Future employment trends

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Future employment trends

• Tony Donohoe, Head of Social and Education Policy
  
• tony.donohoe_at_ibec.ie

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Future employment trends

• Short-term outlook
• Long-term forecasts
• FAS/ESRI Manpower Studies 2003
• National Skills Strategy
• Policy context
• Workplace of the future
• Implications for supported employment

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Economic outlook ()
2006 2007 2008
Consumer spending 5.7 6.1 3.8
Government spending 5.3 5.5 3.5
Investment 3.1 -0.1 -3.3
Exports 4.4 7.0 5.5
Imports 4.4 5.2 4.0
GDP 5.7 4.8 3.4
GNP 6.5 4.4 3.2
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Employment outlook
(000)
2006 2007 2008
Agriculture 117 116 115
Industry 560 573 561
Services 1,362 1,414 1,454
Total at work 2,039 2,103 2,130
Unemployed 93 103 123
unemployed 4.4 4.7 5.5
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Vacancies notified to FAS
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PPSN allocations to EU10 migrants
Source FAS Labour Market Commentary
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International unemployment
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Employment growth 2005-2012
Source FAS/ESRI Manpower Forecasting Study
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Employment by sector 2000-2020
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National Skills Strategy
2005 - 2020

• Upskill through
• Training
• Adult education

Current stock 1.43m

• Increase retention rates at second level
• Increase third level participation

New flow from education system 640,000

• Recognition of qualifications
• English language programmes
• Integration into education training system

Migrant labour 310,000
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National Skills Strategy - Vision
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Policy context Towards 2016

• Consolidating and progressing vocational training
  and employment services
• Extending the National Employment Action Plan FAS
  referral process to people with disabilities
• Public service employment in accordance with
  Disability Act, 2005
• Promoting awareness
• Materials developed under Workway

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Workplace of the future

• Agile
• Customer centred
• Knowledge intensive
• Responsive to employee needs
• Networked
• Highly productive
• Involved and participatory
• Continually learning
• Proactively diverse

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Obstacles to employment