CATTLENOMICS

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CATTLENOMICS

• Derrell S. Peel
• Agricultural Economics
• Oklahoma State University

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PART 1INDUSTRY DEMOGRAPHICS
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U.S. All Cattle and Calves Since 1867
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Oklahoma All Cattle and Calves Since 1867
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January 1, 2002 (1,000 Head)All Cattle and
Calves Cattle on Feed

• 1 TX 13,600
• 2 KS 6,600
• 3 NE 6,400
• 4 CA 5,200
• 5 OK 5,200
• 6 MO 4,350
• 7 SD 3,950
• 8 IA 3,550
• 9 WI 3,300
• 10 CO 3,050

• 1 TX 2,890
• 2 KS 2,530
• 3 NE 2,370
• 4 CO 1,210
• 5 IA 955
• 6 CA 480
• 7 OK 365
• 8 SD 355
• 9 ID 335
• 10 AZ 305

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January 1, 2002 (1,000 Head)Beef Cows
Beef Heifers

• 1 TX 5,440
• 2 MO 2,060
• 3 OK 1,933
• 4 NE 1,932
• 5 SD 1,792
• 6 KS 1,485
• 7 MT 1,451
• 8 KY 1,075
• 9 TN 1,060
• 10 ND 1,008

• 1 TX 750
• 2 MT 370
• 3 OK 330
• 4 SD 300
• 5 NE 285
• 6 MO 280
• 7 KS 230
• 8 TN 175
• 9 KY 170
• 10 WY/AR 165

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January 1, 2002Feeder Supply
Stocker Ratio(1,000 Head) .
. . . .

• 1 TX 3,740
• 2 OK 2,375
• 3 KS 2,135
• 4 MO 1,620
• 5 NE 1,620
• 6 CA 1,370
• 7 SD 1,280
• 8 IA 1,075
• 9 MN 940
• 10 WI 890

• 0.74
• 1.23
• 1.44
• 0.79
• 0.89
• 0.69
• 0.69
• 0.96
• 1.05
• 0.65

Stocker Ratio Feeder Supply / Calf Crop U.S.
Avg 0.75
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U.S. Average Stocker Ratio,January 1, 2002
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Regional Stocker Ratio, January 1 2002
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Stocker Ratio, January 1
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Regional Share of Beef Cows, January 1, 2002
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Beef Heifer Retention Rate
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Regional Share of Beef Replacement Heifers, Jan.
1 2002
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Regional Beef Heifer Retention Rates, Jan. 1 2002
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Beef Heifer Retention Rate
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Regional Share of Feeder SuppliesOutside of
Feedlots, Jan. 1 2002
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Southern Plains Feeder Share
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Regional Feeder Share
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PART 2PRICE RELATIONSHIPS
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Feeder and Fed Steer Prices,1992-2001
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Seasonal Price Pattern
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450 Lb. Stocker Buy-Sell Seasonal Price Pattern
300 Lbs Gain
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450 Lb. Stocker Buy-Sell Seasonal Price Pattern
200 Lbs Gain
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550 Lb. Stocker Buy-Sell Seasonal Pattern 200
Lbs Gain
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Feedlot Buy-Sell Seasonal Price Pattern
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Steer-Heifer Price Relationship
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Steer-Heifer Price RelationshipOKC, 1992-2001

• (Steer Heifer)
• /cwt by weight
• 375 15.47
• 425 13.61
• 475 11.79
• 525 9.77
• 575 8.16
• 625 6.81
• 675 5.83
• 725 5.39
• 775 5.27

• Heifer Price as of Steer Price
• 375 84.6
• 425 85.5
• 475 86.5
• 525 88.2
• 575 88.8
• 625 90.1
• 675 92.1
• 725 93.6
• 775 93.9

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Steer-Heifer Price Relationship
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Seasonal Steer-Heifer Price Patterns
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Steer-Heifer Price RelationshipCyclical Effects
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Price-Weight Relationships
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Steer Price/Weight Relationship,OKC, 1992-2001
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Steer Price/Weight RelationshipCyclical Effects
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Steer Price/Weight RelationshipSeasonal Effects
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Steer Price Slide (Rollback)
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Working Price Slide

• Price Adjustment Factor (PAF) as of Price
• up to 500 lbs 8.8
• 500-550 lbs 7.4
• 550-600 lbs 6.4
• 600-650 lbs 4.9
• 650-800 lbs 3.7
• gt 800 lbs 5.4

• (PAF/100) x Price (/cwt) Price Adjustment
  (/cwt)
• Example
• Base weight 450 lbs
• Base price 105 /cwt
• Actual weight 480 lbs
• Price slide (1050.088)9.24
• Sale price 105- (9.24
• (480-450)/100) 102.23

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Value of Gain,1992 - 2001
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Value of Gain(Based on 200 lbs of Gain)
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OKLAHOMA COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICE