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Climate Change Plus

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1 million BDt/yr incinerated beehive burner. B.C.'s net electricity imports ~ 12 ... Beehive Burner emissions. 0.5M BDt wood pellet exports. Carbon constrained future ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Climate Change Plus


1
Climate Change Plus
  • Key Stewardship Drivers
  • Presentation to MOFR Senior Leadership Team
  • November 8, 2006
  • Jim Snetsinger Chief Forester
  • Ray Schultz ADM MPB Emergency Response
  • Henry Benskin Deputy Chief Forester

2
Today well cover
  • Climate change and what well do to address it
    through FFEI
  • MPB impact on mid-term timber supply
  • MPB Socio-economic Implications - Ray Schultz
  • Bio-energy Henry Benskin

3
Climate Change
  • Important driving issue
  • Wide range of impacts to our business
  • Here for the long term
  • Happening now

4
(No Transcript)
5
Ecosystem changes
  • Species selection is based on ecological (BEC)
    zones
  • BEC zones in future may change due to climate,
    affecting species and genetic suitability
  • Work needed on adjusting BEC system to adapt to
    changing climate

6
Hamann, A. and T. Wang. Ecology 2006
Current
2080s
7
MOFR Role in Climate Change
  • MOE leads provincial climate change file
  • Under this umbrella, MOFR leads on forest and
    range components
  • Our approach to develop a sound, measured,
    informed response
  • Involve partners

8
Climate Change Progress
  • Task Team Report -13 recommendations
  • Develop capacity to respond
  • Improve knowledge through analysis, research
  • Review operational policies and practices
  • Technical Advisor in place
  • Implement through FFEI

9
Future Forest Ecosystems
  • Impetus - increasing stress on BCs forests from
    climate change (MPB, wildfires, droughts)
  • Purpose adapt forest management framework to
    changing forest ecosystems
  • Objectives research, forecasting, monitoring,
    policy evaluation change, extension (46
    projects will deliver objectives)
  • Desired outcomes forest ecosystems remain
    resilient to stress continue to provide basic
    services, products benefits to society

10
FFEI Process Next Steps
  • Released draft recommendations - June 2006
  • Consultation phase - June Sept 06
  • Product revisions implementation planning Oct
    Dec 06
  • Implementation of projects starts Jan 07
  • Integration of initiative into normal ministry
    business within 3 years

11
Climate Change/ FFEI Summary
  • Climate change is a key driver of future business
  • Touches all aspects
  • Ecosystem work under way through FFEI
  • Our corporate responsibility as stewards
  • Learn more, get ready

12
Stewardship and MPBProvincial Perspective
  • Annual mortality peaked in 2004 (2005 red) at
    139 million m³/year.
  • Estimate 420 million m3 of pine affected in the
    20 TSAs with gt 10 pine.
  • About 36 of the provincial total (1.2 billion
    cubic metres) already affected.
  • Preuplift AAC for the 20 TSAs - 39.4 million
    m3/year.
  • Current AAC for 20 TSAs - 52.6 million m3/year.
  • Postbeetle harvest for 20 TSAs 26 to 31
    million m3/year depending on pine harvest focus
    and duration.

13
MPB - Provincial Perspective
Cumulative volume affected on the timber
harvesting land base
14
MPB Protecting Mid-term Harvest
  • Focus pre-uplift harvest in affected (gt 70 pine)
    stands for as long as possible.
  • Direct all uplift volume (14.4 million m3/year
    for 20 TSAs) in affected (gt 70 pine) stands.
  • Retain all stands with a live component that
    makes them merchantable in the mid-term.
  • Retain stands with advanced regeneration that
    could make them merchantable in the mid-term.
  • Encourage alternative uses for dead pine (i.e.
    bioenergy) to prolong the duration of the uplift
    and get stands back in production.

15
MPB Monitoring Harvest
16
MPB Key Considerations
  • Harvest in affected stands (gt 70 pine) for as
    long as possible is key to mid-term timber
    supply.
  • Need to investigate whether policy or regulations
    are impeding the harvest of affected pine stands.
  • Need to encourage innovative uses of the affected
    resource.
  • Encourage non-timber uses of the forest.
  • Regeneration strategies need to be mindful of
    future insect outbreaks, climate change, fire
    etc.

17
MPB - Social and Economic Implications and Actions
  • Ray L. Schultz, RPF
  • Assistant Deputy Minister
  • Mountain Pine Beetle Response

18
Being The Low Cost Producer In Global Commodities
Thousands Of Jobs
  • Consolidation of Ownership
  • Consolidation of Milling Capacity
  • Rationalisation of Contracting in the Woods
  • Replacement of Workers With Technology

19
Geographic Diversity In Socio-Economic Impacts
20
Summary of Pressures and Opportunities
  • Pressures
  • Future Contraction In Commodity Solid Wood
  • Uncertain Pulp Sector Future
  • Loss Of Industrial Tax Base In Municipalities
  • Historic Slow Economic Growth In Heart Of Epidemic
  • Opportunities
  • All Levels Of Government Aligning
  • Technical Solutions To Extend Shelf Life
  • Large Unexplored Region For Minerals and Energy
  • Macro Economics Of Bioenergy Biorefining
  • Value Added Wood
  • Agriculture
  • Inland Ports

21
The Main Agents Of Change
  • Cross-Government Response By BC Government
  • Provincial Funding Approaching 200 million/3
    Years
  • Federal Commitment Of 200 million
  • First Nations MPB Initiative, First Nations
    Forestry Council, Harmonisation of First Nations
    Provincial Plan
  • Community Action Coalitions Omineca, Cariboo,
    South
  • NDI and SDI Trust Funds
  • Innovation Opportunity For Policy Community To
    Stimulate Socio-Economic Responses

22
Bio-Energy
  • Henry Benskin Deputy Chief Forester

23
Context for B.C. Wood Bio-energy Opportunities
  • 7 million BDt/yr MPB logging residues
  • 1 million BDt/yr incinerated beehive burner
  • B.C.s net electricity imports 12
  • grow by 1.5 /yr
  • Beehive Burner emissions
  • 0.5M BDt wood pellet exports
  • Carbon constrained future

24
Provincial Wood Bioenergy Strategy Project
  • Co-led by MOFR, EMPR past 6 months
  • Stakeholder and experts dialogue to identify best
    business cases
  • Focus on short, medium and longer term
    opportunities
  • MPB and other biomass sources
  • Cross-walk with Alberta Fibre Roadmap

25
Next Steps
  • Strategy report completed mid-October/06
  • Deputy and Ministers briefings
  • Wood Bio-energy provision in BC Energy Plan?
  • Directed BC Hydro Call for Wood Bio-energy
    Proposals?
  • Implementation planning

26
B.C. Bio-Superpower
  • B.C. already is Canadas dominant producer of
    bio-products
  • We have great biomass growing capacity
  • MPB as a springboard towards bio-energy, forest
    industry transition, eventual bio-refining, and
    sustainable rural bio-economies?
  • Can we use our inherent strength in renewable
    resources for strategic advantage?

27
In Summary
  • Proactive approach to climate change a key
    business driver
  • Adaptation is progressing through FFEI
  • Can mitigate mid-term timber supply by focusing
    harvest in affected stands with more than 70
    pine.
  • Options exist to counter socio-economic impacts
  • Bio-energy offers promising potential

28
  • Thank you
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