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Seasonal Weather Briefing

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In light or negligible turbulence. Microburst ... Turbulence & LLWS. Icing. Thunderstorms (lightning, hail, heavy precipitation, microbursts) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Seasonal Weather Briefing


1
Seasonal Weather Briefing
  • Fall Winter Weather Hazards

Provided by Fort Rucker Weather Operations
(FRWXOPS)
2
Overview
  • Products Services
  • Hours of Operation
  • Climatology
  • Whats New
  • Fall-Winter Hazards
  • Turbulence Low level wind shear (LLWS)
  • Icing
  • Thunderstorms
  • Tornadoes
  • Hurricanes

3
Products Services
  • FRWXOPS Provides
  • Weather Briefings (MEF, IFR, Other)
  • Weather Watches, Warnings, Advisories
  • Observing (Automated)
  • PMSV (Pilot - Metro Service)
  • Climatology
  • Electro-Optic Support
  • Space Weather Support (GPS, HF/UHF, etc)
  • Seasonal Weather Briefings
  • Anything else you could ever need

4
Hours of Operation
  • Observing (KOZR)
  • 24 X 7, including federal holidays
  • Forecasting (KOZR)
  • 00L Monday 01L Saturday, excluding federal
    holidays
  • Observing (K79J)
  • 0830L 1630L Monday through Friday, excluding
    federal holidays
  • Observing (KTOI)
  • 0630L 2030L Monday through Friday, excluding
    federal holidays

5
Local Flying Area
32,000 sq miles of airspace
Civilian Airport Base Field Stage Field
Live Fire Range
6
PIREPs
I want you
to give me a PIREP
7
PIREPs
  • Limited data points in LFA
  • May be used to amend the MEF/-1
  • Improves forecast products services
  • PMSV Freqs 134.1 and 348.8

8
Whats New
  • Automated Weather Observing Systems
  • A system that automatically generates
    observations
  • FMQ-19
  • ASOS
  • Replaces legacy equipment
  • New way of doing business
  • Official observing point
  • No more celestial dome
  • Frees up observer/forecaster for more in-depth
    MISSIONWATCH

9
Whats New
  • Automated Weather Observing Systems
  • Supplemented/backed up as mandated by the AF
  • Supplement To manually provide wx elements that
    are beyond the automated systems capability to
    measure/report
  • Back up To manually provide wx elements when
    automated sensors are malfunctioning and are
    operationally significant

10
Whats New
  • Automated Weather Observing Systems
  • Supplemented for the following elements
  • Tornado/Funnel Cloud
  • Volcanic Ash
  • Sandstorms/Duststorms
  • Visibility lt ¼ SM
  • Hail ½

11
Whats New
  • Automated Weather Observing Systems
  • Backed up for the following elements
  • Wind speed/direction
  • Visibility
  • Present Wx
  • Sky cover up to and including 12,000 ft
  • Altimeter
  • Temperature/Dew Point
  • Lightning location
  • Layer of clouds or obscuration below 600 ft

12
Whats New
  • FRWXOPS will continue to provide operationally
    significant wx data and mitigate any potential
    flight safety risks in other ways
  • Lightning watches, advisories, and warnings
  • MEF
  • PIREPs
  • Radar/Satellite Imagery
  • Lightning Detection

13
Whats New
  • Old Observation
  • New Observation

SPECI KOZR 072316Z 30000KT 10SM VCTS FEW013
BKN040CB BKN250 25/22 A2986 RMK AO2A OCNL LTGICCG
E-SE TS 8E-SE MOV SE
SPECI KOZR 072316Z 30000KT 10SM VCTS FEW013
BKN040 BKN250 25/22 A2986 RMK AO2
14
Whats New
  • FRWXOPS will maintain a vigilant
    METWATCH/MISSIONWATCH to ensure that Ft Ruckers
    aircrew and aircraft remain safe and maximize
    their training time

15
Whats New
  • New method of disseminating MEF amendments

FRWXOPS
KOZR Ops
HUB Radio
KOZR TowerKLOR OpsKHEY OpsKFHK OpsKSXS
OpsATTC OpsFlat Iron Ops
Active S/FMolinelli TowerAirborne Crews
16
Climatology
Tmax Tmin Tmean WindD WindS
Precip JAN 59 39 49 N
5 5.01 FEB 63 42 53
N 5 5.37 MAR 70
48 59 NW 5
5.80 APR 78 55 67
NW 4 4.23 MAY 84 63
74 NE-E 4
4.05 JUN 89 70 80
S-SW 4 4.63 JUL 91 72
82 SW 4
5.21 AUG 90 72 81
NE-E 3 4.12 SEP 87 68
77 NE-E 3
3.94 OCT 78 56 67
NE-E 4 3.00 NOV 69 47
58 N 4
3.41 DEC 62 41 52 N
5 4.30
17
PERCENT 1000/3
18
PERCENT 500/1
19
Seasonal Weather Hazards
  • Fall-Winter
  • Turbulence / Low Level Wind Shear (LLWS)
  • Icing
  • Thunderstorms
  • Tornadoes
  • Hurricanes

20
Turbulence LLWS
  • Turbulence
  • The jet stream creates wind speed and/or
    direction gradients as it advects weather systems
    across the US
  • LLWS
  • A drastic change in wind speed and/or direction
    in the lower 2000 feet of the atmosphere
  • Affects lift of aircraft

21
Icing
  • Icing
  • Increases the weight of the aircraft
  • Decreases lift
  • Can block air flow to engine, thereby reducing
    power

22
Icing
  • Icing Facts
  • Favorable temperature range is M20-03 Celsius
  • Heaviest icing is generally between 0-M10
    Celsius
  • 5 types (clear, rime, mixed, frost, induction)
  • 4 intensities (Trace, Light, Moderate, Severe)

23
Icing
  • Clear Icing
  • Glossy, clear, or translucent ice formed by the
    relatively freezing of large super-cooled
    droplets
  • 0-M16 Celsius and M08-M10 Celsius
  • Cumulus and stratus
  • The most dangerous of all icing

24
Icing
  • Rime Icing
  • Rough, milky, opaque, ice formed by the rapid
    freezing of small super-cooled droplets
  • M10-M20 Celsius
  • Cumuliform

25
Icing
  • Mixed Icing
  • A mix of clear and rime icing formed due to a
    combination of liquid droplets and ice particles
  • M10-M15 Celsius
  • Stratiform or cumuliform

26
Icing
  • Frost Icing
  • Light, feathery deposit of ice crystals that form
    when water vapor contacts a sub-freezing surface
  • Subfreezing

27
Icing
  • Induction Icing
  • Forms when super-cooled droplets are pulled into
    the engine of an aircraft may affect engine or
    fuel system
  • M03-03 Celsius
  • Any cloud or no cloud

28
Thunderstorms
  • 3 ingredients (MIL)
  • Moisture
  • Instability
  • Lift

29
Thunderstorms
LIGHTNING HAIL HEAVY PRECIP LLWS
MICROBURSTS SEVERE TURBC SEVERE ICING
THUNDERSTORMS
IMPLY
Decreasing, but not gone.
30
Thunderstorms
  • Lightning
  • Causes aircraft damage
  • Most often occurs
  • Within 5000 feet of the freezing level
  • In light precipitation
  • In light or negligible turbulence
  • Microburst
  • Sudden down-rush of air caused by a collapsing
    thunderstorm
  • To avoid microbursts, steer clear of thunderstorms

31
Thunderstorms
  • Hail
  • Destroys aircraft lifting surface
  • Turbulence
  • Most severe in strong updrafts
  • Icing
  • Freezing Level can drop by 10,000 feet in
    stronger downdrafts
  • LLWS
  • Can expand (outflow boundary) to as much as
    20 NM from the storms outside boundary

32
Tornadoes
  • Favored months of occurrence
  • March through May
  • November
  • Favored hours of occurrence
  • 1200L through 1800L
  • Avoiding thunderstorms will prevent encounters
    with tornadoes

33
Tornadoes
  • Peak Season
  • March-May
  • November
  • Peak hours
  • 1200L-1800L

Tornado Alley
34
AL Tornadoes By Month
35
AL Tornadoes By Hour
36
AL Tornadoes By County
37
Hurricanes
  • Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from
    01 June - 30 November
  • All warnings and advisories pertaining to
    tropical storm/hurricane activity will be
    provided to the DoD by the National Hurricane
    Center
  • We cannot and will not deviate from the forecast
    track and intensity issued by the NHC
  • We, in conjunction with the 26 OWS, tailor the
    forecast for Ft Rucker

38
Hurricanes
  • Hurricane Conditions
  • Governed by Fort Rucker RMOPS Vol V
  • HURCON Definitions
  • HURCON 5 01 June - 30 November
  • HURCON 4 72 Hours prior to 50 Knot Winds
  • HURCON 3 48 Hours prior to 50 Knot Winds
  • HURCON 2 24 Hours prior to 50 Knot Winds
  • HURCON 1 12 Hours prior to 50 Knot Winds
  • Note Conditions based on sustained wind speed,
  • not winds gusts.

39
Hurricanes
40
Hurricanes
  • Another active year
  • 15 named storms
  • 8 hurricanes
  • 4 major hurricanes (Cat 3 or higher)
  • The time to prepare is NOW

41
Conclusion
  • Numerous hazards exist during the fall and winter
    months
  • Turbulence LLWS
  • Icing
  • Thunderstorms (lightning, hail, heavy
    precipitation, microbursts)
  • Tornadoes
  • Hurricanes
  • Respect the weather

42
How To Reach Us
  • Visit us on the www
  • http//www.rucker.army.mil/6weather
  • Check us out on CCTV
  • Give us a call _at_ 8385 or 8397
  • Or stop by and see us!

43
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44
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