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3.1 Stuff

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3.1 Stuff A probability experiment is an action, or trial, through which specific results (counts, measurements, or responses) are obtained. The result of a single ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: 3.1 Stuff


1
3.1 Stuff
  • A probability experiment is an action, or trial,
    through which specific results (counts,
    measurements, or responses) are obtained.
  • The result of a single trial in a probability
    experiment is an outcome.
  • The set of all possible outcomes of a probability
    experiment is the sample space.
  • An event consists of one or more outcomes and is
    a subset of the sample space. An event that
    consists of a single outcome is called a simple
    event.

2
3.1 Stuff
  • The Fundamental Counting Principle
  • If one event can occur in m ways and a second
    event can occur in n ways, the number of ways the
    two events can occur in sequence is .
  • This rule can be extended for any number of
    events occurring in sequence.

3
3.1 Exercise 26
  • A restaurant offers a 12 dinner special that has
    five choices for an appetizer, ten choices for
    entrees, and four choices for dessert. How many
    different meals are available if you select an
    appetizer, an entree, and a dessert?

4
3.1 Stuff
  • Classical (or theoretical) probability is used
    when each outcome in a sample space is equally
    likely to occur. The classical probability for
    an event E is given by
  • P(E) Number of outcomes in E
  • Total number of outcomes in
    sample space

5
3.1 Stuff
  • Empirical (or statistical) probability is based
    on observations obtained from probability
    experiments. The empirical probability of an
    event E is the relative frequency of event E.
  • P(E) Frequency of event E
  • Total frequencies

6
3.1 Stuff
  • Law of Large Numbers. As an experiment is
    repeated over and over, the empirical probability
    of an event approaches the theoretical
    probability of the event.

7
3.1 Stuff
  • Subjective probabilities result from intuition,
    educated guesses, and estimates.

8
3.1 Stuff
  • The complement of event E is the set of all
    outcomes in a sample space that are not included
    in event E.
  • The complement of event E is denoted by E and is
    read E prime.
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