Title: Deductive Reasoning
1Deductive Reasoning
2Deductive Reasoning
Reasoning about premises and a conclusion with
certainty
If there is danger of earthquakes in SF Then
the city takes preventative measures.
There is danger of earthquakes in SF .
The city takes preventative measures.
modus ponens
If p then q.
p.
q
3Mental Proofs?
- Modus Ponens vs. Modus Shmomens
If there is danger of earthquakes in SF Then
the city takes preventative measures.
There is danger of earthquakes in SF .
The city does not take preventative measures.
4Are People Rational?
IF a card has a Vowel on one side THEN It has an
Even number on the other side
5Conditional Reasoning If p then q
If p then q. Modus Ponens p. q. If p then q.
Affirmation of the consequent q. p.
If p then q. Modus Tollens not q. not p. If
p then q. Denial of the antecedent not p. not q.
6The Wason Selection Task
Content effects on the W
ason Selection T
ask
(Griggs and Cox, 1982)
beer
coke
16
22
If a person is drinking beer
, then the person must
be over 21
7The Wason Selection Task
If the form says entering on one side, then
the other side includes cholera among the list of
diseases (Cheng Holyoak, 1985)
8The Permission Schema the WST
Cheng and Holyaok (1985)
The permission schema
P1 If the action is to be taken (p), then
the precondition must be satisfied (q).
P2 If the action is not to be taken (not
-
p), then the precondition need not be
satisfied ( ).
P3 If the precondition is satisfied (q),
then the action may be taken ( ).
P4 If the precondition is not satisfied
(not-q), then the action must not be
taken (not-p).
9The WST Social Contracts
If a man eats cassava root, then he has a
tattoo Cosmides (1989)
10Perspective Effects
IF an employee works on the weekend, THEN That
person gets a day off during the week Gigerenzer
and Hug (1992)
Employee P not-Q Employer not-P and Q
11A non-deontic approach toPerspective effects
Staller, Sloman and Ben-Zeev (2000)
Week- day
Sun is shining
It is raining gray
Week- end
IF its a week-day THEN the sun is shining
12A non-deontic approach todeductive reasoning
Depressed individuals would do better on tasks
that disconfirm their beliefs (Ben-Zeev, in
progress)
I Make a
People still respect me
People lose respect for me
I Perform well
big mistake
IF I make a big mistake THEN people will still
respect me
13What is the appropriatenormative model?
Oaksford Chater (1994)
Hypothesis testing and the rarity assumption
ate
did not
did not
got
tripe
get sick
eat tripe
sick
If you eat tripe then you get sick
14Are people rational?
What do you think based on the studies that We
have discussed in this class so far?