SFEI LOOKING BACK : LOOKING FORWARD

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SFEI LOOKING BACK LOOKING FORWARD

• The RMP has always been composed of a diverse
  (odd ?) set of individuals

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SCIENTISTS
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ENGINEERS
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INDUSTRY
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ENVIRONMENTALISTS
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SUMMARY FIRST RMP ANNUAL MEETINGITS BEEN A
LOVE FEST
(Steve Ritchey SF RWQCB)
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15 YEARS LATERSF BAY NATIONAL MODEL

• (Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004. Environmental
  Science Technology)

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THE PROBLEM - ELSEWHERE

• Literature Survey
• metals in US estuaries
• 1975-2002
• Results
• only 83 published articles
• no data 1/2 US estuaries
• Only long term metal studies
• SF Bay
• Most studies in other estuaries being done by RMP
  alumni

Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004
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RMP ALUMNI CONDUCTING ESTUARINE STUDIES
ELSEWHERE

• East Coast
• Sergio Sañudo Stony Brook
• Mark Wells Maine
• Greg Cutter ODU
• John Donat ODU
• Gulf Coast
• Gary Gill Texas AM
• Bill Landing Florida State
• Far East Coast
• Kuria Ndungu Sweden

still involved in SF Bay-Delta studies
incomplete listing
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RMP ALUMNI REGULATING ESTUARINE STUDIES

• Priya Ganguli SF RWQCB
• Peter Kozelka US EPA
• Jon Phinney NOAA
• Ignacio Rivera US Navy
• Doug Steding Supreme Court

incomplete listing
circa 2010
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THE PROBLEM IN SF BAY150 YEARS OF POLLUTION 15
YEARS OF RMP DATA

• Gold Rush
• Mercury Mines
• Golden Gate
• Red Lead
• Silver Estuary
• Industrial Discharges
• Urban Estuary
• Periodic Table

prenascent RMP data collection began in 1989
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MERCURY IN SF BAY

• SFEI Summary Time Series Data

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OTHER PROBLEMS WITH SF BAY

• Physical Complexity Hydrologic
  Complexity

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RMP DATA QUANTIFY TEMPORAL CHANGESAg Pb in
the South Bay (1989-2000)

• Dissolved Ag
• 40 decline
• Dissolved Pb
• no decline
• Total Ag
• 70 decline
• Total Pb
• 40 decline
• Squire et al., 2002. EST

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RMP DATA ENABLE PROJECTIONS

Cooke et al., URS Monismith et al., Stanford
Schubel et al., 2003
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RMP DATA MODEL LIMITATIONS
It is safer to interpolate than extrapolate

• Small data set
• Limited spatial coverage
• Assumptions of constancy in an inconstant world
• Flegal et al., 1991

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RMP DATA FOSTER COLLABORATIONS
INNOVATIONSMEANINGFUL WATER QUALITY CRITERIA
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EMERGING CONCERNS

• Population growth
• water demands
• contaminant inputs
• Urbanization
• surface runoff
• Negative sediment budget
• contaminant re-exposure
• Global warming
• reduced fresh water flows
• reduced sediment flows

Sewall and Sloan, 2004, JGR
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SUMMARY 15 YEARS OF RMP ITS STILL GROOVY
Russ Flegal, Aging Hippie
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TOTAL DISSOLVED FREE COPPER