Title: Conservative Challenge 1980-2000
1Conservative Challenge1980-2000
- Rise of Conservatism
- Supply side economics
- SDI
- Central America
- End of Cold War
2Rise of Conservatism
- National international phenomenon
- New Deal? Gt Society New Left losing appeal
- Centralized, socialized market economies lost
support in W Europe - Biggest surprise Collapse of Communism
- 1964 Goldwater Campaign beginning of
resurgence of conservatism - Policies of Nixon, Ford, writings of William F.
Buckley economist Milton Friedman - Evidence shift to the right
- By 1980 loose coalition of econ. polit
conservs, religious fundamentalists, corporate
sponsored PACs BIG force for change - Opposed Big Gov, New Deal Liberalism, Gun
Control, Feminism, Gay Rights, Welfare,
Affirmative Action, Sexual Permissiveness, Drug
use - Responsible for undermining Family Values, Work
Ethic, National Security
3Leading Issues
- Late 70s lower taxes, improved morals, less
affirmative action - Taxpayer Revolt 1978 CA passed Prop 13
- Sharply cutting property taxes
- services fire, emergency, schools, etc
- Jack Kemp William Roth proposed legislation to
cut taxes across the board 30 - Becomes basis for Reagan Tax Cuts
4Moral Revival
In a now infamous letter, sent as a plea to
supporters to donate money to the Stop ERA
organization, Robertson claimed that the feminist
movement was "a socialist, anti-family political
movement that encourages women to leave their
husbands, kill their children, practice
witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become
lesbians.
- Televangelists
- Pat Robertson, (Christian Coalition) Oral Roberts
- Jim Tammy Fay Baker
- TV audience 60-100 million
- Jerry Falwells Moral Majority
- Rated politicians w/ moral report cards
- Financed campaigns to unseat liberals in Congress
- Phyllis Schlaffly led anti-feminist attack on ERA
w/ Eagle Forum - Group that argued for traditional Biblical view
of womens role in society - Religious fundamentalists attack secular
humanism as a Godless creed taking over public
ed - Campaigned to get prayer in schools and only
teach creationism - Roe v Wade, 1973 legalized abortion
- Sparked right to life movement that now joined
Catholics, Fundamentalists (life starts at
conception)
5Reverse Discrimination
- 1965- LBJ launched affirmative action to
guarantee level playing field - Equal access to education, jobs, housing for all
minorities, women included - After Stagflation of 70s, white males blame
reverse discrimination for their problems - Claim to be an endangered species
- Regents of UCLA v Bakke (1978) ruled college
admissions could not be based on race alone
6Reagan Revolution
- Actor turned politician- speaker for Goldwater
campaign - Gov CA in 70s
- 76 challenged (nearly won) Republican nomination
from Ford - Campaign 1980
- 1980-Sen Edward Kennedy challenged Carter for
nomination hurt Carter in polls - Reagan attacks Democrats Big Gov solutions to
problems loss of prestige abroad - Hostages in Iran
- Cites Misery Index of 28
- Rate of inflation added to rate of unemployment
- Asks TV audience are you better off now than you
were 4 yrs ago? - Republicans 51 pop vote 91 electoral vote
- Dems 41 Independent John Anderson (Moderate
R) 8 - Significance Reps took Blue Collar vote
7Reagan Revolution 2
- 1st time s. 1954 Republicans control Senate
- Defeated 11 liberal Dems targeted by Moral
Majority - Also got 33 seats in House
- Worked w/ So. Conserv Dems on many issues
- End of ½ Century of Dem dominance of Congress
8Reagan Inauguration
- Iranians released hostages as Reagan was sworn in
to office - October surprise (Conspiracy theory)
investigation later found insufficient evidence - 2 months into 1st admin shot by John Hinkley (w/
press sec Jim Brady - Handled situation w/ charm, humor
- Increased popularity
- 4 key promises
- Lower taxes, reduce gov spending on welfare
- Build up armed forces, create more conservative
CT - Delivered all 4
9Supply side economics
- Reagans Director of Office of Management
Budget David Stockman - Advocate of supply side econ
- Tax cuts cuts in spending should increase
investments in private sector - This should increase production, jobs, prosperity
- Unlike Keynesian econ that used increased Gov
spending to boost consumer income demand - Supply Side trickle down econ of 20s
- Wealthy prospered
- Some of their profits spending benefit middle
class poor
10Federal Tax Cuts
- Congress passed most cuts R asked for
- Including 25 personal tax cut over 3 yrs
- Cuts in corporate income tax
- Most tax relief benefits rich
- Top income tax rate down to 28
- Small investors can put up to 2k per yr into IRA
- Individual retirement accounts
- No tax until w/drawal
11Spending Cuts
- w/ help from Boll Weevils (Conserv S. Dems)
- 40 Bill cut from
- Food Stamps,
- Student loans,
- mass transportation
- Savings off set by increased military spending
- No cuts in Medicare, Social Security
- Retirement age goes up from 62 to 65
- Taxed benefits go to wealthy recipients
12Deregulation
- Promised to get Government off the backs of the
people. - Reduced regulations on businesses and industry
- S L institutions
- Mergers takeovers by large corps
- Environmental protection
- Auto emissions auto safety
- Secretary of Interior James Watt
- Opened Federal land to coal timber production
offshore waters to oil drilling - Oil spills follow
13Labor Unions
- 1 time president of Screen Actors guild
- Now anti-union
- Fired thousands of striking Federal Air Traffic
Controllers - Violating contract by walking out
- Decertified their union
- Many businesses now hired replacements for
striking workers - Government support for anti union drive leads to
decline of unions in 80s - Recession of 82 foreign competition drives down
workers wages
14Recession Recovery
- 82 worst recession in 50 yrs
- Banks failed
- Unemployment rose to 11
- Fall in oil prices, recession stop inflation
- Down to 4
- 83 recovery begins
- Japanese auto industry agreed to voluntary quotas
on car exports - Wider gap between Rich Poor
- Upper income sees increase in standard of living
- Poor sees decrease
15Social Issues
- Conservatives on the court
- Sandra Day OConnor first woman
- Antonin Scalia
- Anthony Kennedy (after Bork Borked)
- New Chief Justice William Rehnquist
- Court cut affirmative action in hiring,
promotions - Court limits Roe v Wade
- Allows state restrictions
16Election 84
- Reagan for Republicans
- Democrats Jesse Jackson Rainbow Coalition
- Walter Mondale (Carters VP) w/ Geraldine Ferraro
(NY) - Reagan takes every state except MN (Mondales)
- 2/3 white males vote for Reagan
- 2 groups favor Dems African Americans Poor
17Budget Trade deficits
- Tax cuts increased military spending
- Federal deficits of over 200 Billion per yr
- 1980-88 National debt from 900 Bill ? 2.7
trillion - Tax cuts stimulate consumption, not investments
- Esp of foreign made luxury items
- Lead to Trade Deficit
- Up to 150 Billion per yr
- Much foreign ownership of US real estate and
industry - 1985 US becomes debtor nation for first time
since WWI - Congress passed Graham Rudman Hollings Balanced
Budget Act - Across board spending cuts
- Limited by Congress, Courts
- Still reduced budget deficit 220 Bill 1986--?
155 Bill 1988 - Yearly deficits of 200-300 billion killed Dem
arguments for social programs like proposed
Universal Health Care
18Foreign Policy
- Goals of RR restore military might superpower
prestige of US - Intensify cold war w/ USSR
- the focus of evil in the modern world
- Sound check joke that went out live
- Increased spending for defense and aid to anti
communist forces in Latin America hallmark of
first term - Build up Sec Defense Caspar Weinberger projected
doubling of defense budget by 1986 - Proposed spending billions for new weapons like
- B1 bomber
- MX missiles
- Expanded Navy from 450-600 ships
- SDI
19SDI
- Strategic Defense Initiative
- Star Wars to critics
- Plan build hi tech system of lasers particle
beams - To destroy enemy missiles before they could enter
US - Costly, would escalate arms race
- Outmoded before production
- Congress cut RR proposals, still defense budget
grew - 171 Bill 1981
- 300 Bill 1985
20Central America
- RR supported right wing dictators friendly to
the US - To keep communists out and to overthrow Marxist
Sandinista regime in Nicaragua since 1979 - CIA director William Casey used covert action in
unsuccessful attempt to overthrow Sandinistas - (mil aid) -? Contras
- Anti-Leftist rebels in Nic
- Trying to seize power from Sandinistas
- 1985 Dems (opposing our Nic. Policy) passed
Boland amendment prohibiting further aid to
Contras - El Salvador- RR admin spent 5 bill to support
Salvadoran Gov against coalition of leftist
guerrillas. - Right wing death squads connected to El Salv.
Army killed over 40k civilians, including
American missionaries
21Grenada
- Small island, Caribbean coup pro Cuban regime
- Oct 83, Marines invaded to prevent establishing
communist military base. - Saw air strip being built
- Grenada claimed it was for tourism
- Medical students rescued
22Iran Contra Affair
- Effort to aid Nicaraguan contras
- Blunder/scandal
- Origin Troubles in Iran since 1980
- Iran v Iraq war
- National Security advisor Robert McFarlands plan
(secret) sell US anti-tank aircraft missiles to
Irans gov for its help freeing Americans held
hostage by radical Islamic Fundamentalists - 1986 Oliver North- staff member of NSCs idea
use profits from arms deal w/ Iran to fund
Contras - RR denied knowing about illegal act (Boland
amendment) - Violated congressional budget authority
- Tv congressional investigation
- Picture emerged uninformed hands off prez taking
naps, manipulated by advisors - Leaves office one of most pop presidents of 20th
C - Most Amers dont care about Iran Contra affair
- Oliver North seen as hero by some
23Lebanon, Israel, PLO
- Set backs for Reagans foreign policy
- 1982, Israel, w US approval, invaded S. Lebanon
to stop PLO terrorist raids into N. Israel - US became involved in evacuating PLO to safe
haven and sending in peace keeping forces to stop
Lebanons civil war - Apr 83 Arab suicide squad bombed US embassy in
Beirut killing 63 - Summer 83 Arab terrorists drove bomb filled truck
into US Marine barracks killing 241 - 84 US pulls out of Lebanon.
- No gains.
24PLO (2)
- Sec St George Schultz pushed for peaceful
settlement of Palestinian Israeli conflict by
setting up homeland for PLO West bank territories
occupied by Israel s. 1967 war - Ams pressure Yasser Arafat in 88 to recognize Is
rt to exist - Some question remained does PLO go along with
Arafat on this? Probably not.
25Improved US- Soviet Relats
- 85- Reformer Mikhail Gorbachev- New Sov leader
- Wants to bring two major reforms
- Glasnost openness to end political repression,
greater political freedom for citizens - Perestroika some free market economic practices
- To achieve- must stop arms race fix Soviet
economy - 87 Gorb Reagan meet agree remove, destroy
all intermediate range missiles (INF agreement) - 88 Gorb starts pull out of Afghanistan
- Puts pressure on Iran/ Iraq to send war. End of
Cold War??
26Assess RR policy
- RR believed our military built up could force
USSR to concede defeat abandon Cold War - Others credit Kennans containment, Gorbs
initiatives - Constitutional limits force RR retirement
- 1st pres S. Ike to complete 2 terms in office.
- Alzheimers admits S. early 90s
27Bush End of Cold War
- Former ambassador to UN, CIA director
- Election 88 Dem control of Senate 86
- Dems hope that huge deficit and Iran-Contra
scandal will help in 88 - Michael Dukakis, Gov MA, Dem Candidate w/ Sen
Lloyd Bentsen (TX) v. George Bush w/ Sen Dan
Quayle (IN) - Wimp v Shrimp (Opus cartoon, Berkley Breathed)
- Image problem
- Bush charged Dems soft on Crime, showed Willie
Horton commercial abo Weekend Furlough program.
Anti Black? - Bush promise Read my lips, no new taxes
- Big victory but Dem majorities in both houses
28Communism in China
- Tiananmen Square- China, Spring 89- Student
demonstration for freedom televised around world - Crushed by Chinese Communist gov w/ tanks..
Killing hundreds, ending brief period of openness
in China
29Eastern Europe
- Open challenges to communism mount
- Gorbachov no longer supports govs of eastern
Europe w/ arms, armed forces - Poland- Lech Walesa led outlawed Solidarity
movement? toppled Communist gov there. - Hungary, Czech, Bulgaria, Romania all removed
Comm govs - Comms forced out of E. Germany after protestors
there tore down Berlin Wall, hated symbol of Cold
War - Oct 90 2 Germanies reunited w/ blessings of NATO
and USSR - E. Republics of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
declared independence - 91 failed coup against Gorb by communist
hardliners - Dec remaining Republics dissolved Soviet Union
- Gorb leader w/o country
30Russia
- Boris Yeltsin, pres of Russia, joins 9 former
Soviet republics to form loose confederation - CIS Commonwealth of Independent States
- Yeltsin disbands Communist party in Russia
- Attempts to establish Democracy and free market
economy
31End of Cold War
- Sweeping agreements to dismantle nukes
- START I agreement (91) reduced warheads to 10k
on each side - Late 92 START II reduced to about 3k each,
offered econ assist to Russian economy - Bush US worried about civil wars violence in
former Soviet Union - 91 Yugoslavia disintegrates
- 92 Bosnia Herzegovina Civil War starts
- US questions do we still need heavy defense
spending and military bases?
32Panama
- Dec 89 US troops invade to remove dictator
General Manuel Noriega - Head of drug cartel
- To stop importation of P drugs
- Troops stay to establish new Gov
33Persian Gulf War
- 90 Saddam Hussein (Iraq) invaded oil rich Kuwait
- Threatens Western oil sources in Saudi Arabia
Persian Gulf - Bush built coalition of UN members to pressure
Hussein to w/draw - US embargo on Iraq- little effect
- Congress approved military action
- Jan 91 Desert Storm- ½ mill Amers joined
military units from 28 nations - 5 weeks air strikes ground war under Gen
Schwarzkopf - Iraq concedes defeat w/d from Kuwait
- Sets fire to oil wells on way out
- US stops short of removing Hussein from power
- Still Bush approval rating nearly 90
34Domestic Problems
- Nomination of Clarence Thomas
- 2 replace Thurgood Marshal, ret. (nomd by LBJ)
- Controversial
- Thomas conservative charged w/ sexual
harassment of former employee Anita Hill - Public confirmation hearings of Hill testimony
dismissed her charges - Sen confirms
35Taxes Economy
- Savings and Loans failed after deregulation by RR
- Cost to tax payers to replace insured deposits
to bail out some s ls 250 billion - Fed budget deficits 250 bill per yr
- National debt 1 trillion more under Bush
- 1990 Bush agreed to Congress Revenue
Enhancements of 133 billion - Top tax rate goes to 31
- Fed taxes increased on Beer, Wine, Cigs, Gas,
luxury cars, boats - Recession begins, unemployment goes up
- Education President cut funding for schools
36Anti incumbent mood
- Stagnant economy
- Huge budget deficit
- Disillusionment grows, w/ push for term limits
- US Term Limits Inc v Thorton (95) Sup Ct rules
states cannot limit terms of federal lawmakers
w/o constitutional amendment - When it was revealed that many House members had
written bad checks from a private House bank,
public confidence lessened even more. - The 27th Amendment banned congressional pay
raises from taking effect until an election had
seated a new session of Congress, an idea first
proposed by James Madison in 1789
37Bill Clinton the First Baby-Boomer President
- 92 Bill Clinton w/ Al Gore Jr. (Dems)
- Clinton accused of dodging draft, womanizing
- Dems promote econ growth, strong defense, anti
crime - Repubs focus Family values
- Third party Ross Perot
- Dems win, get control of both houses
- More minorities, women in cabinet than ever
- Janet Reno Attorney Gen
- Donna Shalala Sec of Health Human Services
- Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Supreme Ct
38False Start for Reform
- Clinton calls for acceptance of Gays in military
but has to settle for dont ask dont tell
policy - Appointed wife, Hillary, to revamp health and
medical care system - Critics blasted her, and revision- unveiled in
Oct 93 - She goes down in polls becomes liability
- 96, Clinton shrunk Fed deficit to lowest level in
a decade - Passed gun control bill (Brady Bill)
- Anti crime bill
39Terrorism
- Radical Muslim group bombed World Trade Center,
NY- killing 6 - Timothy McVeigh bombed Federal building in OK
(95) killing 169 - Branch Davidians faced off w/ ATF (feds) Waco,
TX- resulted in fire that burned compound,
killing men, women, children
40Politics of Distrust
- 94 Newt Gingrich led Reps on attack of Clinton
failures w/ conservative Contract With America - Reps won all incumbent seats plus 8 in Senate, 53
in House.. G bcms new Speaker - Imposed new fed laws that put more obligations on
state local govs w/o providing revenues - Clinton forced to sign Welfare reform bill that
cut programs - G also suggests sending children of welfare
families to orphanages - Robert Dole lost (Rep) in 96.. Ross Perot distant
third
41Abroad
- Clinton sent troops to Somalia
- Meddled in Northern Ireland w/o results
- Denounced Chinas abuse of human rights
- Threatened to punish China but trade too
important. - Committed troops to NATO for peace keeping in
former Yugoslavia - Sent troops to return Jean Bertrand Aristide to
power in Haiti - Supported NAFTA made free trade zone of Mexico,
US Canada - Helped form World Trade Organization to work on
tariffs, trade - 93 met w/ Yitzhak Rabin Yasir Arafat at White
House - 95 Rabin assassinated, ending hopes for peace
42Sea of Troubles
- 93 Clinton ran into trouble with failed real
estate investment in Whitewater Land Corp - Vince Foster, Jr committed suicide.. Manager of
Clinton investments - Clinton begins second term w/ Rep majorities in
both houses - Kenneth Starr report on Clinton investigated
alleged abuses - 4 yrs investigation cost 30 million. Tried to
find wrong doings in Whitewater case. - Dead end
- Total findings
- Firing White House travel agents, possible misuse
of FBI files, perjury on testimony given during
Paula Jones deposition.. Lied about relationship
w WH staffer Monica Lewinski - Lewinski tapes made during phone convo w/ friend
discussed relationship - Impeachment of Clinton- hearings impeached by
House Republicans, acquitted by Senate.
43Election 2000
- George Bush Jr. v Al Gore Jr
- Gore wins popular vote Bush wins electoral vote
- Controversy over FL 25 electoral votes, a recount
in Fl - Election called in FL before last three precincts
were in (Dem) - Margin was close, recount put Bushs lead to 300
votes but Gore wanted hand count of key counties
as allowed by law - Fl Sec St Harris halted recount when Palm Beach
missed deadline (Bro Jeb Bush Gov)
44George W Bush
- 9/11/01 in first year of first term
- Announced war on Terror
- Ordered invasion of Afghanistan, Iraq (2003)
- Failure to find weapons of mass destruction
confused public perception of war aims - Refusal to take responsibility for abuses at Abu
Grahib - Massive Cut taxes for upper classes plus hands
off deregulation of banking industry led to
rising deficits, bank failures - No Child Left Behind Act required state standards
be met punished schools w/o helping students - 2005 handling of Hurricane Katrina and aftermath
of destruction widely criticized. - Pres seemed out of touch with human suffering
here.
45Bush economic policy
- Running for president, argued that Gov surplus
belonged to the people promised to give it
back. - Unemployment tripled in two terms
- Poverty rate increased
- Deregulated banks ease credit requirements
- Leads to housing bubble
- Collapse of banks, business failures, rise in
unemployment - Values of securities tied to Real estate pricing
fell - Global bank failures follow
- Wall street crashed
- Severe recession starts Dec 2007 (blamed on
previous admin) - 2008 Gov bailed out banks, Auto makers