Title: Does Debt Policy Matter
1Does Debt Policy Matter?
2Capital Structure
- Mix of debt and equity
- One that maximizes firm value
- All equity
- CFs go to shareholders
- Debt equity
- Two streams of CFs
- Safe stream goes to bondholders
- Risky stream goes to shareholders
- Starting point to understand why capital
structure does matter - Modigliani Miller
3MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
- Modigliani Miller
- When there are no taxes and capital markets
function well, it makes no difference whether the
firm borrows or individual shareholders borrow.
Therefore, the market value of a company does not
depend on its capital structure. - Irrelevant!
4MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
- Assumptions
- By issuing 1 security rather than 2, company
diminishes investor choice. This does not reduce
value if - Investors do not need choice, OR
- There are sufficient alternative securities
- Capital structure does not affect cash flows
e.g... - No taxes
- No bankruptcy costs
- No effect on management incentives
5MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
- Set up
- U unlevered firm
- VU EU
- L levered firm
- VL EL DL
- U L have same operating income just different
capital structures
6MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
Dont want risk, so buy 1 of U.
Alternative, buy 1 of L (so, D E).
Same payoff. Same cost. So, VU VL.
7MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
Now, take more risk, so buy 1 of the shares of L.
Alternative, borrow .01DL on own account and
purchase 1 of U. Get inflow of .01DL but pay
interest.
Same payoff. So, VU VL.
8MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
Example (Prop 1) - Macbeth Spot Removers - All
Equity Financed
Expected outcome
9MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
Example cont. 50 debt
10MM (Debt Policy Doesnt Matter)
Example - Macbeths - All Equity
Financed - Debt replicated by investors
Borrow 10 and invest 20 in 2 shares
11No Magic in Financial Leverage
MM'S PROPOSITION I If capital markets are
doing their job, firms cannot increase value
by tinkering with capital structure. V is
independent of the debt ratio. AN EVERYDAY
ANALOGY
12Proposition I and Macbeth
Macbeth continued
13Leverage and Returns
14MM Proposition II
Macbeth continued
15MM Proposition II
Macbeth continued
16MM Propositions
- Proposition 1 Leverage has no effect on
shareholder wealth - Proposition 2 rE increases as debt-equity ratio
increases - How are shareholders indifferent?
- Increase in expected return is exactly offset by
an increase in risk and therefore is
shareholders required rate of return
17Leverage and Risk
Macbeth continued
Leverage increases the risk of Macbeth shares
18Leverage and Returns
Market Value Balance Sheet example
Asset Value 100 Debt (D) 30 Equity
(E) 70 Asset Value 100 Firm Value (V) 100
rd 7.5 re 15
19Leverage and Returns
Market Value Balance Sheet example
continued What happens to Re when debt costs rise?
Asset Value 100 Debt (D) 40 Equity
(E) 60 Asset Value 100 Firm Value (V) 100
rd 7.5 changes to 7.875 re ??
20Leverage and Returns Beta
21Leverage and Returns Beta
- Example Debt beta is .1 and equity beta is 1.1.
Firm is 30 debt and 70 equity. Find BA. - Now, refinance so 40 debt. Debt is riskier, so
debt beta is 0.2. Find BE. - Thus, borrowing creates financial leverage.
22WACC
- WACC is the traditional view of capital
structure, risk and return.
23WACC
r
rE
rE WACC
rD
D E
24MM Proposition II
r
rE
rA
rD
D E
Risk free debt
Risky debt
25Two Warnings
- Maximizing firm value is NOT always equivalent to
minimizing the WACC. - S/h are more interested in being rich than owning
a firm with a low WACC. - Minimizing WACC encourages logical short
circuits - Ex Debt is cheaper so just borrow more to reduce
WACC
26WACC (traditional view)
r
rE
WACC
rD
D E
27WACC (MM view)
r
rE
WACC
rD
D E
28After Tax WACC
- The tax benefit from interest expense
deductibility must be included in the cost of
funds. - This tax benefit reduces the effective cost of
debt by a factor of the marginal tax rate.
Old Formula
29After Tax WACC
Tax Adjusted Formula
30After Tax WACC
- Example - Union Pacific
- The firm has a marginal tax rate of 35. The
cost of equity is 10.0 and the pretax cost of
debt is 5.5. Given the book and market value
balance sheets, what is the tax adjusted WACC?
31After Tax WACC
- Example - Union Pacific - continued
MARKET VALUES
32After Tax WACC
- Example - Union Pacific - continued
Debt ratio (D/V) Equity ratio (E/V)