Governor

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Governors Complete Count Committee
Informational Session

• Fiscal Impact of Census on Connecticut

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General Population Changes 2000 -2010 and Beyond

• Aging Population 65 and over segment is growing
• Declining Components - Whites
• Growing Components African Americans, Hispanics
  and Others

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The Predicament

• Population is aging/retiring Although some have
  postponed retirement, more will leave as economy
  recovers.
• As population ages and leaves workforce, those
  people will make less money and pay less taxes
  less tax revenue.
• As population ages and leaves workforce, those
  people will make greater use of health and social
  services more demand for state
  services/expenditures.
• Problem Increased demand for state services with
  a decreased ability to pay

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CT Age Group Projections
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Declining Components of PopulationSource CT
State Data Center
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Hispanic Population by Age Band Increasing
Working Age PopulationSource CT State Data
Center
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Dependency RatiosSource CT State Data Center
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Possible Result

• Problem
• Increased demand for state services with a
  decreased ability by state to pay
• Greater dependency per worker by elderly
• Possible outcome
• Insufficient state revenue to meet service
  demands will lead to either tax increases or
  service reductions.

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Possible Solution

• A) Fortify remaining labor force (growing and
  static elements) to ensure prosperous economy by
  personally, and as a state, investing in
  education. A highly educated population will
  produce new ideas, abilities and the business
  opportunities that follow. These prosperous
  workers will produce greater tax income.
• B) Fortify rest of economic infrastructure -
  Improve Housing (for new and upwardly mobile
  workers), Energy cost and Transportation to move
  goods and people efficiently.
• These steps will prepare for the creation of new
  business, recruitment of business from outside CT
  and the retention of current business.

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Specific Impacts of Census Changes

• While these cannot be known until the census is
  conducted and report is available, the following
  programs would be influenced the most (according
  to the Federal Funds Information System)
• Medicaid, highway planning and construction,
  Section 8 Housing Vouchers, Title 1 Grants to
  Local Education Agencies, Special Education
  Grants, Temporary Assistance to Needy Families,
  federal transit formula grants, Head Start,
  Childrens Health Insurance Program and Community
  Development Block Grants.
• Please see Governors website for details.

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