Foreign and Security Policy

1
Foreign and Security Policy

• East and Central Europe in Transition

2
Personnel and spelling

• Brezhnev
• Chernenko
• Andropov
• Gorbachov
• Yeltsin
• Putin

3
Warsaw Pact

• Response to NATO
• Goals primarily Moscows
• Keep Germany divided
• Push back starting point of land invasion
• Expand Communism Stalin, but not necessarily
  Khrushchev
• Brezhnev Doctrine

4
(No Transcript)
5
Comecon/CMEA

• Economic interdependence
• counter to Common Market
• planning
• specialisation

6
After Independence

• Lets all join NATO
• Lets all join European Union
• Whos really European?
• Yanks go home?
• Prevent revival of Communism and/or Moscow
  dominance
• Any old scores need settling?

7
(No Transcript)
8
Conflicts

• Polish posession of Silesia and half East Prussia
• Prussia Konigsberg/Kaliningrad
• Transylvania
• Ruthenia

9
Diasporas

• Bulgarian Turks
• Dispossessed Germans from 1945-8
• Russians in Ukraine, Latvia, Estonia
• Crimean Tartars
• Dispossessed and Murdered East European Jewish
  families from fascist period
• Emigrants to U.S., exiled dissidents and defectors

10
Moscows nearby concerns

• Far East Kuriles and Amur/Ussuri river frontiers
• Central Asia Islamic fundamentalism and
  Tajikistan
• CaucasusChechnya,Abkhazia,Nagorno-Karabakh,
  South Ossetia
• Europe CIS or near abroad Baltic States
  former Communist states Western Europe

11
Moscows global concerns

• UN role wants to be taken seriously
• Relations with US partnership turning to
  rivalry Serbia, Iraq, other conflicts of
  interest?
• Needs to sell something on world market. What is
  its economic role to be?
• What relations are possible with Japan, Germany,
  France and China?

12
Document 10.07.2000 approved Putin June 28th

• International relations have been transformed
• Cold war over, Russia reformed
• Opportunities for cooperation broadened
• Threat of global nuclear conflict reduced to
  minimum
• Military power of importance, but econ.,
  political, sci and tech, ecological and info
  factors increasing in importance

13
New challenges and threats to Russian national
interest

• Unipolar world US dominates both economically
  and politically
• Role of UN Security Council being weakened
• Questions of international security being decided
  by primarily western institutions and forums of
  limited composition
• Strategy of unilateral actions is destabilising
• Bypassing legal mechanisms will not remove
  underlying causes of conflict but can undermine
  foundations of law and order

14
Russias first aim

• to achieve a multi-polar system of
  international relations that really reflects the
  diversity of the modern world with its great
  variety of interests

15
Russias concerns

• Rivalry among regional powers
• Growth of separatism, ethnic-national and
  religious extremism
• Integration in the Euro-Atlantic region being
  pursued selectively
• Belittling role of sovereign state is used to
  legitimise arbitrary interference in internal
  affairs

16
More concerens

• Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and
  their delivery
• Growth of international terrorism
• Trafficking in drugs and weapons
• Regional and local armed conflicts Chechnya,
  Abkhazia, Kosovo Nagorno-karabakh etc.

17
Russias resources are limited

• So it finds it difficult to uphold its economic
  interests
• But the potential for ensuring itself a worthy
  place in the world remains if
• Statehood can be strengthened
• Civil society consolidates
• Stable economic growth can be achieved

18
Priorities

• Decrease in the role of the power factor
• Enhancement of strategic and regional stability

19
Means

• Comply with arms reduction treaties and negotiate
  new ones
• Further bilateral reduction of nuclear potential
  with US
• Control of missile technologies and proliferation
• Strategic stability of information security
• Reduction and limitation of conventional forces
• Strengthening of legal foundation of
  international peacekeeping in accordance with UN
  Charter