Title: Southern Gas Association
1Southern Gas Association 2008 Management
Conference Centennial Celebration Gas Supply
Marketing Roundtable April 21, 2008
2Introduction to CHK
- 1 independent producer of U.S. natural gas 3
overall including majors, and moving up fast - 1 driller in U.S. 138 operated rigs, 84
non-operated rigs, 14 info only rigs, collector
of 15 of all daily drilling information
generated in the U.S. (20 in our areas of
interest) - 1 hedger in industry 2006 and 2007 realized
gains of 2.5 billion - 1 large-cap production growth 2,219 mmcfe/day
4Q'07 production up 34 YOY and 10
sequentially production increased 23 in '07,
projecting increases of 20-22 in 08 and 15-17
in 09 - 1 large-cap proved reserve growth 10.9 tcfe
estimated proved reserves at 12/31/07, increased
21 YOY, 93 natural gas, 64 proved developed,
15 year R/P expect 13 tcfe in proved reserves
by 12/08 and 15 tcfe by 12/09 - 1 gas resource play 33 tcfe of risked unproved
reserve potential in i) conventional gas
resource,ii) unconventional gas resource, iii)
emerging gas resource and iv) Appalachian gas
resource playsgt10-year drilling inventory of
36,300 net drilling locations, BEFORE counting
potential contributions from the Haynesville
Shale and new unconventional oil projects - 1 inventory of U.S. onshore leasehold and 3-D
seismic 13.2 mm net acres of U.S. onshore
leasehold and 19.2 mm acres of 3-D seismic - 37 billion enterprise value 26 billion equity
value, 10 billion long-term debt and 1 billion
net working capital deficit
- Data above incorporates
- CHKs Outlook and realized and locked gains as of
3/31/08 - An assumed common stock price of 46.00, NYMEX
prices of 8.00/mcf and 82.36/bbl for 2008 and
excludes effects ofFAS 133 (unrealized hedging
gain or loss) - Reconciliations of ebitda and operating cash flow
(before changes in assets and liabilities) to
GAAP measures - Risk disclosure regarding unproved reserve
estimates appears in page 27
3CHK is the 3rd Largest U.S. Gas Producer
(and the largest independent gas producer)
Majors continue to deplete their reserves,
independents continue to increase theirs Majors
declines will help keep U.S. gas production from
increasing very much
(a) Based on company reports (b) In
mmcf/day (c) Independents in green, majors in
black, pipelines in red (d) Based on annualized
4Q07 production (e) Source Smith International
Survey (operated rig count)
4CHK Strategy
- Around 2000, CHK was early to recognize
- Natural gas (and oil) prices were poised to move
structurally higher - Horizontal drilling and completion technologies
were rapidly improving - Unconventional reservoirs, such as tight sands
and shales, could become economic with higher gas
prices and improved horizontal drilling and
completion technologies - Since then, CHK has moved aggressively to
- Acquire proved reserves 1 tcfe to 11 tcfe in 8
years - Acquire leasehold 1 mm net acres to 13 mm net
acres in 8 years - Acquire 3D seismic 1 mm acres to 16 mm acres in
8 years - Hire and develop human talent 500 EP employees
to 2,500 in 8 years (6,500 overall), 40 lt 30
years old - Result?
- CHK highest large-cap production and proved
reserve growth rates in the industry - CHK deepest backlog of drilling opportunities in
the industry 36,300 net drilling locations - Well positioned for top-tier growth for decades
to come
Our strategy has us perfectly positioned for
todays natural gas challenges and opportunities
5CHK Key Properties Overview
6Location of CHKs Shale Properties
- Gas-focused
- Well-diversified
- All onshore U.S.
- Not in the GOM (high and dry)
- Not in the Rockies (fewer hassles, better gas
prices) - Not international (lower political risk)
Appalachian Basin
New Albany Shale
Anadarko Basin
Arkoma Basin
Woodford Shale
Eastern Overthrust Belt
Scale 1 inch 275 miles
Fayetteville Shale
Barnett Shale
Barnett and Woodford Shale Plays
Alabama Shales
Permian Basin
Ark-La-Tex
Ouachita Thrust Belt
Delaware Basin
Texas Gulf Coast
Laramide Thrust Belt
South Texas
Mississippian Devonian black shales
Thrust Belt
7Whats New at CHK?
- Announced three significant new unconventional
natural gas discoveries and five new
unconventional oil projects potentially 10-25
tcfe net to CHK (1) - Haynesville Shale, potentially 7.5-20 tcfe net to
CHK (1) - Colony Granite Wash, potentially 1.0 tcfe net to
CHK (1) - Mountain Front Granite Wash, potentially 1.0
tcfe net to CHK (1) - Five new unconventional oil projects, potentially
1 billion bbls net to CHK (1) - Announced plans to increase drilling and
leasehold acquisition activities on new and
existing shale plays - Fort Worth Barnett Shale increasing from 40 to
45 rigs(2) - Fayetteville Shale increasing from 12 to 25
rigs(2) - Haynesville Shale increasing from 4 to 10
rigs(2) - Marcellus and Lower Huron Shales plan to drill
165 wells in 2008 and 2009
The Haynesville Shale could potentially have a
larger impact on the company than any other play
CHK has ever made or been a part of
- Depending on ultimate recovery factors and
acreage positions. Risk disclosure regarding
unproved reserve estimates appears on page 27 - By year-end 2008
8What Else is New at CHK?
- Increased 2008 and 2009 capital spending plans
for drilling and leasehold by 950 mm to more
fully capitalize on new discovery/projects and
existing plays - Increasing rig count 10
- Expecting higher per well recovery in key shale
plays - Experiencing decreasing per well costs
- Accelerating the development of new
unconventional natural gas discoveries and oil
projects - Increasing leasehold expenditures to capture
value identified by CHKs proprietary expertise - Increased 2008 and 2009 production growth
guidance by 5 and 33, from 20 to 21 in 2008
and from 12 to 16 in 2009 - Added natural gas hedges in response to price
strength in early March - Revised capital funding program to include
accessing the public capital markets, as
necessary, rather than failing to capture
opportunities we have created
Note Reflects CHKs Outlook as of 3/31/08
9Has CHK Discovered the Next Barnett in the
Haynesville?
- Potentially CHKs largest discovery since its
inception - Haynesville Shale play developed in CHK
geoscience department two years ago - First time such a young shale has been targeted
150 million years old compared to 325-375
million years old for Barnett, Fayetteville,
Woodford and Marcellus Shales - CHK began drilling in 3Q06 evaluated cores in
early 2007 at CHKs state-of-the-art Reservoir
Technology Center (RTC) play elevated to test
drilling phase - Drilled four vertical and three horizontal wells
well results confidential, but very encouraging - Currently drilling with 4 rigs and planning for
10 rigs by year-end 2008 - Currently own or have commitments for
approximately 200,000 net acres of leasehold,
potentially leading to 7.5 tcfe of ultimate
reserve recoveries net to CHK - Have active leasing program underway with the
goal of owning up to 500,000 net acres in the
play and 20 tcfe of ultimate reserve recoveries
net to CHK
The Haynesville is another example of why the
U.S. power industry can feel comfortable relying
on natural gas for increasing power demand for
decades to come
10Whats New in the Barnett Shale?
- In Barnett, competitive pressures from companies
with smaller Tarrant County leasehold position
have doubled to tripled leasehold prices in past
few months CHK still leasing, just having to
pay more than in the past - Fortunately higher natural gas prices, which we
have locked in through additional hedging, have
more than offset the 0.25 per mcfe higher
finding costs from higher leasehold costs - Continue to actively lease with 1,000 landmen
and leasehold brokers working on CHKs behalf - Expect to own 250,000 net acres in Johnson,
Tarrant, Dallas counties by YE08 and 280,000 net
acres by year-end 2009 expect ultimate gas
recovery of at least 8 tcfe net to CHK - DFW drilling meeting expectations and expect even
better results going forward - Best well to date 7 mmcfe/day initial rate
- CHK net production now 450 mmcfe/day, up 13
from YE07 and 160 from YE06 - Increasing rig count from 40 to 45 rigs by
year-end 2008 to accelerate acreage development
and capture strong returns
The Barnett remains 1 in CHKs portfolio, but
the Haynesville Shale could be even bigger some
day
Note Risk disclosure regarding unproved reserve
estimates appears on page 27
11Fort Worth Barnett Shale
- Established a Top-2 position in less than 4 years
- Now have 260,000 net acres in the play (220,000
net acres in Core Tier 1) - 3,550 potential net wells to develop 6.8 tcfe
(net) of PUD and risked unproved reserves - Can drill 450 net wells per year with a 39-rig
program
Texas
Active Rigs
CHK Operated
CHK Leasehold
Net Production vs. Operated Rig Count
DFW Intl. Airport
Expected Core Tier 1 Economics Sensitivity
Analysis
Average gross reserves of 2.45 bcfe for a
Core/Tier 1 well
12Barnett Shale Gross OperatedDaily Production by
Major Players
Barnett Shale - Oct 2007Production 3.1 BCFED
Source Drilling Info
13Ft. Worth Basin Production
14Fort Worth Basin Rig Count
15Select Barnett Shale County Production
16Whats New in the Fayetteville Shale?
- In Fayetteville, leasehold costs have doubled in
the past six months, but still 50-75 below
Tarrant County Barnett leasehold prices - Play keeps getting better
- Of last 30 CHK-operated wells, 22 IPed over 2
mmcfe/day - CHK net production now exceeds 130 mmcfe/day up
1,000 YOY - Increased expected EURs by 10 to 2.2 bcfe per
well - Boosting drilling to hold leasehold and
accelerate PV creation - Adding 5 rigs to previous ramp up plans
- Increasing from 12 rigs currently to 25 rigs by
year-end 2008 - Per well drilling costs on the decline
- Unit service costs substantially lower due to
increased industry capacity - Experiencing greater economies of scale and even
further along the learning curve
With almost 600,000 net acres, CHK could drill up
to 5,700 Fayetteville Shale wells and ultimately
recover 10 tcfe net to CHK CHK production
should increase to over 0.5 bcf/d in next three
years
Note Risk disclosure regarding unproved reserve
estimates appears on page 27
17Arkansas Fayetteville Shale
Acreage Position
- Second-largest leasehold owner in the Core area
of the play with approximately 420,000 net acres - 3,100 net potential drilling locations _at_ 2.0
bcfe/well 5.0 tcfe (net) of PUD and risked
unproved reserves - 12-rig program currently
- Net production has doubled over the past three
months to 60 mmcfe/d
Active Rigs
CHK Operated
CHK Leasehold
Fayetteville Core Outline
132 miles
Arkansas
Net Production vs. Operated Rig Count
Expected Economics Sensitivity Analysis
154 miles
Average well cost of 3.0 mm/well, RDR 39.8 _at_
8.00 NYMEX gas
18Arkansas Monthly Production
19Fayetteville Shale Gross Operated Daily
Production by Operator
Source Arkansas Oil and Gas Commission website
20NW Oklahoma Sahara
Acreage Position
- Foundational asset with 800,000 net acres
- Grass roots play that CHK started developing 10
years ago and today completely dominates - Primarily Mississippi, Chester and Hunton
formations mostly vertical, some horizontal - Over 10-year inventory of drilling locations
Kansas border
67 miles
Net Production vs. Operated Rig Count
Oklahoma
Active Rigs
CHK Operated
CHK Leasehold
78 miles
Expected Economics Sensitivity Analysis
Average gross reserves of 0.6 bcfe/well
21Whats New in Appalachia?
- In Marcellus Shale, leasehold costs have
quadrupled in past few months to over 2,000 per
acre - Competition from Barnett players and many of
those left behind in the shale sweepstakes seem
determined not to miss this play - However, lease terms (5 years) and royalties
(12.5 to 20) remain attractive and natural gas
prices are 1.00-1.50 per mcfe higher than in
Barnett - CHKs Marcellus leasehold now exceeds 1.1 mm net
acres and is growing steadily - Lower Huron Shale looking good as well
- CHKs Lower Huron leasehold now exceeds 500,000
net acres - Have drilled 26 vertical and horizontal Marcellus
and Lower Huron Shale wells to date and have
plans to drill 165 vertical and horizontal wells
in 2008/2009
- CHK realized the potential of Appalachia earlier
than any other large-cap EP - Marcellus could be a 50 tcf play over time
22Arkoma Woodford
Acreage Position
- Second-largest leaseholder in the play with
100,000 net acres - Costs remain a challenge, although production and
reserve results have improved in the play during
2007 - Five-rig program planned for 2008
- 160-acre spacing appears appropriate now, however
80-acre spacing is being tested - _at_ 160-acre CHK upside 450 bcfe
- _at_ 80-acre CHK upside 970 bcfe
Active Rigs
CHK Operated
Net Production vs. Operated Rig Count
Expected Economics Sensitivity Analysis
Average gross reserves of 2.2 bcfe/well
23West Texas Delaware BasinBarnett/Woodford Shales
Acreage Position
- Largest leasehold owner in the play, enormous
upside - Have acquired 800,000 net acres, primarily in
Reeves, Brewster, Pecos and Culberson counties
through multiple transactions with various public
and private companies - Shales much thicker than in Fort Worth Barnett,
Arkansas or SE OK also higher gas-in-place
estimates (2-4x higher) - However, it is approximately twice as deep well
costs are higher and recovery factors are
currently unknown - Working to solve the engineering challenge of
economically liberating the tremendous amounts of
gas-in-place - Potentially, the play has the greatest upside at
CHK - but still lots of risk - Five-rig program planned for 2008
110 miles
105 miles
Comparison of West Texas Shales and Fort Worth
Barnett Shale
Expected Economics Sensitivity Analysis
Ft. Worth
West Texas
Ft. Worth
Delaware Basin Shale
Barnett Shale
Shales
Barnett Shale
6,500
8,500
10,000
16,000
Depth (feet)
6,500
8,500
10,000
15,000
Depth (feet)
Net thickness
Net thickness
50
400
400
1,000
(feet)
50
400
400
1,000
(feet)
Gas
-
in
-
place
Gas
-
in
-
place
50
200
100
1,000
(bcf/section)
approx 500
(bcf/section)
approx 150
12
30
???
Recovery factor
25
30
???
Recovery factor
Average gross reserves of 3.0 bcfe/well
5-7 million
2.7 million
???
Avg. well cost
2.5 million
Avg. well cost
CHK owns 1,000 square miles of leasehold in the
Delaware Basin Shale gas window, overlaying 500
bcf per square mile. If a 10 recovery factor is
achieved, this equals 50 tcfe of captured
unrisked, unproved reserves. Certainly worth the
effort to try and commercialize the play.
24Annual Production by Region (Bcf/d)
25U.S. Gas Well Production
26Summary Points
- Shale production is the manufacturing process of
the gas production business. Cost containment is
a major focus of all shale producers.
- Producers are in discussions with the SEC
concerning shale gas reserve calculations. We
believe the current system underreports proved
and probable shale reserves.
- We believe some of the international energy
consulting groups have underestimated shale
production potential. The by-product of this
mistake will be errors in their US gas supply
curves, estimates of pipeline infrastructure
needs and basis projections.
- There will be additional interstate
infrastructure built to support shale production.
- We look for Perryville to become an important gas
hub and have its own pricing point.
- The larger independent producers will increase
there market visibility with LDCs and large end
users.
- The Marcellus and Huron shale plays will be
challenged to develop as quickly as Mid-continent
shale plays because of service and infrastructure
restrictions.
27Certain Reserve Production Information
- The Securities and Exchange Commission has
generally permitted oil and gas companies, in
their filings with the SEC, to disclose only
proved reserves that a company has demonstrated
by actual production or conclusive formation
tests to be economically and legally producible
under existing economic and operating conditions.
We use the terms probable, possible and
unproved reserves, reserve potential or
upside or other descriptions of volumes of
reserves potentially recoverable through
additional drilling or recovery techniques that
the SECs guidelines may prohibit us from
including in filings with the SEC. To estimate
unproved reserves, the company uses a
probability-weighted statistical approach to
estimate the potential number of drillsites and
potential unproved reserves associated with such
drillsites. These estimates are by their nature
more speculative than estimates of proved
reserves and accordingly are subject to
substantially greater risk of being actually
realized by the company. The company's
methodology for estimating "unproved" reserves is
different than the methodology and guidelines
used by the Society of Petroleum Engineers for
estimating "probable" and "possible" reserves. - Our production forecasts are dependent upon many
assumptions, including estimates of production
decline rates from existing wells and the outcome
of future drilling activity. Also, our internal
estimates of reserves, particularly those in our
recent acquisitions where we may have limited
review of data or experience with the properties,
may be subject to revision and may be different
from those estimates by our external reservoir
engineers at year end. Although we believe the
expectations, estimates and forecasts reflected
in these and other forward-looking statements are
reasonable, we can give no assurance they will
prove to have been correct. They can be affected
by inaccurate assumptions and data or by known or
unknown risks and uncertainties.
28Forward-Looking Statements
This report includes forward-looking statements
within the meaning of Section 27A of the
Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking
statements give our current expectations or
forecasts of future events. They include
estimates of oil and gas reserves, expected oil
and gas production and future expenses,
projections of future oil and gas prices, planned
capital expenditures for drilling, leasehold
acquisitions and seismic data, and statements
concerning anticipated cash flow and liquidity,
our business strategy and other plans and
objectives for future operations. In addition,
statements concerning the fair value of
derivative contracts and their estimated
contribution to our future results of operations
are based upon market information as of a
specific date. These market prices are subject
to significant volatility. Although we believe
the expectations and forecasts reflected in these
and other forward-looking statements are
reasonable, we can give no assurance they will
prove to have been correct. They can be affected
by inaccurate assumptions or by known or unknown
risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from expected
results are described in Risk Factors in Item
1A of our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on
February 29, 2008. These risk factors include
the volatility of oil and natural gas prices the
limitations our level of indebtedness may have on
our financial flexibility our ability to compete
effectively against strong independent oil and
gas companies and majors the availability of
capital on an economic basis to fund reserve
replacement costs our ability to replace
reserves and sustain production uncertainties
inherent in estimating quantities of oil and
natural gas reserves and projecting future rates
of production and the amount and timing of
development expenditures uncertainties in
evaluating oil and natural gas reserves of
acquired properties and associated potential
liabilities unsuccessful exploration and
development drilling declines in the values of
our oil and natural gas properties resulting in
ceiling test write-downs lower prices realized
on oil and natural gas sales and collateral
required to secure hedging liabilities resulting
from our commodity price risk management
activities the negative impact lower oil and
natural gas prices could have on our ability to
borrow drilling and operating risks, including
potential environmental liabilities production
interruptions that could adversely affect our
cash flow and pending or future litigation. We
caution you not to place undue reliance on these
forward-looking statements, which speak only as
of the date of this presentation, and we
undertake no obligation to update this
information. We urge you to carefully review and
consider the disclosures made in this
presentation and our filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission that attempt to advise
interested parties of the risks and factors that
may affect our business.