Title: Facts
1Facts Figures - Missouri Lodging Overview
2What Do We Do?
- Lodging Data Source 20 years
- 20,000 hotels a week
- Every chain Over 1300s Independents
- Relied upon by lenders, appraisers, other
professionals
3Definitions
Supply Total Rooms Available Demand Total
Rooms Sold Occupancy () Rooms Available /
Rooms Sold ADR Average Daily Rate Total
Revenue / Total Rooms Sold RevPAR Revenue Per
Available Room Total Revenue / Total Rooms
Available
4Presentation Agenda
- National Performance
- Regional Performance
- State Performance
- Local Performance
- Projections
5Total United StatesRoom Supply/Demand Percent
ChangeTwelve Month Moving Average To April 2005
6Total United StatesActive Development Pipeline -
RoomsChange From Last Year
Apr 2005
Apr 2004 Change Chg In
Construction 97,863
80,178 17,685
22.1 Final Planning 15,769
17,952 (2,183)
-12.2 Planning 174,857
156,463 18,394
11.8 In Pre-Planning 77,384
119,554 (42,170)
-35.3 Total Development 365,873
374,147 (8,274) -2.2
Source STR / TWR / Dodge Construction Pipeline
7Total United States Occupancy, ADR and RevPAR
Percent Change12-Month Moving Average to April
2005
Recession 9/11 Afghanistan SARS
Iraq
Recession
8Total United StatesOccupancy Percent 28-Day
Moving AverageJan. 2, 2005 May 29, 2005
9Total United StatesADR 28-Day Moving
AverageJan. 2, 2005 May 29, 2005
10Total United StatesRevPAR 28-Day Moving
AverageJan. 2, 2005 May 29, 2005
11Total U.S.Average Daily Lodging Demand in
MillionsYear End 2000, 2002 and 2004
12Total United StatesRooms Sold/Day Differential
(Thousands)Year End 2000 Vs. 2004
13Total United StatesRooms Sold/Day Differential
(Thousands)Year End 2003 Vs. 2004
14Regional Supply Growth12-Month Ending April 2005
Percentage Change
2.5 to 7.5 1.0 to 2.4 0.1 to 0.9 -0.8 to
0.0 -5.7 to -0.9
15Regional Demand Growth12-Month Ending April 2005
Percentage Change
5.4 to 12.6 3.8 to 5.3 1.4 to 3.7 0.0 to
1.3 -7.6 to -0.1
16Regional RevPAR Change12-Month Ending April 2005
Percentage Change
8.3 to 13.8 5.8 to 8.2 3.8 to 5.7 1.5 to
3.7 -3.5 to 1.4
17Construction Pipeline Activity for
Missouri
Existing Supply Recently Opened In Construction Final Planning Planning Total Pre-Planning
Luxury 5
Upper Upscale 33 1 2 1 3
Upscale 36
Midscale w/ FB 95 1 1 1 2 4 1
Midscale w/o FB 193 12 9 1 2 12 1
Economy 259 2 1 1 1
Unaffiliated 519 1 2 20 22 9
Total 1,140 17 14 2 26 42 12
Existing Supply Recently Opened In Construction Final Planning Planning Total Pre-Planning
Luxury
Upper Upscale
Upscale
Midscale w/ FB
Midscale w/o FB
Economy
Unaffiliated
Total
1,244 236 236
12,239 195 510 207 717
6,802 1,228
12,252 44 117 143 250 510
17,333 967 918 102 264 1,284 140
18,602 89 70
32,689 57 144 1,643 1,787 1,085
101,161 1,352 2,917 245 2,600 4,534 1,295
Source TWR/Dodge Construction Pipeline/Smith
Travel Research
18MissouriRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
19MissouriOccupancy and ADR Percent ChangeMonthly
2000 April 2005
20Missouri Day of Week Analysis Occupancy/ADR
Year End 2004
21MissouriDay Of Week Analysis RevPAR Percent
ChangeYear End 2003 vs. Year End 2004
22Missouri Location SegmentsSupply/Demand Percent
ChangeTwelve Months Ended April
23Missouri Location SegmentsOccupancy/ADR Percent
ChangeTwelve Months Ended April
24Missouri Location SegmentsRevPAR/Room Revenue
Percent ChangeTwelve Months Ended April
25Northeast
Northwest
Central
Southeast
Southwest
26Northwest RegionRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
27Northwest RegionOccupancy and ADR Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
28Northwest Region Day of Week Analysis
Occupancy/ADR Year To Date Ending April 2005
29Northeast RegionRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
30Northeast RegionOccupancy and ADR Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
31Northeast RegionDay of Week Analysis
Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005
32Central RegionRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
33Central RegionOccupancy and ADR Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
34Central RegionDay of Week Analysis
Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005
35Southwest RegionRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
36Southwest RegionOccupancy and ADR Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
37Southwest RegionDay of Week Analysis
Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005
38Southeast RegionRoom Supply and Demand Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
39Southeast RegionOccupancy and ADR Percent
ChangeMonthly 2000 April 2005
40Southeast RegionDay of Week Analysis
Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005
41Total United StatesSupply/Demand Percent
Change2000 2005P
42Total United StatesOccupancy Percent2000 2005P
43Total United StatesAverage Daily Rate1998
2005P
Source STR
44Total United StatesRevPAR Percent Change2000
2005P
45Lodging Industry Issues
- Rising Costs Energy (Gas), Insurance, Labor
(visa caps) - Amenity Creep Bed Wars
- Rising Interest Rates
- Currency Exchange
- Airline Problems
- Demand Leakage Condo Hotels, Cruise, Timeshare
- Old Habits Hard to Break ?
- Terrorists Threats
46U.S. Lodging Outlook
- Supply Growth Significantly Lower