l???????????????????????

1
???? ?????????
2

• ????
• l???????????????????????
• l?????????????????????
• l??????ICD-10???????????

3
??? ??????????

• ????????????
• (?)????
• ????(population)?????????????????????????

4

• ?????????????????(de
  facto),??????????????????(?????????)?
• ????(de jure),???????????

5

• ???,??????????????????????????????????
  ??????,??????(1?1?)??????(12?31?)?????

6

• ??????1/2(??????????)
• ??????1/2(????????????)

7

• (?)???? .
• ???????????????????????????????,???????
  ??????
• 1.?????? ?????????????????????

8

• (1)????????65??????????????????
• ???????????????????,???????????????????
  ????????????

9

• (2)???????? ?14??????????????????
• ????????????????????????

10

• (3)?????????? ??????????(14?????65????)??????
  ??(1564?)??????

11

• 14???????65???????
• ????? 1564????
• 
  14???????
• ???????? 1564????
• 65???????
• ?????? 1564????

12

• (4)??? ?65?????????14????????????,????????????
  ??????

13
(No Transcript)
14

• 2.???? ???????????,?????????????????,?
• ???

15

• 3.?????(population pyramid) ?????????????,???(???
  ??)???,?????????????,???????????,???????,?????????
  ?????????????????????????? ?

16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
????????

• (?)??????
• 1. ???(crude birth rate,CBR)
  ?????????,?????????????????,????????????????????

19

• 2.???(general fertility rate,GFR)
  ??????????????,????????????????????
• ??????????????????,??????1549??????????
  ?

20

• 3.??????(age-specific fertility rate,ASFR)
  ????????,????????????????????????

21

• 4.?????(total fertility rate,TFR)
  ????????????,??????????????????????,??????????????
  ?????????????????????
• ?????i ?ASFR

22

• 5.?????(life-time fertility rate,LTFR)
  ????????????49????????,???????????????????????????
  ???,????
• ????????????
• ????? ?????????????

23

• ?12.1 ?12.2?????????????????,???????????????????
  ???

24
(No Transcript)
25

• ????
• 1520???????
• 2025???????

26

• ?????
• 5(7.14167.700.310)
• 1.22
• ????????,??????????????,????????????1.22????

27

• (?)???????
• ??????????????????????????
• ??????????????????????????? ???????????
  ??????????

28

• 1.?????(natural increase rate,NIR)
  ?????(CBR)?????(CDR)??,?
• ???????
• ????- ????

29

• 2.?????(gross reproduction rate,GRR)
  ?????????,????????????????????
• ?????
• ???????????????
• ?????????????????

30

• 3.?????(net reprroduction rate,NRR)
  ????????(15?)?????????????????????????,?????????
• ?????????????????????????? ?

31
(No Transcript)
32
(No Transcript)
33

• ?????????? NRR?i? Fx 0Px
• ????NRR5219.98 1099.90, ?NRR1.10,?????,???
  ???????????????,???????????????,??1.1???,?????????
  ??,????????????????

34

• 4.??????(mean length of generation,LG)
  ????????????????????????????,?????????,?????,?????
  ??,?????,????????

35

• ??????????????25.97??????????????

?,
36

• (?)????????
• 1.?????
• 2.?????
• 3.Pearl???
• 4.?????
• 5.?????

37

• 6.?????
• 7.?????
• 8.???
• 9.????????
• 10.?????

38

• ????????
• (?)???????????

39

• 1.????(crude death rate,CDR) ??????????,?????????
  ?????,??????????????????????????????

1000
40

• 2.??(??)???(sexspecific?ragespecific death
  rate,ASDR) ????(??)????,?????(??)?????????

1000
41
(No Transcript)
42

• 3.?????(infant mortality rate,IMR)
  ?????????????1??(??)?????
• 
  1000

43

• 4.??????(neonatal mortality rate,NMR)
  ??????????????28?????????

44

• 5.??????(perinatal mortality) ???????????1
  000g???,????28?,????7??????????????????????

45

• 6.5????????(child mortality under age 5)
  ???????,?????????????,?5????????????,???5?????????
  ???????????

46

• 7.??????(maternal mortality rate)
  ??????????????????????????????????,????????????.

47

• (?)??????????????
• 1.??????????(proportion dying of a specific
  cause)
• ??????????????????

48

• 2.???? ??????????????????,????????,??????????
  ?????????