvania
5Here are some of Holdens top donors
- Lets take a look at AFSCME
- This is very simple Just Google Tim Holden and
AFSCME
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7- Three of the twelve bills and the only resolution
sponsored by Rep. Tim Holden concerned prisons
8In fairness to Holden
- Pennsylvania has a burgeoning prison population
- There is one federal prison in his district
(Schuylkill FCI, which houses about 300
prisoners) - There are most likely county jails as well
- Not clear to me that any of these bills are
particularly bad in and of themselves (though one
could argue that private companies should be able
to bid on prison business) - But why are prisons guards and private prisons a
priority for Holden, as opposed to other
businesses in his district?
9Money might not buy votes, but you can discern
patterns from who gives to whom
10Two different perspectives on this
- Money is inconsequential
- Contributors give to lawmakers because the of the
members positions (Phil Gramm and NRA)
- Money is decisive
- Presidential campaigns are auctions Congress is
a big flea market with all sorts of bric-a-brac
policies on sale
Truth is always somewhere along the continuum
between the two
11- When elected officials solicit these
contributions from interests who almost always
have matters pending before the Congress, they
become at least psychologically beholden to those
who contribute. It is inevitable and
unavoidable. - --William Brock, former Senator, former RNC
Chairman
12That doesnt mean
- That all politicians are bought and paid for
- Very few make up bribe menus like the one to the
right - But politicians tend to grant more access to big
contributors than non contributors, and their
views and actions sometimes reflect this
13- Bank of America increased the interest rate on
Bonnie Rushings credit card from 8 percent to 23
percent. - Sen. Thomas Carper But let me just ask you --
put yourself in the shoes of the credit card
company
14- And how do the credit card companies feel about
Sen. Tom Carper? - Rushings monthly interest bill went from about
150 to 674 - Small change to a U.S. Senators campaign
committee
15Its not particularly hard to find these
patterns.
16So before we go further into the fun stuff, lets
look at the rules
- Federal elections have one set of rules (and
multiple sets of resources for following the
money) - State elections have 50 separate sets or rules
(one for each state) - Some local jurisdictions have rules specific to
them (sometimes dependent on state law)
17- Corporate and labor contributions are banned,
except when they arent - Colorado Springs is the largest home rule
municipality in Colorado
18Lets focus on Federal rules. Individuals can
donate
- (inflation adjusted)
- Up to 2,300 per election to a candidate, that
is, 2,300 for the primary, 2,300 for the
general - 28,500 to a national party committee (RNC, DCCC,
etc.) - Up to 108,200 every two years to PACs, parties,
candidates
- (not inflation adjusted)
- Up to 5,000 to a Political Action Committee per
year - 10,000 to state, district local party
committee (for use in federal elections, that is)
(combined limit)
19but potentially a lot more if they have a lot of
friends
- Bundlers put together networks of donors, all of
whom can write 500, 1,000 or 2,300 checks to
campaigns - They are much more important to presidential
campaigns, but members of Congress also rely on
them
20Individuals can also give unlimited amounts to
section 527 committees
- These are tracked not by the Federal Election
Commission, but by the IRS - Federal candidates cant coordinate with or talk
to 527s - 527s are somewhat limited in how they can spend
money on the federal level
21 and 501(c)4 committees
- Dont have to disclose donors
- Also somewhat limited in their federal activities
22Big trend in 2008?
- Rise of the small donor
- Contributions under 200 dont have to be
itemized - Campaigns must still keep donor lists for small
donors, subject to FEC audit
23Bigger trends in 2008?
- Bundlers are bigger than ever
- They operate at the presidential, congressional
and state level (probably local too) - No requirement that their identities be
disclosed, except
24- As part of the Honest Leadership and Open
Government Act of 2007 (sonorously called HLOGA
by DC insiders) - Lobbyists must disclose the bundling of
contributions they do for federal candidates - Applies to individuals they bring to fundraisers,
PACs they control or persuade to contribute - All bundles over 15,000 would have to be
reported.
25but
- For most of 2008, the FEC had only two
commissioners, rather than six - Without a quorum, the FEC couldnt adopt the new
rules to disclose lobbyist bundlers - Maybe for 2010
26- Thats a shame
- Every week, hundreds of fliers like this one go
out to lobbying offices, trade groups and big
donors in the D.C. area - Who will we be joining?
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28Three out of four are currently registered
lobbyists
29What a corporation or labor union can do
- Form (and pay expenses of) a political action
committee - PACs can contribute 5,000 per election (i.e.,
primary, general) to a candidate 15,000 to a
national party committee 5,000 to state,
district or local parties per year 5,000 to
other PACs per year - Funds must be segregated from other corporate
money
30Note this language
- Where are corporations like ExxonMobil and
Imperial Oil, and labor unions as well, making
contributions?
31They can make unlimited contributions to 527s
32to 501(c)4 organizations
33and to some state level parties for non-federal
purposes
34Number of PACs over the years
35Main recipients of PAC cash Incumbent members of
Congress
- Rep. Tim Holden is getting 73 of his funds from
PACs - Thats extreme, but most incumbents get hefty
wads of PAC cash, unless they make a point of not
accepting such money
36Not as big a deal for presidential candidates
- Clinton 1, McCain 1, Obama 0 (250!)
- No need to report it when a presidential
candidate says hes refusing to take PAC
moneyhes also not taking green cheese from the
moon, but you wouldnt report that
37Relatively simple so far
- But what makes this stuff complicated is
- What each of these groups is and isnt allowed to
do under Federal Election Law - How these groups interact (and some arent
allowed to interact at all) - Heres a hypothetical situation A
Republican-leaning 527 runs an ad contrasting
heroic, all-American John McCain with Barack
Hussein Obama (heyisnt that a Muslim name?)
38- McCain already repudiated a talk show host who
did something similar at a campaign event - So lets say he tells the 527 to knock it off,
that he hates their ad and its not helping him - Has he violated campaign finance laws?
39- Candidates for federal office can't have their
own 527 committees (up til 2002 they could) - They can't raise money for a 527 committee
- And they can't coordinate activities with a 527
committee - Giving explicit instructions to a 527 Don't air
this adcould be construed as coordination
40One complication is federalism
- On one election day we have...
- Federal elections
- State elections (for some states)
- Local elections
- Different actors raising money according to
different rules want to use it to influence some
or all of those races
41- Let's say a state party wants to run an ad with a
popular U.S. Senator up for reelection, shaking
hands with a bunch of candidates for the state
legislature. - The State Party's tagline, under the photo, is,
Vote Democratic on Nov. 4 - Do they need to use federal money (i.e., hard
dollars), or can they use money raised under more
permissive state rules (i.e., from corporate or
union sources)? - Express advocacy rules follow
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43In practice, how effective are these regulations?
44Not very
- 527s fined two years after the fact for not
filing with FEC as political committees
45Parties, 527s, nonprofits and other groups also
do get out the vote efforts
- Remember our ballot
- You can use 527 money to register voters, state
party money to get out the vote, etc. etc. - GOTV efforts can be much more permissibly funded
than advertising efforts
46The Landscape in 2008
- Dems with a big party lead for House and Senate
- GOP has a big lead for presidential
- Limitations on coordinated spending
47527s
48501(c)4s
49Presidential campaigns
50- In 2006, McCain and other Republicans tried to
amend BCRA to allow political parties to
coordinate with candidates - They failed
51Congressional campaigns
- Lots of open seats due to retiring incumbents
(Republicans mostly) - Where are the challengers getting their money
from?
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53And come January 2009
- What will those interests be asking for?