Title: Short Keynote
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2 WORLD CITIZENSHIP WHY AND HOW TO ACHIEVE IT
3WHY we need World Citizenship
4INCREASE IN SOCIAL INEQUITY
- Social, cultural and economic disparities are
increasing
The gap between the haves and have-nots is
growing.
5NATURE OUT OF SYNC A RANGE OF IMPACTS
Health Impacts Weather-related mortality/heat
stress Infectious diseases Air quality-induced
respiratory effects
Agriculture Impacts Crop yields and commodity
prices Irrigation demands Pests and weed
Rainfall patterns
Forest Impacts Change in forest composition Shift
geographic range of forests Forest health and
productivity
Temperature
Extreme Weather
Water Resource Impacts Changes in water supply
and timing Water quality Increased competition
for water
Sea Level Rise
Coastal Area Impacts Erosion of
beaches Inundation of coastal wetlands Costs to
defend coastal communities
Ecosystem Impacts Shifts in ecological zones Loss
of habitat and species Coral reefs threatened
6WATER SCARCITY IN 2025
7The two globes summarize computer simulations
performed by the Princeton Geophysical Fluid
Dynamics Lab. Warming under a doubling of CO2
from the pre-industrial level Warming under a
quadrupling from pre-industrial level. Under
quadrupling North hemisphere mid-continent
average warming is 15-25F (8 - 12 C)! A
roasted world.
T changes for 2x CO2
8Where are we headed? The
next 100 years compared to the last 1000
Projections of global average surface temperature
show were heading for a climatic state far
outside the range of variation of the last 1000
years. We are on the way to making the world
hotter in the 21st century than it has been in
the last million years.
scenarios to 2100 ?
9Sea-level rise has been faster than predicted
Global Sea-level rise as recorded by satellite
measurements (upper line with linear trend), with
IPCC projections (2001a) and range of
uncertainty. Source Cazenave and Nerem, 2004
10COMPLEXITY Higher far of equilibrium Lower
entropy Higher density of free energy flow Higher
structural complexity Higher organization levels
New dynamic stability on level n1with higher
complexity
TIME
Source E. Laszlo, E. Jantsch
Order by Fluctuation and Bifurcation The
creation of new and higher levels of quality,
organization and complexity Evolutionary Systems
Theory
A N
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13HOW we can achieve World Citizenship
14 WE CANT SOLVE A PROBLEM THE SAME KIND OF
THINKING THAT GAVE RISE TO THE PROBLEM Einst
ein
15Change Your Worldview
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18Ethical Frameworks
19Planetary Ethics at the Tipping Point
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21To see the world in a grain of sand And a Heaven
in a wild flower. Hold infinity in the palm of
your hand. And eternity in an hour.William
Blake
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23Sustainability Criteria
socially desirable culturally
acceptable psychologically nurturing
economically sustainable technologically
feasible operationally viable environmentally
robust generationally sensitive
24SUSTAINABIITYThe Basic Principle
- THE EARTH IS A PLANET. Therefore
- 1. It is open to energy, and
- 2. Closed to matter
- The sustainable practice is
- Use the inflow of energy, and
- Recycle matter
25Not just do less bad (Eco-Efficiency.) Do
good (Eco-Effectiveness)
Eco-Effective
High Low
Impact on the environment
Eco-Efficient
26- SOME BASIC PLANETARY SUSTAINABILITY PROJECTS
- ECO-EFFICIENT
- Reduce greenhouse gases / shield solar thermal
inflow - Stop the burning of fossil fuels in the
atmosphere - Re-forest / halt desertification
- ECO-EFFECTIVE
- Revitalize productive soils
- Derive hydrogen from seawater
- Desalinize sea water
- Develop solar energy-based power production
- Provide basic environmental information
- on the Internet
- in the public media
- in communities
- in schools
- ..
27The basic energy and matter flows
Source E. Laszlo, Evolution, 1987