CMIP3 ??????????????????????????

1
CMIP3 ?????????????????????????? ????1????12
(1?????????2RIGC/JAMSTEC)
1. ???? ?????????????????????????????????????????
????(Hartmann et al. 1984 Wu 2003??)?Takayabu et
al. (submitted) ?TRMM?????????????????????????
Q1-QR (??????-????)?????????????????Q1-QR?????????
????????????500hPa?800hPa???2?????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
???????????????????????????????? ?????? World
Climate Research Programme壮 (WCRP痴) Coupled
Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3)
?22???????????????20??????????????????????????????
???????????????????????????
2.???????? CMIP3????JRA25/JCDAS?ERA40
????????????????????(30ｰS-30ｰN)???
1979-2000?9-11???????????Q1-QR(QR?JRA???)?????????
???????????????????????????CMIP3?JRA?ERA??????????
??2mm/day????????????????????????(?????)
?CMIP3?JRA?ERA?Q1?????????????????????????????????
?????????100hPa?????????????? ???TRMM???(1998-200
7)??Spectral Latent Heating (SLH) algorithm
????????????????? (Shige et al. 2008??)
???????????????TRMM??????1????????????????????????
?????????????????????????????????? 3.Q1-QR?????
?1?????????9-11????Q1-QR ?????????????????????????
????????????????? TRMM(???)?JRA(???)?ERA(???)?????
?????500Pa?850hPa???Q1-QR?????????????????????????
????????????????????????????????????????????Q1-QR?
?????????????????????????????????????????????Q1-QR
?????????CMIP3?????????????????????????(???)??????
?? ?2??????????Q1-QR??????????????0?????????2???
??????????Q1-QR?????Q1-QR?????????????????????????
??????????????2????????Takayabu et al.
(submitted) ?TRMM????????????????????? 4.?????????
????????Q1-QR????? ??????????????????????(600hPa?
?)?????????????? ????3??????????????????????????C
MIP3????JRA?ERA????????????????????????????????
???Q1-QR??????????????????????????????????500hPa?8
50hPa?Q1-QR??(Q1rc500/850)????????600hPa????(RH600
)??????4???????RH600lt35?????????????????Q1rc500/8
50????????????????TRMM?JRA?ERA????CMIP????????????
????????????????????????????????????????????????Q1
rc500/850??????????????????????
????RH600lt35???????Q1rc500/850?RH600????????????2
2???????9-11?????????????Q1rc500/850?Rh600???????5
??????????????????????????????????????????????
?1. ????9-11????????CMIP3?TRMM?JRA?ERA?Q1-QR(K/day
)?(a)?????(b)???????????TRMM????????????
?2. CMIP3?22?????????Q1-QR(??K/day)?????(???hPa/da
y)????
?4. ????????????Q1-QR?500?850hPa??(???)?600hPa????
(???)??????????????(????)?
?3. ????????????CMIP3?JRA?ERA?????()?
?5. CMIP3????????????RH600lt35???????Q1-QR?500?850
hPa???600hPa???????????????????
5.????????Q1-QR???????? ????????Q1-QR????????????
??????????6??????Q1rc500/850?RH600?????????Q1rc500
/850?RH600????????????????????????????????????????
?4????????????????????????????????????????????????
??????? ?6????Arakawa and Schubert
(1974)????????????????????????????????AS??????????
??Q1rc500/850?RH600???????????????????????????????
???????????????????????Q1rc500/850????????????????
????????????????????????????????????? 6.???
CMIP3?22????????????Q1-QR???????500?850hPa????????
????????????????????????????????RH600lt35?????????
????????????????????????????????????????CMIP??????
??????????????????????????????????????????????????
????????????????????
?6. ????????CMIP3?JRA?ERA?Q1-QR?500?850hPa???600hP
a????()???Arakawa and Schubert (1974)???Tiedtke
(1989)?????????????????????????