Title: Model Scheme Demo
1Welcome to the ModelScheme Demonstrator. We hope
that this presentation will give you an
indication as to how First Actuarials
ModelScheme program can give you essential
guidance in the funding of your pension scheme,
whether you are a trustee, employer or other
interested party. To proceed, please choose one
of the options below
I am new to the ModelScheme Demonstrator, so will
take the full tutorial I have already used the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, and wish to go straight
into the presentation
1
2ModelScheme
- providing an insight into pension schemes and
their costs
Trustees and sponsoring employers of final salary
schemes both walk a financial tightrope, and need
a thorough understanding of their schemes
finances. However, until now, it has been both
difficult and expensive for employers to build
pension scheme costs into their overall business
plans. ModelScheme, developed by First
Actuarial, is a tool that enables employers and
trustees to model the finances of their pension
schemes under a variety of different scenarios
and thus be better informed about the financial
consequences of any proposed future
strategy. This interactive demonstration will
show you how Model Scheme can help guide you, and
prepare your scheme for the future. If at any
point you feel you want more information or need
assistance, click on the help button at the
bottom of the screen, otherwise choose Next to
continue.
2
3Why do you need ModelScheme?
ModelScheme gives you an insight into the
interrelations between all the factors working
around your scheme
- Trustee Knowledge Understanding
- The Pensions Act 2004 has made it a requirement
for Trustees to understand the laws relating to
pensions and trusts, and especially the
principles of funding occupational pension
schemes, and the principles of the investment of
scheme assets. For more information on this
subject, click here - Investment Strategy
- Clearly, it is beneficial to know more about
your schemes investments than the minimum that
the law requires. Optimising your investments
will benefit both scheme members and employers,
as benefits will be made more secure at a lower
contribution cost. But, high return investments
can also entail risks. Will your scheme be able
to react to market changes? .more - Financial Planning
- ModelScheme provides What if? analysis in real
time, which allows you to see the impact of
different funding strategies on your scheme, and
whether you will be able to manage your expenses
if financial conditions changes. .more - Benefit strategy
- Can you afford to keep your final salary scheme?
Can you afford not to? - Is closing your scheme to new entrants or future
accrual the right thing to do, or is it not the
fix its painted it to be? .more
3
4What does ModelScheme do?
- Based on actual scheme information ModelScheme
projects forward pension costs and funding levels
based on whatever set of assumptions you wish to
explore. These include - Membership changes
- Market conditions
- Modifications to the scheme including changes of
accrual and closing to new entrants. - Actuarial Assumptions, such as mortality loadings
- Expenses
- Current scheme funding levels
-
- ModelScheme produces real time outputs, to
allow you to make sound business decisions. - The following example shows how ModelScheme can
do this.
4
5Sample Scheme
- When you use ModelScheme for real, your schemes
actual membership, funding level and status are
used. For this demonstration, our sample scheme
has the following features - Closed to future accrual
- Assets at last valuation 5,500k
- Liabilities at last valuation 8,700k
- Deficit at last valuation 3,200 k
- Asset strategy 50 Equities, 50 Bonds
- Scenario Stable economy
- Rolling deficit spread method
- The graph over the page shows how we expect the
schemes membership to change over time
5
6Total Membership
350
300
250
200
Number
150
100
50
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Year
Actives
Deferreds
Pensioners
Widows
The graph above shows how each segment of the
schemes membership will alter over time as a
proportion of the whole. Note that in a closed
scheme such as this, there are no active members,
and the number of deferreds declines over time as
members age and retire. Hover your mouse over
each section of the graph for a brief explanation
6
7This graph shows how the funding level of the
scheme is expected to vary over time. The left
hand axis shows the monetary amount of the assets
and liabilities The right hand axis and yellow
line show the funding level. Notice how this
trends to 100 over time External forces work on
the financing of pension schemes all the time,
and the graph would look very different if
economic conditions change. On the next page we
show how the funding graph would appear if there
was a recession
7
8If there is an economic slump, the funding level
of the scheme is reduced considerably. The
depressed stock market restricts investment
growth, and hence the assets of the scheme. Note
also how liabilities are also constrained to a
degree, as increases in prices are also
limited. If this was your pension scheme, would
the sponsoring employer have the financial
strength to bring it back to an acceptable level
of funding in case of recession?
8
9During a period of economic boom, funding levels
increase beyond 100, thanks to buoyant
investment returns. Would the sponsoring
employer have been able to pay lower
contributions at an earlier stage if her could
have predicted the upturn. If this scheme was
open to accrual, liabilities would have increased
more due to higher wage increases. The rest of
this presentation shows you how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator and then allows you to
choose various economic and investment scenarios
to see how the funding of the scheme will be
affected.
9
10Markets The ModelScheme Demonstrator is very
easy to use. First, you decide how you wish to
model economic changes using the buttons on the
left under the heading Markets. When using the
real ModelScheme, the results from your pension
Schemes last actuarial valuation are entered,
and rolled forward to date using actual market
returns. Then a number of economic assumptions
for future are applied. In this simplified
version, the options are Boom The top button is
economic boom this assumes that the economy with
grow strongly in the future. Stable The middle
button is a reasonable halfway house. Recession C
hoosing the bottom button models recession that
the economy will slow down in the future. For
detailed information on the economic assumptions
used in this example, or assistance click on the
Help button below. Otherwise Choose Stable
10
11Next, choose the investment strategy that you
wish to explore using the buttons under the
heading Assets. Equities The top button
assumes that the scheme is invested wholly in
equities. Mixed The middle button assumes a
50/50 mix of equities and bonds Bonds The
bottom assumes that bonds are the only investment
medium Again, more information on the
assumptions used can be accessed by clicking on
the Help button below. Otherwise Choose
Mixed
11
12Once you have made your choices, the ModelScheme
Demonstrator produces a graph showing the
projected funding levels of the scheme. To view
the overall contribution required Click on the
Conts button, left.
12
13You have now completed the background section of
the ModelScheme Demonstrator. Choose restart to
view again, or Click on the Next button to
try your own combinations of economic conditions.
13
14First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
14
15First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
15
16First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
16
17First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
17
18First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
18
19First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
19
20First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
20
21First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
21
22First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
22
23First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
23
24First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
24
25First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
25
26First, please choose the economic assumption that
you wish to base the model on These are the
buttons on the left under the heading Markets
Next, pick the asset allocation strategy Click on
either Equities, Mixed or Bonds
Finally, choose the graph that you wish to
view Note that once you have made your first
illustration, you can navigate directly to any of
the others without restarting from the beginning,
for better comparisons
For full instructions about how to use the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, click on the Tutorial
button
26
27Best Case Scenario With the economy growing
strongly, returns on the equity investments are
high, and the deficit is amortized by 2008, as
the scheme reaches full funding. From this point
onwards, the rate of increase in the funding
level reduces, as the employer is able to reduce
contributions to the scheme
27
28Best Case Scenario As can be seen from the
funding graph, the deficit is completely paid off
in 2008, and strong returns on equities mean that
the employer can take a contribution holiday from
2009. In this circumstance, the employer may
consider reopening the scheme to accrual, or
offering some other replacement benefits to the
workforce.
28
29Steady Increases Over the next decade, the
funding level gradually rises to 80, as assets
grow at a faster rate than liabilities.
Requires contributions to the scheme remain
relatively steady click on Conts for an
illustration.
29
30Steady Increases The cost of the fund oscillates
slightly, but remains relatively steady at around
350k. This might represent a fairly cautious
approach to investment in times of strong
economic growth
30
31Missed Opportunity? Despite favourable
conditions, the scheme remains only 50 funded at
the end of the illustration period. Asset growth
is not enough to follow increasing liabilities,
so there is no overall improvement in schemes
health.
31
32Missed Opportunity? Contributions increase by
around a third over time, as the conservative
investment strategy fails to keep pace with the
economy. Compare this graph with those for
alternative investment strategies.
32
33Aggressive Investments The funding level of the
scheme increases gently over the whole period due
to the good investment returns, eventually
reaching over 70. Compare this result with both
the Boom and Recession scenarios.
33
34Aggressive Investments In this scenario, costs
remain relatively stable, although there is a
general increase over time. Compare this with
the costs which would be incurred if other
investment strategies are taken
34
35Par Funding remains level at around 65, not as
impressive as the returns generated by equities,
but possibly safer in the event that the economy
takes a downturn
35
36Par The contributions required grow slowly over
the period illustrated. Compare these numbers
with those found under different market
assumptions
36
37Too Cautious? By the end of the illustration
period, the funding level of the scheme is nearly
20 lower than if equities were the chosen
investments, despite additional contributions
being made by the employer. This situation may be
reversed should a recession strike however.
37
38Too Cautious? In this scenario, the employer
costs rise steadily as the return on bonds is not
enough to defray the scheme costs. Compare this
graph with the one illustrating equity
investments. Bonds are however the safe
investments should the market take a downturn.
38
39Worst Case Scenario As the recession bites, the
funding level of the scheme remains stuck below
60, despite enormous employer contributions.
(See the contribution graph!) Meanwhile, the
liabilities continue to grow, leaving both
employer and scheme in serious financial trouble.
39
40Worst Case Scenario As the markets slow, returns
on investments shrink, and costs grow steadily,
to over 1m annually in the coming decade.
Could your company survive this? Remember, this
example scheme is already closed to accrual, so
it will be difficult to control costs once they
start to grow out of control. ModelScheme allows
the risks to be assessed and prepared for before
they become realities.
40
41Hard Times Not surprisingly, the asset mix has
provided a degree of protection from the
volatility of the equity market during the
recession, but with a stronger performance by
equities in times of economic stability, is the
safe middle ground of a 50/50 mix the correct
strategy for your scheme
41
42Hard Times As can be expected, investing in mixed
assets produces a middle of the road graph part
way between equities and bonds. Remember, the
Demonstrator is a much simplified version of
ModelScheme. Your scheme may react differently
to various economic circumstances.
42
43Weathering the Storm The funding level of the
scheme depressed by the struggling economy, but
investing in bonds has offered a degree of
protection from the worst of the markets
trouble.
43
44Weathering the Storm Employer contributions rise
steadily, but investing in bonds means that the
company avoids the full cost of the recession
which it would have had to bear had it chosen a
more equity based strategy.
44
4545
46Help
Click on the Tutorial button for full
instructions on how to use the ModelScheme
Demonstrator Please note that the
Back and Next buttons at the bottom of the
screen have been disabled for this section of the
presentation. Use the assumptions buttons on the
left of the screen to navigate directly through
the demonstration. To return to the
presentation, click on the Restart button
Return to Tutorial
46
47Help
Please choose either of the two options
available Tutorial If you are new to the
ModelScheme Demonstrator, we suggest that you
should click on this choice. This provides
background information on ModelScheme, plus
instructions about how to use the
Demonstrator. Demo If you have already enjoyed
the demonstration, and do not wish to follow the
instructions again, pick this option to go
directly to the scheme illustrations. Please
note that the assumption buttons on the left of
the screen have been disabled for the tutorial
section of the presentation To return to the
presentation, click on the Back button
47
48Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
48
49Help
There is no help topic associated with this page.
For further details regarding the information on
the page, click on the links within the
text Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation To
return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
49
50Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
50
51Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
51
52Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
52
53Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
53
54Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
54
55Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
55
56Help
The main economic assumptions used in the
ModelScheme Demonstrator are as
follows To return to the
presentation, click on the Back button
56
57Help
Risk v Reward The level of return from various
assets represent only one consideration in
investments the other main one being risk.
Risk is the degree of uncertainty on the return
of a particular investment. Equity returns for
example, are expected to fluctuate with the
markets, whereas bonds tend to be more stable.
The main assumptions used in this presentation
are Please note that the assumption
buttons on the left of the screen have been
disabled for the tutorial section of the
presentation To return to the presentation,
click on the Back button
57
58Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
58
59Help
There is no help topic associated with this
page Please note that the assumption buttons on
the left of the screen have been disabled for the
tutorial section of the presentation T
o return to the presentation, click on the Back
button
59
6060
61Trustee Knowledge Understanding
- The Pensions Act 2004 introduced for the first
time a "knowledge and understanding requirement"
for trustees of occupational pension schemes, be
they individual trustees or directors of a
corporate trustee company. - A draft Code of Practice along with draft
guidance on the standards of knowledge and
understanding that the Pensions Regulator expects
of trustees have been issued, as have two scope
documents setting out the specific areas about
which trustees are required to have knowledge and
understanding. In particular, the Regulator
expects all trustees to carry out a "training
needs analysis" based on the scoping documents so
that gaps in knowledge and understanding can be
identified and addressed. - First Actuarial's approach to enabling trustees
to meet the knowledge and understanding
requirement is to address the needs analysis
stage through a self assessment questionnaire and
then to prepare an individual learning plan for
each trustee based on the responses to the
questionnaire. Each learning plan is likely to
include a mixture of face to face training, self
study and perhaps even use of the e-learning
modules being developed by the Pensions
Regulator. The self assessment questionnaire is
available in paper format or online. To access
them, visit www.firstactuarial.co.uk, or contact
Peter Shellswell on 0870 879 3102. - Trustees are now expected to have a far greater
understanding of the issues affecting their
pension schemes than ever. To help trustees
satisfy their legal obligations we offer a number
of different courses for trustees regarding
pensions and trusteeship. The courses cover a
wide range of topics, at all levels, for both
final salary and money purchase schemes. Existing
courses are geared towards individual client
needs and range in duration from a few hours to a
number of days. We do feel that, in order to
allow an efficient use of time, courses should be
tailored to the specific details of a scheme.
This promotes a thorough understanding of the
issues facing the scheme in question. - Click on the Back button to return to the
demonstration
61
62Investment Strategy
- Developing and adopting a coherent investment
strategy is integral to managing the risks of
your scheme and to decisions relating to funding.
First Actuarial can examine the relationship
between the profiles of the assets and the
liabilities of your scheme in order to comment on
whether a fundamental review of the schemes
investment strategy is required. - ModelScheme is an extremely effective interactive
tool that will help trustees and employers to
understand fully the investment decisions that
they need to make. - Determination of Appropriate Asset
Allocation  We can assist in decisions as to how
to allocate the schemes assets between the key
asset classes (equities, gilts, bonds etc). -
- Click on the Back button to return to the
demonstration
62
63Financial Planning
- Scheme Financial Planning Analysis  To-day,
perhaps more than ever before, employers are
looking for - ways to control the cost of a final salary
pension scheme. - ModelScheme can explore a number of different
options to provide answers to the many what if - questions being asked, such as
- What impact will changing the rate of accrual
have on future contributions? - What happens if no new members are allowed into
the scheme? - What happens to contributions if future accrual
is stopped? - What happens if there is a fall in investment
markets?
63
64Benefit strategy
- Can your scheme afford to pay for its current
level of benefits? - What will be the effect of closing it to new
entrants or further accrual. Model Scheme shows
you how! - ModelScheme can explore a number of different
options to provide answers to the many what if
questions being asked, such as - What impact will changing the rate of accrual
have on future contributions? - What happens if no new members are allowed into
the scheme? - What happens to contributions if future accrual
is stopped? - What happens if there is a fall in investment
markets - ModelScheme can answer these questions with
real-time illustrations. - Click on the Back button to return to the
demonstration
64
65Exit ModelScheme Demonstrator
- Thank you for using the ModelScheme Demonstrator.
- We hope that it has provided an insight into how
ModelScheme will be able to help you to make
managing your pension scheme easier and protect
you from unforseen circumstances. - Free Trial Service
- We offer a free trial service of ModelScheme
using the information and data contained in the
last actuarial valuation report of.  We will then
meet with you to discuss the results and show how
different factors will affect your scheme and
your company. - Then if you wish to proceed further, First
Actuarial can follow this up with a full, up to
date analysis of your scheme and your needs, and
demonstrate the effects of differing strategies
in real time. - Contacts
- For more information concerning ModelScheme, or
any of the other services provided by First
Actuarial, please contact Peter Shellswell on
0870 879 3102. Alternatively visit our website
at www.firstactuarial.co.uk - Click on Exit to leave, or Restart to
continue using the Demonstrator
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