Title: Climate Change
1Climate Change the Built Environment
2DALLAS
3SHANGHAI
4GUJARAT
5DUBAI
672 billion people
7Earths Surface Temperature
We are at 385 ppm
10.5F 6C
We will reach 450 ppm in 2035
Increasing at 2.5 ppm annually
2.7F 1.8C
At 450 ppm CO2 we will trigger potentially
irreversible glacial melt sea level rise out of
humanitys control
Source UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
8As CO2 increases
CO2 Concentration
CO2 Emissions
(Billion tons per year)
(ppm in atmosphere)
Carbon Dioxide Concentrations
Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Source UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
9Temperature sea-level rise
Greenland 5m
Temperature Change CO
Sea Level Rise meters (m)
Source UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
10USA Energy Demand Coal
237 CFPPs
Quadrillion Btu (QBtu)
704 CFPPs now
34 34 QBtu
Sources Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy
Information Agency CalStar analysis
11750,000 Toyota Prius drivers save 2.35M MT of CO2
per year
1 CFPP in 1 year
Sources U.S. EPA, Toyota, CalStar analysis
12Wal-Mart investing 500M in 7 years to reduce
energy CO2 by 20
1 CFPP in 1 month
Source Architecture 2030
13Home Depot planting 300,000 trees to absorb CO2
1 CFPP in 10 days
Source Architecture 2030
14Worldwide Energy Demand Coal
2320 CFPPs
Quadrillion Btu (QBtu)
3682 CFPPs now
62 276 QBtu
Sources Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy
Information Agency CalStar analysis
15USA Built Environment
51 total energy
55 total CO2
Source Potential Carbon Emissions Reductions In
the Building Sector by 2030, Brown, Stovall
Hughes, Oak Ridge National Lab
16USA Energy Demand
51
27
22
Built Environment
Industry
Transport
Source EIA, CalStar analysis
17USA Energy
Built Environment 51
Residential 22
Commercial 17
Operations 39
Buildings 9
Infra 3
Materials 12
Source EIA, CalStar analysis
18The Problem
Food Water 19
Light 18
Heat Cool 38
Appliances 13
Other 12
19Half of USA Electricity from Coal
Building Operations 76 of USA electricity
Industrial 23
Transportation 1
Source Freedonia Group, World Cement to 2010
(2006)
20U.S. Building Inventory
USA Construction Cash Flood 2035
Build new 150Bn sf
2035 400Bn sf
75 touched 30T new construction 10T renovate
2008 305Bn sf
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22CHINA2020New Urban350 millionNew
Rural250 million
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25BUILD STRONG
BUILD GREEN
26CHINA Built Environment
37 total energy
52 total CO2
Source Potential Carbon Emissions Reductions In
the Building Sector by 2030, Brown, Stovall
Hughes, Oak Ridge National Lab
27 China Energy Demand
37
50
9
6
Built Environment
Industry
Transport
Agr
Source LBNL
28China Energy Built Environment
Built Environment 37
Residential 14
Commercial 9
Operations 23
Buildings 11
Infra 3
Materials 14
Source EIA, CalStar analysis
29Energy Deficit
BAU Scenario to 2050
Million Metric Ton Coal Equivalent
Demand
BAU energy demand
Coal
DEFICIT
Oil
Natural Gas
Hydro
Nuclear
2030 peak
Wind
COAL
Solar, geothermal
Source Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2050
China Energy Study, preliminary estimates
30China Built Environment
Business As Usual (BAU)
Million Metric Ton Coal Equivalent
Materials
cement steel glass bricks wood
Building materials
Operations cooling heating lighting appliances
Building operations
Source Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2050
China Energy Study, preliminary estimates
31China Built Environment
Net Zero Energy (NZE)
Million Metric Ton Coal Equivalent
Materials
cement steel glass bricks wood
SAVINGS
Building materials
Operations cooling heating lighting appliances
Building operations
Source Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2050
China Energy Study, preliminary estimates
32 Net Zero Buildings
2030 deficit reduction by gt33
Million Metric Ton Coal Equivalent
DEFICIT
BAU energy demand
NZE
SAVINGS
All other
2030 peak
COAL
Source Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2050
China Energy Study, preliminary estimates
33China Construction
99B m2
10T new construction 1T renovate
80 built since 2005
2005 to 2040
1940 to 2005
34BUILD STRONG BUILD GREEN
70 years
50 years
Pearl River Building, Guangdong Adrian Smith
Gordon Gill Architecture
Agro-housing project , Wuhan Knafo Klimor
Architects
35Harmonious Society
Danger path
Green path
36Everythingin the built environment can be
reinvented
37Eliminate 27B tons of CO2
Sources Vattenfall, McKinsey Co.
384B tons of CO2, negative cost
Cum Gt CO2 eliminated
50
/t CO2
0.50
1.5
1.0
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
0
-50
Fridges / freezers
Retrofit facade
-100
Appliances
Lighting
A/C
Water heating
-150
Retrofit floor/roof
Building envelope
Heaters
-200
Washers/ dryers
Windows
Retrofit floor/ roof
Other appliances
New-build insulation
all green building materials technologies
Sources Vattenfall, McKinsey Co.
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40Same/better cost Same/better performance Superio
r sustainability Scalable globally
41R-15 Windows
Save 38 of building energy bill 3 year payback
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43Cement Portland cement, 8 of CO2 2.5
billion tons/year 150B world market Industry
stuck Same since 1824Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â
44Automobiles Cement Billion Tons CO2
2.8 BT 700M autos x 4T
2.4 BT 2.6BT cement x 0.9
45CHINA 51 of world Cement 1.36 billion Tonnes
in 2007
46CalStar
3/15/2014 CalStar Cement - Confidential Do
Not Distribute
46
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48Lowest Levelized Cost of Energy
(/kWh)
49Electric Buildings
100 watts per m2 North, South East, West 3
year payback
50ZETA Communities Zero Energy Technology
Architecture
51ZETA
52Photovoltaics
Shading day-lighting
Rigid insulation
High-performance windows
Passive cool heat
Waste water heat recovery system
Cellulose insulation
Heat pump
Thermal mass
Air to air heat Ex
Heat storage
53GreenCube
54VisionFamily of companies to mitigate climate
change in the built environment.
Mission Eliminate 1 billion tons of CO2.
55Make a DifferenceThank YouMarc Porat