La NATO e lItalia

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EVOLUTION vs. REVOLUTION TRANSFORMING OUR VISION
OF SECURITY
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EVOLUTION REVOLUTION
Changing factors are transforming evolution into
revolution
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MODERN ERA REVOLUTIONS

• Building of nation-states after the Westphalia
  peace treaty
• Napoleonic wars

• WW1 - Industrialisation of the conflict
• Nuclear weapons

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THE SECURITY SCENARIO REVOLUTION
Characteristics

• incubation period and triggering event
• changing engines of political, social, economic
  and technological nature and only partially of
  military one
• co-existence of changing elements and enduring
  ones

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EVOLUTION REVOLUTION
Evolution Experience
Revolution Innovation
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THE SECURITY SCENARIO REVOLUTION
?
Difficult and complex to react promptly to sudden
scenario changes
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THE CAUSES OF THE CURRENT REVOLUTION
Go beyond the realms of security alone
Political, ethnic, religious, social, economic,
etc
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THE CAUSES OF THE CURRENT REVOLUTION

• Increasing gap between the developed and the
  underdeveloped world

• Lost of fundamental values

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THE CAUSES OF THE CURRENT REVOLUTION

• Technology proliferation
• Digital divide
• Globalisation and interconnectivity
• Information explosion

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THE CAUSES OF THE CURRENT REVOLUTION
Loss of sovereignty
Decay of state capabilities to handle citizens
lives as well as inter-state relations (bad
governance)
Moving towards wider and differentiated supra
nation-aggregations
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THE GLOBALISED CORE AND THE DISCONNECTED GAP
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CORE GAP INTERACTION AREAS
Crisis occurring in the interaction area between
the globalised core and the disconnected gap
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THE CURRENT REVOLUTION IMPLICATIONS

• Modified risk perception
• Need to develop coherent new strategies and
  efficient responses
• Ability to identify changing factors from
  permanent ones

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RESPONSE TO REVOLUTION
Security scenarios revolution
Security approach revolution
Integrated and holistic actions
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FACING CURRENT REVOLUTION

• Growing role of International Organisations
• Interaction with other actors (e.g. NGOs)

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FACING CURRENT REVOLUTION
Security internal-external continuum
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FACING CURRENT REVOLUTION
Multilateralism Continuum Holistic approach
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FACING CURRENT REVOLUTION

• Pro-active strategies
• Availability of a wide range of political,
  diplomatic, social economic and cooperation tools
  supported when and where needed by military
  component

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FACING THE CURRENT REVOLUTION
Western World leading action
International Community decisions
Stabilising process
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NATO EU PERSPECTIVE

• NATO
• Opportunities of art. 4
• Optimising decision processes
• Re-thinking partnership structures
• Cooperation with Asian and Trans-Pacific
  countries

• EU
• Becoming a prominent actor
• Growth of ESDP
• Need of a strong political support

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GROWTH OF NEW ACTORS

• Spectacular growth of new actors, especially in
  Asia
• China and India

• Consequences on security and stability

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ROLE CONTRIBUTION OF THE MILITARY COMPONENT

• Military component is one of the available
  options
• Wide range of intervention options, from
  preventive diplomacy to crisis management
• Decisive in degraded crisis
• Providing the essential security environment also
  in low risk scenarios

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THE REVOLUTION OF MILITARY OPERATIONS

• Mission does not end with the defeat of the
  opponent forces, but goes on with the
  stabilisation and reconstruction phases
• Operating not only against or in favour of
  someone but also among someone
• Prevailing militarily not sufficient to grant the
  achievement of political-strategic goals

• When required, use of force has to be
  proportionate, selective, efficient and rapidly
  decisive

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THE REVOLUTION OF MILITARY OPERATIONS

• Knowledge of risk situations
• Monitoring possible risk crisis areas
• Containment of the effects
• Interventions to contrast the destabilising
  factors

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THE REVOLUTION OF MILITARY OPERATIONS

• Capabilities, methodologies and intervention
  tools based on achievement of effects coherent
  with the desired goals
• Net-centric architectures (sensors, information,
  operators, tools, etc)

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THE MILITARY TRANSFORMATION
New approach to the security concept
Armed Forces Transformation
. conceptual and innovative revolution
involving all sectors...
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THE MILITARY TRANSFORMATION

• Conceptual shift based on
• multinationality
• interdisciplinary synergy
• outreach
• effect based

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THE MILITARY TRANSFORMATION

• Transformation must rest on
• Multinational and interdisciplinary
  interoperability
• Joint integration
• Expeditionary connotation
• Information superiority
• Net-centric capabilities

• Efficient engagement force protection
  capabilities
• CIMIC

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THE MILITARY TRANSFORMATIONTHE ITALIAN ARMED
FORCES PERSPECTIVE
Transforming while operating

• Continuing to provide a strong contribution to
  the International security organisations
• Speeding up the transformation coherently with
  the current one of NATO and European partners

• Operational effectiveness and usability are
  priority requirements

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