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www.eu-acip.de
Joint Workshop DDSI ACIP - AMSD Brussels 19 /
20 September 2002 Walter Schmitz, IABG
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IST FP5 Roadmap Project ACIP
Analysis Assessment for Critical
Infrastructure Protection
ACIPs purpose is to determine how protection of
critical infrastructures can be analysed and
assessed by modelling and simulation (M S)
ACIP aims to provide a roadmap for the develop-
ment and application of modeling and simulation,
gaming and other methodologies and tools

• Expected Results
• Architecture of a MS-hierarchy for CIP
  assessment
• Realisation plan of the MS-hierarchy

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ACIP Partners
TNO
QinetiQ
RAND-Europe
ENST
ITcon
ENEA
ITcon
ITcon
REE
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ACIP Workpackages
WP3 Scenario Techniques
WP2 IC-Technology Assessment methodology
WP1 CIS investigation vulnerability,
criticalityality, interdependencies
WP6 Roadmap forACIP Methods Tools
WP7 Project Quality Management
WP4 CIS methods and tools
WP5 CIP Policies
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ACIP Workpackages
WP Engagements WP1 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6
Hierarchy Levels
Analysis Tasks
MS Support
Cooperability Policies / Strategies Decision
Support etc.
Socio-economic Models Scenario techniques Gaming
etc
System of Systems
Interoperability Cost-Effectiveness
Analysis Interdependencies Intrusion etc.
Systems Dynamics Empirical Modelling Human
Behaviour etc
Com- pound of CIs
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Decision Support Risk
and Safety Management Survivability Analysis
etc.
Systems Simulation Optimization Algorithms Human
Behaviour Models Cost-Effectiveness Models etc.
Indi- vidual CIs
Techn. Compo- nents
Vulnerability Sustainability Maintenability etc.
Technical Simulation Experimentation LCC Models
etc.
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MS Hierarchy

• Socio-economic Models
• Gaming
• Scenario techniques etc

Policies/Strategies

• Syst. Dynamics
• Empirical Modelling
• etc

Co-operationDecision Support

• Systems Sim.
• Optimization
• Algorithms
• Human Be-
• haviour Mod.
• etc

Cost Benefit Analysis
Risk Analysis/Safety Management
Knowledge Management

• Technical
• Sim.
• Experi-
• mentation
• etc

Vulnerability Analysis
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Interoperability of Information Infrastructures
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M S Demonstration
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Critical Infrastructures
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Intrusion Cockpit Energy
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Control Cockpit
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Simulation Results undisturbed
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Input of Energy Intrusion
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Simulation Results disturbed
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Eliminated Disturbance of Energy
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Cascading Effects
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Cascading Effects
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ACIPs Expectations
ACIP-Roadmap Topics

• Intrusion / Vulnerability Assessments on all
  Hierarchy Levels
• Modelling Large Complex Critical Infrastructures
  (LCCI)
• Survivability Analysis of LCCI
• Intra- and Interdependency Analysis of LCCIs
• Scenario Developments
• Policy Implementation in LCCIs
• Measurements of Disturbances and Data Gathering
  on all Hierarchy Levels
• M S Intrusions LCCIsReaction Change of
  Policy Mission Improvem?
• Others?

Questions to be answered
Relevant for

• Who could contribute in analyzing such topics?
• Who are the stakeholders? (industry, nations, EU
  ?)
• What RD priorities do you see for MS of such
  topics?
• Which programmes are already involved in these
  topics?

• WG 3, WG 1
• WG 1
• WG 1
• WG 2