Give Us This Day our Daily Breadth

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Give Us This Day our Daily Breadth

• Greg J. Duncan
• Department of Education
• University of California, Irvine

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Learning from the masters
Tom Juster Jim Morgan
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Jeanne Brooks-Gunn
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The economist who is only an economist is likely
to become a nuisance if not a positive danger.
- Frederick von Hayek
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Rat demand curve for root beer
Kagel et al., 1975
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I say noncognitive skill
You feel
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To create is to recombine
- Francois Jacob
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Parallel play
Associative play
Cooperative play
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A Mediated Model of Family Poverty
Purchased inputs Cognitive stimulation in the
home Type and quality of child care Quality of
schools and neighborhood
Income pathway
Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotio
nal behavior Executive function
Child Poverty
Family processes Maternal mental health Parenting
Maternal stress pathway
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Increase in completed schooling associated with a
3,000 annual increase in income
Duncan, Brooks-Gunn, Yeung and Smith, 1998
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Increase in age 25-37 earnings associated with a
3,000 annual increase in income
Duncan, Ziol-Guest Kalil, 2010
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Increase in age 25-37 earnings associated with a
3,000 annual increase in income
Duncan, Ziol-Guest Kalil, 2010
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Regression-adjusted associations with early
family income
Adult earnings () plt.05
Arrests ns
Non-marital birth ns
Adult work hours () plt.01
Adult obesity (-) plt.05
Adult hypertension (-) plt.05
Adult arthritis (-) plt.05
Duncan, Ziol-Guest Kalil, 2010
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A Mediated Model of Family Poverty
Purchased inputs
Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotio
nal behavior Executive function
Childhood Poverty
Parenting
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A Mediated Model of Family Poverty
Purchased inputs
Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotio
nal behavior Executive function
Childhood Poverty
Parenting
Adult outcomes Ability to sustain full time
careers Health
Stress and immune function
Early poverty
Early fetal/child stress
Early brain development
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Macrosystem
Political system ?
? Culture
Exosystem
Mesosystem
Mass media ?
? Community
Microsystem
The Child
Peers ?
? Family
? Economy
? Economy
? Policy
? Policy
Bronfenbrenner, 1979
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(No Transcript)
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High and low family incomes, 1947-2008
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Achievement gaps by race and income, by birth year
Income gap based on various national surveys
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As yet untitled volume Edited by Greg Duncan and
Richard Murnane Russell Sage, 2011
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EITC payments for family with 2 children
1996
1993
Earned income
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Effects of EITC expansion on childrens test
scores and mothers health
bad mental health days
CRP 0.3 mg/Dl
Children Mothers
Dahl and Lochner, 2009 Evans and Garthwaite,
2009
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Statistical technique de jour
Measurement quality
Unbiased estimation
Unbiased causal estimation
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The case for breadth
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(No Transcript)
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Ideas having sex with other ideasThe history
of the modern world is a history of ideas
meeting, mixing, mating and mutating
Matt Ridley, 2010 The Rational Optimist
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2012 Theme meetings in Tampa Bay

• February 9-11, 2012
• Developmental methodology
• Positive development
• October 18-20, 2012
• Emerging adulthood

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To create is to recombine- Francois Jacob