BASELINE OPLAN

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Agenda

• Character todays operations.
• Today s paradigm complexity
• From joint to comprehensive
• Multinationality is the rule, not the
  exception
• Strategic corporal
• Central theme NATOs transformation is more
  urgent then ever!

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High risk environment
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What (who) is the enemy

• Taliban
• hard line extremists
• local followers (FAM)
• Warlords
• remnants Mujahideen
• worse than TB and Russians
• Organized crime
• narco economy
• extortion

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Drugs
Afghanistan's biggest challenge
It is not the farmers that get rich (3 out of 4
billion went into the pockets of the traders
and manufactures). Therefore ALP and eradication
target the wrong group. We need to engage the
real problem, like it or not.
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Arson and extortion
Kosovo initial security vacuum
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1St observationIntelligence

• Full spectrum intelligence needed!
• Look at non traditional enemy
• investigate organized crime
• awareness corruption
• Requires more in depth analyses
• operational research methods
• police work
• Not so much information as knowledge is what we
  need.
• Crucial question is why??
• Non traditional enemy requires different
  approach
• investigate organized crime
• fight corruption
• Requires more in depth analyses
• operational research methods
• police work
• Intelligence is THE most critical factor
• for success in Afhganistan!

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COIN dilemmain ISAF
We are fighting on behalf of the Afghan
government. We must facilitate, resource, and
apply Afghan solutions.
Bad governance is part of the problem. We must
build, support and mentor Afghan institutions.
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Governance

• Develop human capital
• illiteracy competition
• no administration skills
• Fight corruption
• awareness
• introduce rule of law
• Training Mentoring
• army police
• administration

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5 pillars ofcomprehensive approach
Fight hard when needed
Support when possible
Everything based on intelligence
Training mentoring
Always communicate
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Consequences?

• Comprehensive approach at the tactical level
• Comprehensive approach at higher level(s)
• Commitment for long term effects
• Marshall plan!

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IO the centre piece
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2nd observationComprehensive

• Full spectrum operations
• Think through desired and undesirable effects.
• Shift focus from defeating the enemyto far less
  clear elements such as
• winning hearts mind
• building government capacities
• Develop Info Ops plan first
• Joint is easy, comprehensive is difficult
• is more than just three block war it is a
  shifting mosaic war that is difficult to
  envision as a coherent whole. (FM 3-24)

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One team one mission
Multinationality is the rule not the exception
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C2

• C2 concepts
• OPCOM, OPCON, TACOM, TACON ?
• composite HQs (training? 10 participation)
• We have 12,500 men/women in the NCS
• why do we need an ad hoc structure for
• NATOs defining mission?
• Sharing information
• intelligence sharing (4 eyes etc)
• blue force tracker
• We need to find a way to balance the need to
  secure
• information with the need to use it.

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CIS

• Great national systems but non compatible CIS
  (nothing new but urgent)
• turn chair interface
• ad hoc solutions to even tactical problems
• Soldiers will make it work, but it could be so
  much easier

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3rd observationAlliance!

• It is consultative, it is behind the scenes
  (hand shakecon)
• Based on trust and awareness (understand and
  accept sensitivities)
• Utilize available capabilities
• Utilize cultural strengths
• Multinational by design
• From Security centric to Sharing centric
• Interoperability must become THE deciding factor
  the desire to share information must become
  leading principle
• This is not a technology problem
• Communicate!
• Talk to and not about each other

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Permanent balancing act

• Building!(re)construction
• improve quality of life
• build governance
• Fighting!provide security
• develop trust in government
• fight those that deny progress

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Strategic corporal!

• Finding balance between fighting building
• Changing situations require constant adaptation
• Deal with dangerous environment
• Everything in spotlights
• Training, training, more training!

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Key transformation issue Training

• Are we trained for COIN?
• who is we (the military or all actors)
• and what about stabilization
• what are the standards
• what is the doctrine, how well is it known
• Are we trained for multinational operations?
• define (enforce?) standards (incl. duty in
  composite HQs
• language skills (speaking is not enough)
• JFTC is only 80 strong!

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Bottom line

• Why
  Balance
• Question
  builder fighter
• Transformation is now urgent
• Communitate Valemus!

If NATO is to remain our prime time venue for
Trans- Atlantic security policy in a rapidly
changing world, then this organization must
transform not only its policies, but also its
structure.
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