Metropolitan Center Poll

1
Metropolitan Center Poll

• General Obligation Bond

2
General Obligations Bond Polls

• First Poll June 13-20
• 806 county wide surveys
• Register Voters (voted in at least 1 out of the
  last 5 elections)
• 3 Margin of Error

• Second Poll July 23-25
• 408 county wide survey
• Register voter (Voted in at least 1 out of the
  last five election)
• 5 Margin or Error

3
Samples

• Gender
• 50 Male 50 Women
• Language
• 55.5 English 44.5 Spanish
• Partisanship
• 43.2 Democrats
• 41.3 Republicans
• Ethnicity
• 10 Afro-American
• 37.5 Anglo
• 40.2 Cuban
• 12.3 non-Cuban Hispanics

• Gender
• 40 Male
• 60 Women
• Language
• 52 English
• 48 Spanish
• Partisanship
• 40 Democrats
• 45.5 Republicans
• Ethnicity
• 11 Afro-American
• 31 Anglo
• 46 Cuban
• 09 Non-Cuban Hispanics

4
Miami-Dade Electorate

• Gender
• 44 Male 56 Women
• Language
• 55 English 45 Spanish
• Partisanship
• 45.2 Democrats
• 40.3 Republicans
• Ethnicity
• 18 Afro-American
• 29 Anglo
• 42.1 Cuban
• 10 non-Cuban Hispanics
• Age
• 49 of the voters over 55
• 42 of the voters between 30-54

5
Key Finding Support for GOB

• Moderate Support for the 2.7 billion GOB project
• 47.4 Support
• 38.2 Oppose
• 14.6 Undecided
• Strong Anti-Tax Sentiment
• 58.8 More likely to support GOB if existing rate
  do not go up.

• Stronger Support for General Obligation Bond
• Five out of the eight questions have over 60
  approval
• Undecided are drastically reduce
• Undecided in second poll are mostly between 3-6

6
Key Finding Strong Support for Infrastructure

• First Poll support for 225 Million in Sewers
  Projects
• More Likely 59.2 Less Likely 13.4
• Second Poll
• Sewers Flood Control
• 67.6 Support 26 Oppose
• Bridges and Public Infrastructure
• 63 Support 32.6 Oppose
• Public Safety Infrastructure
• 64 Support 30.6 Oppose
• Housing
• 68.9 Support 26.4 Oppose
• Health Care Facilities
• 70.9 Support 24.4 Oppose

7
Key Findings Weak Support for Parks

• First Poll showed Moderate Support for Spending
  320 Million on Parks and Recreation
• More Likely 48.3 Less Likely 22.7
• Second Poll showed weak support for spending 677
  Millions on Parks and Recreation
• Support 48.9 Oppose 47.7

8
Key Findings Weak Support for Museums

• 552 Million for Cultural Facilities
• 49.9 Support 45 Oppose
• Very Weak for Museum Park
• 41.7 Support 53.1 Oppose
• First Poll on Museum Park
• 39.9 More Likely 30.4 Less Likely

9
Key Findings Ethnic Breakdown

• Anglos were the less supportive of the bond
• African-Americans
• Support 60 Oppose 28.8
• Non-Cuban Hispanics
• Support 46.4 Oppose 41.1
• Cubans
• Supports 46.4 Oppose 37.8
• Anglos
• Support 45.2 Oppose 40.8

10
Key Findings More voters know less they like the
bond

• Before the Push
• Strongly support
• 4.1
• Support
• 43.3
• Oppose
• 30.9
• Strongly Oppose
• 7.3
• No Opinion
• 14.3

• After the Push
• Strongly support
• 6.1
• Support
• 40.9
• Oppose
• 28
• Strongly Oppose
• 11.7
• No Opinion
• 13.2

11
Conclusions

• Three are in trouble (parks, facilities, and
  Culture).
• Turnout in African-American community will be
  key.
• Cultural Questions have a 40 positive base
• Cultural Questions have a 43 negative base
• No Strong correlation between Questions voters
  are picking and choosing
• Five out of the Eight questions are in very good
  shape

12
Recommendations

• Organize a full fledge campaign
• Three campaigns (Spanish, English, and African
  American Turnout)
• At least one week of media
• Strong research
• Need Prominent Spoke persons
• Cuban Republican
• African-American Democrat
• Respected Non-Latin White
• Discourage Opposition
• No Mention of Bicentennial Park
• No Mention of Museum Park