NDPP UNCLASS DCOS Sofia

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Building Up Defense Capabilities
MG Jerzy BIZIEWSKI DCOS PLANS SHAPE
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AGENDA

• NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP) Overview
• NATO Defense Planning Model
• NATO Defense Planning Process
• Step 1. Political Guidance
• Step 2. Determine Requirements
• Step 3. Apportion Requirements and Set Targets
• Step 4. Facilitate Implementation
• Step 5. Review Results.
• NDPP Enhancement.
• Questions.

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NATO Defence Planning Model
5 steps, 4-year cycle ? Provide the Operational
Commander with continuously improved capabilities
that are more tailored and more capable to meet
the Alliances evolving missions, roles, and tasks
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NATO Defense Planning Process
Step 2 Determine Requirements
Step 3 Apportion Requirements and Set Targets
Step 5 Review Results
Step 1 Establish Political Guidance
Step 2 Determine Requirements
Step 3 Apportion Requirements and Set Targets
Step 4 Facilitate Implementation
Step 5 Review Results
Step 1 Establish Political Guidance
Step 4 Facilitate Implementation
DPPC(R)
RPPB
NATO Strategic Concept
Capability Requirements Review (CRR) (every four
years)
DPST
approves
review report
NATO
SCs lead
develops targets
ACT leads
ACO supports
Phase 1 Analyse/ Interpret High Level Guidance
Develop Targets and apportion
(Bi-SC document)
Multinational
Capability Review (every two years)
NATO Political Guidance (reviewed at least every
four years)
Guiding Principles (GP) Planning Assumptions
(PA)
Draft packages
NATO Level of Ambition (LOA)
(every four years)
notes
National
Support
(Reinvestment targets)
DPST
Meetings with nations
RPPB
develops preliminary solutions
IS leads
further develop
MC
first draft
reports
BLOCK 1ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
(Bi-SC document)
Phase 2 Capture Future Security Environment
SCs lead
Determine Capability Shortfall solutions
Progress Report NATO Targets
approve
endorse
NATO Implementation Common-funded Targets
Mission Types (MT) Generic Planning Situations
(GPS)
DPST
DPPC(R)
DPST
Burden Sharing
notes
submits
NAC DPC NPG
Head of State and Gov
Nations
Ministers
Multilateral Examinations (28-1)
develops and approves
Agreed Targets
DPPC(R)
Lessons Learned
Operations
reply
prepares
DPPC(R)
Reasonable challenge
NATO Capability Survey
adopt
Alignment short-mid-long term requirements
submits
MTD, CS, CHF, CAL, CC CS
CUR LL
NAC DPC NPG
Associated Risk
Ministers
(including STANAGS, APs)
SCs supports
MC Supplementary Guidance (MC400, CRR, PSA, SRA)
Phase 3 Requirements determination
IS leads
Minimum Capability Requirements (MCR)
determination
Monitor Facilitate
Identifies actions
decides by exception
DPPC(R)
DPST
(Bi-SC document)
Ultimate Goal of NDPP facilitate the timely
identification, development and delivery of the
necessary range of forces, as well as associated
military and non-military capabilities, to
undertake the Alliances full spectrum of missions
NATO agreed Intelligence MC161
BLOCK 2 REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS
Dialogue with Planning Domains
Planning domains
Future Trends
Phase 4 Integrated Cross-check of identified MCR
Conduct NATO Capability Review
Interoperability, Standardisation and Jointness
DPST
IS leads produces
NATO and nations existing planned capabilities
Compare MCR with existing planned capabilities
MC Suitability Risk Assessment
Bi-SC Suitability Risk Assessment

• Acronyms
• MTD Mission to Task Decomposition
• CS Case Studies
• CHF Capability Hierarchy Framework
• CAL Capability Assignment Logic
• CC CS Capability Codes and Capability
  Statements

Countrys draft assessments
Countrys draft assessments
Countrys draft assessments
Phase 5 Gap analysis
Countrys draft assessments
(Bi-SC document)
Countrys draft assessments
IMS leads
produces
Capability surplus
Reinvestment targets
ACO leads
ACT supports
MC
Capability Shortfalls
Risk Analysis
BLOCK 3 REQUIREMENTS ASSESSMENT
Countrys draft assessments
Countrys draft assessments
Multilateral Meetings (28-1)
NATO Capabilities Report
Countrys draft assessments
Countrys draft assessments
Capabilities to be maintained
Meeting with nations
prepares
endorse
reviews and approves

• References
• PO(2009)0042, Outline Model for a NATO Defence
  Planning Process, 02 Apr 09
• PO(2009)0079, Implementation and Transition Plan
  NDPP, 10 Jun 09.
• DSG(2009)0858, 8 Oct 09
• Overhaul of the DRR working papers and
  presentations

Phase 6 Shortfalls prioritisation
NAC DPC NPG
submits
DPPC(R)
Ministers
Priority Shortfall Areas (PSA)
DPPC(R)
develops
endorse
operations
(Bi-SC recommendation)
NATO Capabilities Progress Update
presents
DPST
Synopsis of MCR including PSA
(intermediate years)
DPPC(R)
notes
MC
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SHAPE CPP-CAM-FCR POC CDR Manso. Version 2
(February 2011)
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STEP 1 ESTABLISH POLITICAL GUIDANCE
International Staff lead
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STEP 2 Determine Requirements
ACT IN THE LEAD, ACO SUPPORTING
CAPABILITY REQUIREMENTS REVIEW
HIGH LEVEL GUIDANCE
Planning Assumptions
Planning Situations
FUTURE SECURITY ENVIRONMENT
REQUIREMENTS DETERMINATION
Minimum Capability Requirements
GAP ANALYSIS
Shortfalls, Surplus, To be maintained
SHORTFALLS PRIORITISATION
Bi-SC Priority Shortfall Areas
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STEP 3 Apportion of Requirements, Set Targets
IS IN THE LEAD
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STEP 4 Facilitate Implementations

• Out of Cycle STEP.
• NATO Initiatives
• Smart Defense
• Framework Nation Concept
• Connected Forces Initiative
• Multinational Initiatives.

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STEP 5 Review Results (every two years)
CAPABILITY REVIEW
DEFENCE PLANNING CAPABILITY SURVEY
IS in the lead
COUNTRY ASSESSMENT
BI-LATERAL / MULTILATERAL MEETINGS
IS in the lead
ACO in the lead
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NDPP ENHANCEMENT

• NDPP First Cycle weaknesses
• Harmonization
• Inflexibility
• Complexity.
• Enhancing initiatives for all 5 steps of the
  process
• IS is leading the overall E-NDPP package
• SCs Tasking for STEP 2
• simple, less time consuming, adaptable
• analytical rigor, traceability and transparency
  are not compromised
• Allies to be able to assess the key elements of
  the process, through better understanding and
  visibility of its conduct.

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STEP 2 Determine Requirements.

• Enhance linkage between Operations and Defence
  Planning.
• Short and Medium term.
• Long term set via a NATO vision i.e. NATO 2030.
• Threat vs capability based approach.

• Time Space
• Resources Allocation
• Tasks
• Acquisition

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Questions? Thank you
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