Sustainable Urban Mobility in Asia

1
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Bert Fabian and Cornie Huizenga Secretariat
Clean Air
Initiative for Asian Cities
Forum of Environmental Friendly Action by Cities
in Western China 13-14 July 2006 Urumuqi,
XinJiang Autonomous Region, China, P.R.
Sustainable Urban Mobility in Asia A CAI-Asia
Program
2
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3
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• ??? ??????(??????)?????????????(WHO)????,????????
  ??

4
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Bangkok
Ho Chi Minh

• ????????????????,????????????????
• ?????????????(?????????????)??????????

Hong Kong
?Note SPM ??? 100 µg/m3 PM10 ???
50 µg/m3
5
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1985
1995
2005
2015
Source BBC using Gall-Peters Map projection
(2006) and UN DESA population data (2005)

• ????60??,??????????
• ????90??,??????????
• ???2020?,?????????

2000?2025?,??????????-????81 ,???? 87
6
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7
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China, P.R.
India
Thailand
Indonesia
Note Vehicle Population Projection from Segment
Y Ltd
8
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Thousand Tons of PM10 ?????
Million Tons of CO2 ???? ???
China, P.R.??
India??
9
?????????NOx??
Note Segment Y Vehicle Population Projection
using IEA SMP model
10
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• ???????? India, China, P.R., Indonesia and
  Thailand
• 2005 125 million
• 2008 170 million
• 2015 300 million
• ?????????????? ??????????2025???
• ??????????,????
• 2-3?????????????????,?
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• ??????
• ???Tuk-tuk

Note The forecasts used in Figures 2 and 3 were
developed by Segment Y plc (www.segmenty.com)
based on the Goldman Sachs economic forecast in
their Dreaming with BRICs report
11
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• ???????????,??????????????2004??750?????2005??950
  ??
• ?????????????????????????1996??????????????????
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• ???????260????????????????

? ???John Rogers ??(2006)
12
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13
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14
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Source CAI-Asia, 2006
15
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Source CAI-Asia, 2006
16
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Source CAI-Asia and ADB, 2006
17
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18
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Source Shah, J. 2006. Inspection Maintenance
of In-use Vehicles. Presented at Transforming
Transportation The Human Side of Making Urban
Transport and Planning Work 26 and 27 January
2006. Washington, D.C. U.S.A.
19
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20
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Source Shah, J. 2006. Inspection Maintenance
of In-use Vehicles. Presented at Transforming
Transportation The Human Side of Making Urban
Transport and Planning Work 26 and 27 January
2006. Washington, D.C. U.S.A.
21
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22
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23
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24
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25
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26
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27
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28
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29
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Source ADB, 2006. Energy Efficiency and Climate
Change Considerations for On-road Transport in
Asia, Consultation Draft
30
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• ?4???????2-3????
• ????I/M??????
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• ??????????????????(BRT),?????????????????
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