A New Obama Maritime Strategy?

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A New Obama Maritime Strategy?
Prof Tom Fedyszyn
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National Strategy and the Military
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• Strategic Direction
• Press Conference March 24
• Jobs 1,2,3 fix economy
• Budget priorities
• Health care
• Education
• Energy/environment
• Reduce the deficit

The state of the economy calls for bold and
swift action and we will act Obama
Inauguration Speech Jan 20,2009
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Obama Package
Stimulus 787 billion
Banking industry 1 trillion
Infrastructure shovel ready
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Strategic Estimate Principal Global threat is
Economic

• The global economic crisis will have a
  destabilizing impact on allies and adversaries
  alike including the likely decreased ability of
  our allies to meet their defense and humanitarian
  obligations
• Dennis C. Blair
• Director of National Intelligence

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Gates Plays down Russia, China Threats
Russias military is actually heading for a
downsizing
Optimistic that diplomacy will improve relations
with China March 18,2009
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Defense Strategic Concepts

• Defense of homeland and citizens
• A friend of each nation need greater cooperation
  and understanding
• Power alone does not protect power grows through
  its prudent use
• Usher in a new era of peace through prosperity

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Obama On Defense

• the days of giving defense contractors a blank
  check are over
• review all contracts that are wasteful,
  inefficient or not otherwise likely to meet
  agency goals
• quit investing in weapon systems developed for
  the Cold War

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Worlds Top Ten Defense Budgets
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U.S. Defense Spending (current dollars)
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(No Transcript)
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Federal Discretionary Budget
Obama to JCS Cut your 2010 request by 55B
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Summary

• Domestic issues prevail most important is
  economic crisis

• Most likely cause of global instability is
  economic

• Defense budgets are huge, have grown and have
  much waste

• Huge deficits on horizon

• Defense should be reduced and used as a tool to
  stimulate global economy

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(No Transcript)
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ME ?
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SecDef Discussing the Navy
The U.S. Navy is larger than the next 13 navies
combined, and 11 of them are allies.
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Maritime Strategic Imperatives
The bottom egg is new
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Whats New in this Strategy?

• Preventing War is as important as Winning Wars
• Raises the importance of cooperative maritime
  relationships as the basis for global maritime
  security.
• Elevates Maritime Security and Humanitarian
  Assistance Disaster Relief to core elements of
  maritime power.

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I like what Im hearing the sea services telling
me !

• So you can ensure trade, support allies, reduce
  human suffering, and reduce instability due to
  the economic crisis?

Show me the concepts and capabilities!
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Elements of Maritime Power Maritime Security

• Interdiction operations
• Counter-piracy counter-trafficking
• Building partnership capacity

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Global Maritime Traffic Flow
Should the flag follow the trade?
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Countering Maritime Piracy
Gulf of Aden
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Principal Deployment Patterns?
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Maritime Domain Awareness

• Understanding of anything associated with the
  global maritime domain that could impact the
  security, safety, economy, or environment of the
  United States.

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Maritime Security Africa Partnership Station

• Assist African countries develop their own
  capabilities and proficiencies in areas like
  Maritime Interdiction Operations, Search and
  Rescue Operations, counterterrorism, and illegal
  fishing
• Maritime support platform for humanitarian
  assistance projects in eight countries

"It is all about building the capacity of our
African partners to be able to attend to their
own security needs." VADM Moeller, AFRICOM
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Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Response

• USNS Comfort conducts 4-month humanitarian
  mission in Latin America
• IGOs, NGOs, Intl militaries support

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Thousand Ship Navy Becomes Global Maritime
Partnership (GMP)

• Increase the number of responders capable of
  ensuring maritime security
• Increase the number of sensors available to
  monitor security in the maritime domain

• Not a thousand gray hulls flying the American flag

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GMP in ActionTsunami Relief
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GMP in Action
Building the Iraqi Navy at Umm Qasr
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Todays Maritime Strategy Bottom egg Obama
Direction

• Greatest threat to world instability is economic
  recession
• Need for U.S. to cooperate and build partnerships
• World trade is cornerstone of strong economy
• U.S. provides strong moral leadership
• Less implied concern over international power
  rivalries

• Maritime security
• Maintenance of global commons
• Promotion of free trade
• Building partnerships
• Anti-piracy
• Humanitarian assistance

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Did I mention the budget reductions for platforms
tied to the Cold War, useful primarily for major
combat operations at sea against a major
power? Sorry.
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The Navys minimum objective is 313 ships
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Todays Plan for the Next Navy
DD(X)
14.4B/yr w/o cost growth
MPF(F)
LCS
SSN 774
CVN-21
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In Search of 313
We are on a bad glide slope. The money is not
there, by 5-6 billion a year.
CRS projects an annual deficit of 10-12 billion
Senator Ike Skelton D-MO
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YES!!
Lockheeds USS Freedom commissioned in Milwaukee
November 8,2008
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DDG -1000 Zumwalt Class
NO !!!

• Small Crew
• More guns
• More stealth

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Gerald Ford Class CVN 78 Navy awards 5.1
Billion contract Sep 08
NO !!!

• Setback island
• Ropeless elevators
• Electric catapults
• Electric drive

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MDA Sensors and Platforms

• WMD portable and stand-off detection capabilities
• Coastal surveillance
• Shore-based
• Airborne
• Buoys and offshore platforms
• Open source (AIS)
• Acoustic identification

YES !!!
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Navy Initiatives in Support

• RIVRON 3 completes 348 combat missions in the
  Euphrates River (1 Dec 2008)
• Two LANTFLT cruisers and one destroyer get
  Maritime ballistic Missile Defense programs and
  are available for deployment (7 January 2009)
• USS Mahan deploys unmanned aerial vehicle
  capability in support of TF-151 counter-piracy
  operations on the Gulf of Aden (24 February 2009)

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Public Affairs in Support

• Of the top 10 daily stories in the daily Chief of
  Navy Information (CHINFO) Newsletter between
  December 2008 and March 2009, 46 have been
  related to either maritime security or
  humanitarian assistance/disaster response.

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Obama Maritime Strategy ?

• Advance the prosperity and security of our nation
• Join with like-minded nations to protect and
  sustain the global inter-connected system
  through which we prosper
• Work with partners around the world to prevent
  war
• Protect the homeland and the American way of life

Foreword to A Cooperative Strategy for 21st
Century Seapower
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Executing the Maritime Strategy November 2008
Maritime Strategic Imperatives

• 13 of 15 successful BMD demonstrations

• Align Navy and USCG Maritime Domain Awareness

• Expanded international training and improved
  technology for MDA

• NGO training aboard hospital ships and large
  amphibs

• Maritime security training to countries in Gulf
  of Guinea and Caribbean Basin

• Dominance is not just about combat power

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Major Naval Combat Operations Forgotten ?

• Credible combat power in Western Pacific and
  Indian Ocean erodes
• Energy security, Iran de-emphasized
• Severe degradation anti-submarine warfare
• Allied interoperability only in rudimentary areas
• Deaf to expanded operations of Chinese and
  Russian Fleets

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Summary Only the Bottom Half of the Strategic
Egg ?

• Forces facing the Administration
• Economic crisis
• Balancing budget DoD likely bill payer
• Domestic agenda first
• Principal Threat
• Instability and terrorism due to economics
• Criterion for defense support economic growth