Title: Mississippi Statewide Accountability System
1Mississippi Statewide Accountability System
- School Level Accountability Model
- Based on Achievement and Growth
- Approved by the Mississippi State Board
- of Education for Use in Fall 2003
- October 25, 2002
2Students Included for Accountability
- Spring Testing Data (MCT and Traditional Schedule
SATP) - End of Month 8 School Same School on 6 of the 7
Earlier End of Month Records (Month 1 through
Month 7) -- 75 - End of Month 7 School Same School on all 6 of
the Earlier End of Month Records (Months 1
through 6) -- 75 - Fall Testing Data (SATP Semester/Block Schedule)
- End of Month 3 School Same School on End of
Month 1 and End of Month 2 Records -- 67 - Spring Testing Data (SATP Semester/Block
Schedule) - End of Month 8 School Same School on End of
Month 5, 6, and 7 Records -- 75
3Achievement Model Calculations (1/2)
- Calculate Basic and Above and Proficient and
Above at each grade (3-8) and content area for
MCT administered at grade level. - Calculate Basic and Above and Proficient and
Above at each test level (13-18) and content area
for MCT instructional level tests. - Calculate Pass and above an established
higher cut point at each grade level (8-12) for
students taking Algebra I and Biology I. - Calculate Approaching Proficiency and Above and
Proficient for all students participating in a
low stakes alternate assessment. - Convert the schools values on the (up to 46)
variables above to z-score equivalents using
state mean and standard deviation from the base
year. This standardizes the variables. - Weight each variable based on the student n-count
on that variable compared to the total
accountability n-count for the school.
4Achievement Model Calculations (2/2)
- Calculate the Basic Achievement Index (BAI)
- Sum all the weighted z-scores based on the basic
achievement measures ( Basic and Above on MCT,
Pass on SATP, Approaching
Proficiency or above on alternate assessments). - Apply the two established index cut scores to
determine whether basic achievement will place
the school in achievement level 1 or 2. - Calculate the Higher Achievement Index (HAI)
- Sum all the weighted z-scores based on the higher
achievement measures ( Proficient and Above on
MCT, meeting higher criterion on SATP,
Proficient on alternate assessments). - Apply the two established index cut scores to
determine whether higher achievement will place
the school in achievement level 4 or 5. - Assign school to an achievement level based on
BAI and HAI. The achievement level is NOT the
School Performance Classification!
5Growth Model Calculations (1/7)
- Apply additional criteria for student inclusion
-- MCT. - Must have MCT (on grade) data in at least one
content area for the school year just ended (call
this Year 2). - Must have MCT (on grade) data in all three
content areas for school year before that (call
this Year 1). - MCT scale scores in all three content areas for
Year 1 must not fall into the chance score
range. - MCT level in Year 2 must be one level greater
than the level in Year 1. - Apply additional criteria for student inclusion
-- SATP. - SATP for Year 2 must be Grade 8 Algebra I, Grade
9 Algebra I, or Grade 9 Biology I. - Must have MCT (on grade) data in all three
content areas at next lower grade level for Year
1. - MCT scale scores in all three content areas for
Year 1 must not fall into the chance score
range.
6Growth Model Calculations (2/7)
- Assumptions Underlying the MCT Growth Model
- A student with a higher overall achievement level
might make more gain than a student with lower
overall achievement. - A student whose score in one content area was
high at the beginning of the school year might
gain less than a student whose initial score was
lower (due to regression to the mean). - A students gain on the MCT can be predicted
given that students initial achievement on the
MCT. - Assumptions Underlying the SATP Growth Model
- A student with a higher overall MCT achievement
level might score higher on the SATP than a
student with lower overall achievement. - A students score on the SATP (Algebra I and
Biology I) can be predicted given that students
previous year MCT achievement.
7Growth Model Calculations (3/7)
- Predict MCT gain from Year 1 MCT in each content
area for each student in each cohort (e.g.,
Cohort Grade 2 to Grade 3). - Apply regression coefficient for overall
achievement (i.e., sum of the students Year 1
scale scores in reading, language, and
mathematics). - Apply regression coefficient for regression to
the mean (i.e., the students Year 1 scale score
in the content area being predicted). - Add the constant (y-intercept) value from the
regression equation. - The result is the expected scale score gain from
Year 1 to Year 2. - Subtract the predicted gain from the students
actual scale score gain from Year 1 to Year 2. - The result is the degree to which the student met
expected gain, stated in scale score points. This
value is called the students raw growth
residual.
8Growth Model Calculations (4/7)
- Predict Algebra I and Biology I Year 2 Scale
Score from Year 1 MCT. - Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
reading scale score. - Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
language scale score. - Apply regression coefficient to the students MCT
math scale score. - Add the constant (y-intercept) value from the
regression equation. - The result is the expected scale score in Algebra
I or Biology I. - Subtract the predicted score from the students
actual score. - The result is the degree to which the student met
the expected score, stated in scale score points.
This value is called the students raw growth
residual.
9Growth Model Calculations (5/7)
- Sum the student level raw growth residuals within
each prediction cohort (i.e., MCT Reading Grade 2
to Grade 3, Biology Grade 9). This produces a
set of mean raw residual values for the school. - Convert the schools mean raw residual value for
each prediction cohort to a z-score equivalent
using state mean and standard deviation from the
base year. This step standardizes the residual
means. - Calculate a total student n-count by summing the
n-counts for each prediction cohort containing at
least 10 students. - Weight each standardized growth residual based on
the student n-count in that prediction cohort
compared to the total accountability n-count for
the school.
10Growth Model Calculations (6/7)
- Sum all the weighted z-scores for prediction
cohorts containing at least 10 students. This is
the school level standardized/weighted growth
composite. - Apply an appropriate confidence interval to the
schools growth composite. The confidence
interval is one standard error of the mean for
the distribution of over 800 school growth
composites. - Determine whether the schools growth composite
falls below the lower bound of the confidence
interval. - If the growth composite is at or above the lower
bound value, the school met its growth
expectation. - If the growth composite falls below the lower
bound value, the school failed to meet its growth
expectation.
11Growth Model Calculations (7/7)
- Determine whether the school exceeded its growth
expectation by at least 10. The procedure is the
same as that used to determine whether the school
met its growth expectation (Growth Model
Calculation slides 3 through 6), except that the
constant/y-intercept value in each prediction
equation is increased by 10 before using the
equation to predict a students MCT gain or SATP
score. - Apply an appropriate confidence interval to the
schools exceeded growth composite. - Determine whether the schools growth composite
falls below the lower bound of the confidence
interval. - If the growth composite is at or above the lower
bound value, the school exceeded its growth
expectation. - If the growth composite falls below the lower
bound value, the school failed to exceed its
growth expectation.
12School Performance Classification
- A schools achievement level (1-5) and growth
status (failed to meet, met, or exceeded) are
combined to determine the School Performance
Classification. No school meeting its growth
expectation will be assigned a classification
below 3 (Successful). - School Performance Classifications
- Level 5 (Superior-Performing) School is in
achievement level 5. - Level 4 (Exemplary) School is in achievement
level 4 -OR- school exceeded its growth
expectation and is in achievement level 3. - Level 3 (Successful) School met its growth
expectation -OR- school failed to meet its growth
expectation and is in achievement level 3. - Level 2 (Under-Performing) School failed to
meet its growth expectation and is in achievement
level 2. - Level 1 (Low-Performing) School failed to meet
its growth expectation and is in achievement
level 1. Some of the schools in this School
Performance Classification may be designated
Priority Schools.
13Schools that Cannot be Included in the
Achievement and/or Growth Models
- Only schools that can be included in the
achievement and growth models are assigned a
School Performance Classification. - Schools that cannot be assigned a School
Performance Classification include - 10-15 schools that can be included in the
achievement model, but do not meet the
requirements for inclusion in the growth model
and - 35-40 regular public schools that cannot be
included in either the achievement model based on
the MCT at grades 3-8 and the SATP -OR- the
growth model.
14End