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Intermediate User Orientation

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Good bet. Opening Gap Reversals off fabulous quick profits. The Fire and Forget Method. ... J. K. L. M. Stocks Down. The Index. Stocks Up. How Do We Make Money? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Intermediate User Orientation


1
  • Intermediate User Orientation

2
What will be covered..
  • How VisualTrader Helps You Make
  • The 4 Market Modes
  • Understanding Transforms
  • The Way Indexes Work
  • Fire Forget Trading
  • Whats Next?

3
How VisualTrader Helps You Make Money
Successful trading is all about having
confidence and managing emotions.
4
How VisualTrader Helps You Make Money
  • Since you can see the whole market, you have the
    confidence to
  • Stay with a position on the first pull-back
  • Exit a position if the market starts changing
    direction
  • Stay Out of the Market when direction is
    unclear. (use the time to establish set-ups!
    - described later)

5
SEEING the Market
  • VisualTrader helps you See the Market using
    Transforms

6
Understanding Transforms
A Transform is a unique way of seeing market
movement and change in movement - by assigning
an aspect of motion to a physical
object. Transforms use a collection of
Measurements to show this change.
Radius energy
Color Change in Trend
Height Trend
Patent application for transform concept filed
with the USPTO
7
VisualTrader Measurements
  • We measure movement in Eight ways
  • Current Trend (Momentum)
  • Change in Trend (Change in Momentum)
  • Reversals in Trend
  • Volatility Breakouts
  • Net Percent Gain/Loss
  • Velocity of Price
  • Acceleration of Price
  • Average Volume

8
Measure Trend
  • Trend is calculated as the Value of MACD, which
    is the difference between two averages, in 3
    timeframes.

Downtrend (MACD lt 0)
MACD Line
Short (S) 8/15 Periods, Medium (M) 12/26
Periods, Long (L) 30/55 Periods
9
Measure Change in Trend
  • Change in Trend is the Value of a moving average
    of MACD (often called the MACD histogram), in 3
    timeframes

MACD Histogram
Short (S) 8/15 Periods, Medium (M) 12/26
Periods, Long (L) 30/55 Periods
10
Measure Reversals
  • Reversal is fired when the MACD Histogram
    reverses direction through zero, in 3 timeframes

Turns in MACD Histogram
Short (S) 8/15 Periods, Medium (M) 12/26
Periods, Long (L) 30/55 Periods
11
Measure Volatility
  • Volatility is the measure of movement outside a
    volatility band based on 2.0 times the Average
    True Range over 9 periods. The measurement shows
    breakouts outside the range.

Volatility Band
Price Chart
12
Measure Net Percent
  • Net Percent is measured for both the current bar
    (in the timeframe of interest) and the current
    session.
  • Net Percent (session) Use to see where the
    market is relative to yesterdays close.
  • Net Percent (bar) Use to see which stock has
    moved the most on the current bar.

13
Measure Velocity Acceleration
  • Velocity is measured as Net Change over the prior
    5 bars.
  • Acceleration is measured as the average Change in
    Velocity over the past 5 bars.

14
Measure Average Volume
  • Average Volume is the percentage which volume has
    changed above or below a 26-Period Moving Average
    of volume. This measurement shows whether the
    most recent bars volume is above or below the
    normal range for the security.

15
Understanding VisualTrader
  • Adapting to Market Mode

16
The 4 Market Modes
The market is always in one of four modes.
4
3
1
2
17
Select the right Transform
- depending on what the market is doing.
18
Trending ExampleTransform Trend with Reversals
Trending Market
New Turn up.
With a Trending Market, look for new turns WITH
the trend.
19
Reversing ExampleTransform Trend with Changes
in Trend
Reversing (?)
Saucer Bottom
When the market APPEARS to be reversing (you
never really know), start looking for strong
reversal candidates.
20
Consolidation (break-out)Transform Volatility
Breakout
Consolidating
Trade the Break
When the market is quiet, establish lines at key
support or resistance levels and be ready to
act.
21
Opening Gap ReversalTransform Trend with
Reversals
Gap Down
But, strength here. Good bet
Opening Gap Reversals off fabulous quick profits.
22
Making Money with VisualTrader
  • The Fire and Forget Method..

TM
23
Stocks vs. Indexes
The Index is an AVERAGE. Within the Average,
some stocks are moving more than others.
J
E
A
Stocks Up
F
B
K
G
L
C
H
D
M
The Index
I
Stocks Down
24
How Do We Make Money?
Trade the EXTENDED movers (A, I, J).
LONG J
LONG A
E
F
B
K
G
L
C
H
D
M
SHORT I
Stocks
The Index
25
Finding Setups is The KEY!
Prospect for candidates that have a high
probability of moving a lot, and set alerts at
key support/resistance levels, and also at
important trend lines. When the market starts
moving, Alerts will Fire! This is called Fire
and Forget Trading
TM
26
Fire and Forget Trading
TM
  • Establish setups in the quiet zone and be ready
    to trade them.

Quiet Zone
Trend Line Alert
As setups fire, you get to the charts in a FLASH..
27
Quiet Market Setups
The Market was consolidating at 1130 am (CST) on
August 8, 2002.
.. A good time to start fishin !!
28
Quiet Market Setups
Two Long Candidates identified in the List and
Map.
29
Quiet Market Setups (2)
Two SHORT Candidates identified in the List and
Map. PLXS did not cross the line, but HCR
did. We could have made money shorting HCR over
the next 2 hours, even though the market went up.
30
There are many great Strategies you can apply
with VisualTrader
  • SEE Groups that are suddenly taking off. Buy or
    Sell the Basket. Then
  • HEDGE a Basket of Stocks against an Index to
    reduce overnight risk.
  • SELL OPTIONS when Volatility is High by using
    the Volatility Breakout view.

31
Intermediate Tip 1
  • Set the map preferences the way you like them
    (colors, transparencies) on Tools, Options. Here
    is how I like them.

32
Intermediate Tip 2
  • You can create your own map, and can include
    futures contracts by adding your own symbols.
    Use Edit Symbol List.

Note The Nirvana 500 profile was designed
specifically for trading Group Rotations.
33
Whats Coming in 2003
  • A Glimpse of New Features Planned

34
Whats Coming?
  • Integrated BrokerageWith VisualTrader, we want
    to place and manage positions as quickly as
    possible. Brokerage in VisualTrader will focus
    on this concept.
  • Expanded Charting FeaturesSoon you will be able
    to add indicators, multiple symbols charted at
    once, and more
  • ConfigurabilityAbility to customize your Maps
    with a simple Drag and Drop approach.
  • And more..

35
Thank you!
We want your feedback! Send letters to
VisualTrader_at_nirvsys.com
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