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??12000???????
20th C.
?????
19th C.
18th C.
BC AD
3
?????????????
4
??????CO2
Million
Year
5
?10??????? by Gregory Clark, 2007
per capita Income
Great Divergence
Industrial Revolution
Malthusian Trap
1000BC 500BC 1 500 1000 1500
2000
6
2008?????????

• 1.20???????(?????)???
• 2.????????????????

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8
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• 1979? ????? ??????
• 1989? ????????????
• 1991? ?????
• 1992? ???????????
• 1997? ?????
• 2000? ?????????
• 2002? ???????????
• 2008? ???G8????

9
??????25???????? 2009?9?

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??????300??????
10
?????

• ??????17(2005??)
• ???????????(?????????????????????????????????)
• EU????20(1990??)
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• ??????4045(2005?GDP???)
• ?????????????????????????????CCS???????????
• ????????36.138.9(????????????)
• ??????????????????????????

11
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• ????25(1990?? ???????????????????????)
• ????? 12?30?????
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• ???????1000????
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• ?50 ?????????????
• ?140 ?????????????
• ??????????????????????????????13 ??????

12
?????CO2?????????

• CO2???/1????CO2???/?????? (a)??????/?????
  (b)?????/1???? (c)
• (a) ????????????????????CCS
• (b) ???
• (c) ??(????????????)

13
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• LED??(????????????)
• ??????1400?????
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16
?????(4??)???????

• ???1600?kL(??????50)
• ???????700?kL(?50)
• ???(????????????????????)?300?kL(?60)
• ????????400?kL? ????????
• ????????300?kL
• ???????????1200?kL

17
?????????

• ???????????3000?kL
• ???????????500?kL
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• ?????/????????????(???????)
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• ????(???????????)
• ?????????(?????EL)
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18
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19
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20
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• Google?????????Internet???????????????????
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21
????SOFC????????????

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22
???? 2050????????????????

• ????2050??????????????????50???????????????????UN
  FCCC?????????????????????UNFCCC???????????????????
  ???????????????

????G8??????????
23
2050??????Schematic Drawing up to 2050
MtCO2
????
World Energy Outlook 2006
Half
Goal
24
475ppm ?????????? 475ppm Scenario by NIES
25
?????????
MtCO2
??????? ?????? ??
Simple extension
World Energy Outlook 2006
CCS
Half
??? ????
26
2050??????????????
MtCO2
Simple extrapolation
World Energy Outlook 2006
80 Reduction
Developing Countries
1 1
Half
Goal
OECD
Developed Countries
27
??????? UN Prospect of World Population
28
2050
Japan
Costa Rica
29
Energy Consumption Kg Oil Eq. per capita
1994
1973
1987
?????
1960
?????????
GDP per capita (PPP in )
29
30
?????COP??
Now gt 6
Trend in COP ????
Introduction Top Runner By METI
????? ????? Self-cleaning Air conditioner
1970 80 90 00
30
31
2050???????????????

• CO2???/1????CO2???/?????? (1)??????/?????
  (2)?????/??? (3)???/1???? (4)
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• (4) ??????2050?????

32
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33
??????????????10??? ????????? ?????????????????
Not Enough. Need to halve Weight?
??????????? Pure Electric or Plug-in?
34
??????????
???? ????? ?????30km
35
????????
?????? ????????? DL-GZ20 ??
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36
??????????
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??EL
????TV
37
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38
?????????????
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Energy Consumption / Capita
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5?????? 5?????????
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GDP par Capita
39
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Prius
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Plug-in Prius
?? ? GDP
40
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Prius
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Plug-in Prius
GDP
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41
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42
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43
?????????????Ultra-Long Term Scope Fossil Fuel
Fossil Fuel Era 500 Years
BC 10,000 AD
10,000
43