Title: TELUS Investor Conference Call
1TELUS Investor Conference Call Webcast
- 2002 Targets
- December 18, 2001
2Forward Looking Legal Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking
statements about expected future events and
financial and operating results that are subject
to risks and uncertainties. TELUS actual
results, performance, or achievement could differ
materially from those expressed or implied by
such statements. For additional information on
potential risk factors, see TELUS 2002 Targets
news release dated December 18, 2001, TELUS
Annual Information Form for 2000 and other
filings with securities commissions in Canada and
the United States. TELUS disclaims any intention
or obligation to update or revise any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise.
3Robert McFarlane
- EVP Chief Financial Officer
Slide 3
42001 Guidance - Substantially Unchanged
1 Previously adjusted for divestitures of TELUS
Advertising Services and Telecom Leasing Canada
52002 TargetsConsolidated Revenue
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 7.2B 7.5 -
7.6B1
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions
6Targeted 2002 Revenue Growth
Excluding impact of contribution decision
10-11
As reported
4-6
- Estimated 390M revenue impact
- Currently appealing contribution decision
72002 TargetsConsolidated EBITDA
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 7.2B 7.5 -
7.6B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.5B
2.475 2.525B2
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 230M from
regulatory decisions
8Consolidated EBITDA Growth
Excluding impact of contribution decision
8-10
As reported
0
Estimated 230M negative EBITDA impact from
contribution decision
92002 TargetsConsolidated Capex
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 7.2B
7.5 - 7.6B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.5B
2.475 2.525B2 - Capex approx. 2.6B3
2.1 - 2.2B
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 230M from
regulatory decisions 3 Includes 356M for
spectrum licenses
102002 TargetsConsolidated EPS
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 7.2B 7.5 -
7.6B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.5B 2.475
2.525B2 - Capex approx. 2.6B3
2.1 - 2.2B - EPS n/a
15 - 20 cents
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 230M from
regulatory decisions 3 Includes 356M for
spectrum licenses
112002 TargetsConsolidated EPS
- Focusing on GAAP EPS in 2002 not Core EPS
- due to accounting rule changes - no longer
amortizing goodwill spectrum - 4 cent EPS impact of intangible asset
amortization not significant - Expect 15-20 EPS
- higher depreciation costs
- increased financing costs (average interest rate
approx. 8.3) - expect 65 effective tax rate
- includes Large Corporations Tax of 35-40M
122002 TargetsTELUS Communications - Revenue
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 5.3B
5.4 - 5.45B1 -
Organic ILEC Data growth 20 or more plus
accelerated growth from Non-ILEC expansion
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions
13Targeted 2002 Revenue GrowthTELUS Communications
Excluding impact of contribution decision
9 - 10
As reported
2 - 3
Estimated 390M negative revenue impact
142002 TargetsTELUS Communications - EBITDA
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 5.3B
5.4 - 5.45B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.16B 2.025 -
2.055B2 -
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 270M from
regulatory decisions
15Targeted 2002 EBITDA GrowthTELUS Communications
Excluding impact of contribution decision
6 to 8
As reported
-5 to -61
Estimated 270M negative EBITDA impact from
contribution decision
16Non-ILEC ResultsTELUS Communications
- Non-ILEC definition revisited
- Includes all TELUS Quebec (pro forma) and Ontario
non-ILEC national IP network businesses - Annualized run rate approx. 400M
M
172002 TargetsTELUS Communications - Capex
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 5.3B
5.4 - 5.45B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.16B 2.025 -
2.055B2 - Capex lt 1.6B
1.55 - 1.65B
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 270M from
regulatory decisions
182002 TargetsTELUS Communications - ADSL
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 5.3B
5.4 - 5.45B1 - EBITDA approx. 2.16B 2.025
- 2.055B2 - Capex lt 1.6 B
1.55 - 1.65B - ADSL Net Adds. 120 - 140K
? 200K -
1 Includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions 2 Includes
expected negative impact of approx. 270M from
regulatory decisions
192002 TargetsTELUS Mobility - Revenue
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 1.9B
2.1 - 2.15B1 -
11-13
Network revenue to grow at approx. 13
202002 TargetsTELUS Mobility - EBITDA
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 1.9B
2.1 - 2.15B - EBITDA approx. 340M
450 - 470M1
1 Includes expected positive impact of approx.
40M from regulatory decisions
21Targeted 2002 EBITDA GrowthTELUS Mobility
As reported 32 - 38
Excluding impact of contribution decision 21 -
261
1 Includes expected positive impact of approx.
40M from regulatory decisions
222002 TargetsTELUS Mobility - Capex
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 1.9B
2.1 - 2.15B - EBITDA approx. 340M 450 - 470M1
- Capex - excl. spectrum approx. 650M
approx. 560M - Capex - incl. spectrum approx. 1B
approx. 560M -
Wireless Capex to decline 440M or 44
1 Includes expected positive impact of approx.
40M from regulatory decisions
232002 TargetsTELUS Mobility - Net Additions
- Current 2001 Guidance 2002 Target
- Revenue approx. 1.9B
2.1 - 2.15B - EBITDA approx. 340M 450 - 470M1
- Capex - excl. spectrum approx. 650M
approx. 560M - Capex - incl. spectrum approx. 1B
approx. 560M - Net Additions 400 - 440K
425 - 450K -
1 Includes expected positive impact of approx.
40M from regulatory decisions
242002 Revenue Targets Consolidated
2002 Target
2001 Guidance
Communications
Communications
72
74
Mobility
Mobility
28
26
.
7.5 - 7.6B
approx. 7.2B
252002 EBITDA Targets Consolidated
2002 Target
2001 Guidance
Communications
Communications
82
86
Mobility
Mobility
18
14
.
approx. 2.5B
2.475 2.525B
262002 Capex Targets Consolidated
2001 Guidance (incl. Spectrum)
2002 Target
Communications
Communications
74
62
Mobility
Mobility
38
26
.
2.1 - 2.2B
approx. 2.6B
27Consolidated Free Cash Flow
Undrawn credit facilities at end of 3Q-01 approx.
2.5B
28Consolidated 3-Year CAGR Expectation
- From 2001 to 2004
- As reported w/o Portable Subsidy1
- Revenue 10 gt10
- EBITDA 7 gt10
- Capex declining
- Consolidated free cash flow positive by 2004
1 Impact of contribution decision backed out in
all years
292002 Key Assumptions Sensitivities
- Regulatory
- Contribution assume 1.4 rate and status quo
pending review variance decision - Review of price cap regime and mandated resale
discounts - assume neutral impact - Performance of Canadian economy
- Competitive rivalry
30Consolidated 2002 Targets
- 1 includes expected negative impact of approx.
390M from regulatory decisions - 2 includes expected negative impact of approx.
230M from regulatory decisions - 3 includes 356M for spectrum licenses
31Conclusion
- Operating company attributes
- Canadian market focus - national growth
- Investing ILEC cash flow in high growth areas
- Strong underlying revenue growth expected
- Wireless, data non-ILEC operations
- Strong underlying EBITDA growth
- Combination of Mobility Communications
- Underlying double-digit 3-year CAGR growth
- Revenue EBITDA
- Current disclosure allows for Sum-of-Parts
valuation - ILEC, Wireless, Non-ILEC, Tax Shield
32Questions Answers
33For additional information
TELUS Investor Relations www.telus.com
1-800-667-4871