Climate Variability

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Climate Variability Change Musings on Chapter
6 of the CCSP Strategic Plan

• David A. Robinson, Ph.D.
• Chair, Department of Geography
• New Jersey State Climatologist
• Rutgers University

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Complexity

• Temporal
• Spatial
• Understanding at all scales
• Recognize differences between scales
• Link all scales

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Emphasize

• Water
• Energy balance

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Trentons Pennsylvania Station, September 1882
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• Many faces of change

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Emphasize

• Creativity
• Perhaps with Climate Process Teams
• Do not forget independents

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Observations

• Assimilate evaluate past and present
• Multivariate
• Signal to noise
• Creativity required

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RUCL SDRC
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Observations

• Reinvigorate establish new networks
• Seamless transition with past present

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Uncertainty

• Room for refinement to be sure
• Must be accommodated
• No excuse for inaction

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Delivery

• Observations Now
• Process Feedbacks Ongoing
• Prediction Models Patience

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MONTHLY Modeled vs Observed Snow Cover Area
SCA
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Emphasize

• Communication
• Between and amongst scientists decision
  makers/user community
• Stewardship

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Thank you