Gone upnow 77'6

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Gone upnow 77.6
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The Demography of Aging Lecture 3 Chapter 3
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Demographics?
Study of the size, distribution, and composition
of a population
284.5 million in US
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65 years Older?
35 million12.4
New England Maine New Hampshire Vermont
Rhode Island Connecticut Montana Idaho
Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Arizona Utah
Nevada
12.4 now 2020 ? 16.5 2040 ? 20.5 2060 ? 20.8
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The Demographics of Life
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Us 32nd 12.4
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Median Age is also increasing 50 Above 50
Below
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Demographic transitions
No surprise increase in older adults Theory of
Population Change fertility mortality will
decline from high to low levels because economics
social development
Stage I Hi BR Hi DR Preindustrial
Stage III low BR low DR
Stage II Hi BR low DR
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• Population Pyramid
• bar graph
• age categories (5 yr)
• male female
• length percentages

3 types Expansive Broad Base More younger
peeps Constrictive fewer in younger
peeps Stationary peeps in all cats
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Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex
1950
Male
Female
Female
Male
8.1
Millions
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Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex
2000
Year 1950
Male
Female
Millions
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Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex
2050
Male
Female
Year 2000
Millions
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Baby Boomers
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Whats causing so many older people since 1900s?
Increases in life expectancy
Cohort Baby Boomers (fertility)
Declining infant adult mortality
Mortality rates tot of deaths in a year per
1,000 individuals
Lowering of Fertility baby bust (late
1960s-70s) 2045-2050
Fertility rates tot of births in a year per
1,000 individuals
Slower to marry Fewer children
Age composition proportion of young old in a
society
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Fertility Rates USA
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2.33
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The human life cycle divisions are arbitrary
differing from society to society and changing
from one time in history to another
The five stages of adulthood early
adulthood (18-30), middle adulthood (30-50)
Later adulthood (50-65) young-old age
(65-80) old-old age (gt 80)
Riley (1986) "young-old" (ages 65 to
74) "old-old" (ages 75 to 85) "oldest-old" (over
age 85)
important
Octogenarian Someone in their eighties.
Nonagenarian Someone in their nineties.
Centenarian Someone 100 or more.
Supercentenarian Someone 110 years old or more
(no upper limit)
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1. SEX COMPOSITION Sex Ratio the of males
for every 100 females
1900 102 1930 100.4 1980 94.5 1990
95.1 200096.1 2025 96.0
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1. SEX COMPOSITION
12.4 (2000) 59 female 41 male 6 million more
women!!!!
At birth 105 boys to 100 girls 35 years of
age Female begin to surpass Males
Centenarians super
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Where to go to get a date
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2. ETHNICITY
Race Ethnicity Composition of US
2003 Minorities represent about 18 of 65
2050 Projected 40 of 65
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Inequities among the races Blacks have lower life
expectancy as compared to whites
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Inequities among the races
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- 6.3
- 5.4
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Where do older adults live?
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1. LOCATION
Where do older adults live?
CA ? 3.6 million (11) Florida ? 2.7 (18) New
York ? 2.4 (13) Texas ? 2.0 (9)
Where do older adults not live?
Alaska ? 5.5
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Old-age dependency ratio 65 (too old to
work) _____________ 18-64 (working) 1930
111 1980 15.4 2000 15 2030 13
Familial old-age dependency ratio 65 to 84
(elderly parents) ___________________ 45 to 54
(elderly children) 1980 1.021 2000
.81 2030 1.61