PRT%20MeS%20Evaluation

1
PRT MeS Evaluation

• CPPB Workshop

2
Outline

• Background
• Purpose of evaluation
• Evaluation approach
• Findings
• Plans concepts
• National directions for PRT
• Are we doing the right things/Desirable effects
• Unintended effects
• Recommendations (to SwAF)
• Using CPPB Guidelines
• Questions

3
1. Background

• The Provincial Reconstruction Teams were
  introduced in Afghanistan in 2002
• Extend Afghan Government authority
• Provide a light footprint
• Avoid occupation
• Sweden has been framework nation for PRT MeS
  since 2006

4
2. Purpose of Evaluation

• SwAF
• The Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI)
• Jun 2009 Feb 2010
• Formative evaluation
• Learning focus
• Questions
• Is the current direction guidance for the PRT
  relevant?
• Is the PRT doing the right things?
• Which unintentional effect has the PRT had?
• Which intended or desirable effects has the PRT
  not achieved?

5
3. Evaluation Approach

• Evaluation design and baseline establishment
  (Jun-Oct 2009)
• Conflict analysis,
• Theory of change
• Develop questions
• Evaluation execution (Nov 2009)
• Final report and advice on implementation (Dec
  2009 Feb 2010)

6
4. Findings - Concepts

• The COIN-doctrine (US) a well thought-out
  approach
• The PRT concept is heterogeneous and has
  contributed to fragmentization
• Civil-military coordination needs to be focused
• Parallel structures
• Essential needs

7
4. Findings - PRT National directions

• National C2
• PRT design
• Large freedom large responsibility
• Controlling factors
• Taliban forces
• ISAF
• ANSF
• Lessons learned
• The process of DG

8
4. Findings - The right things/Desirable effects

• Tactical mobility a constraint
• Security for the population is relatively good in
  the MeS area
• Rule of law completely missing
• Not a military task, but will affect mission
• Corruption a huge obstacle
• ANA has made progress (autumn 2009)
• ANP are still facing huge challenges
• -gt Conclusion Sweden has focused Security line
  of operation. This is insufficient for a PRT

9
4. Findings - Unintended effects

• Heterogeneous PRT-concept
• Unfulfilled expectations
• Weak CIMIC
• Strong army in a weak country Pakistanisation
• Distance from population
• Disadvantaged population groups

10
5. Recommendations (to SwAF)

• Revise PRT direction
• Improve national C2
• Train COIN at the conceptual level
• Addressing essential needs
• CIMIC
• Dont ask for needs you cannot satisfy
• Mission tactics for Force Protection
• Improve Mobility

11
6. Using the CPPB Guidelines

• Is the PRT a CPPB?
• Conflict Analysis
• We made our own
• Crucial step in any CPPB evaluation
• Theory of change
• Made us focus on plans, concepts and doctrine
• Shaped the evaluation

12
6. Using the CPPB Guidelines

• Criteria
• Relevance
• Sustainability
• Impact
• Coherence
• Coverage
• Detailed descriptions useful
• Linkages and consistency with values less well
  developed

13
7. Questions