Folie 1

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Elements of EFMN
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Network of Partners Correspondents
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Introduction to EFMN Briefs

• issuing periodic, analytical Foresight Briefs on
  key activities and themes
• provide overview information on recent and
  ongoing foresight exercises
• offer a show room for foresight exercises
• an opportunity for foresight practitioners to
  make their activities more widely known in the
  community
• build a knowledge database
• Addressees
• policy-makers and
• public administration
• at European (Parliament, Commission) and
• National level (Ministries, funding bodies,
  research councils)
• interested stakeholders and stakeholder
  organizations (industrial associations, NGOs)
• researchers and strategists in industry
  academic organizations

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Overview of Briefs by Topics Covered
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Quest for Additional Briefs

• All topics welcome
• Special interest in
• Portugal
• Israel
• South-Eastern Europe
• Turkey

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Production of EFMN Briefs
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Mapping Categories for All Forsights

• Methods used
• Territorial scope
• Common outputs
• Target audience
• Sponsors
• Time horizon
• Participation

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Mapping Regions

• 1. EU27 (including Norway, Switzerland and
  Iceland)
• 2. Trans-European (cases with two or more EU
  countries)
• 3. North America (Canada USA)
• 4. Latin America
• 5. Asia (Eastern, South-Central, South-Eastern
  Western)
• 6. Africa
• 7. Oceania (Australia New Zealand)

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Slovenia 5 cases mapped4 cases on levels 2
3top method DelphiMajor territorial scope
NationalMain common outputs Policy
recommendationsMain target audience Government
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Europes Top 10 Foresight Methods
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Wide Range of Foresight Uses

• 1. Assist Business and Industry Strategies
• 2. Assist Policy Decisions
• 3. Build capabilities
• 4. Build Future Visions
• 5. Contribute to Sustainable Economic
  Development
• 6. Set ST Strategies
• 7. Set ST Priorities
• 8. Promote Public Debate
• 9. Enhance Foresight Awareness and Use
• 10. Evaluate Emerging Technologies
• 11. Identify Barriers of Change
• 12. Identify Opportunities

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Climate Change Foresight (1)
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Climate Change Foresight (2)
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Climate Change Foresight (3)
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Climate Change Foresight (4)
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Foresights on Climate Change at EFMN (1)

• United Kingdom
• Scotlands Renewable Energy Potential Beyond 2010
  (2003) gvt.   Making Space for Water (2005)
  Department of Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA)  
• Climate Change and Demand for Water (2003)
  Cranfield University, ATKINS and Stockholm
  Environmental Institute   
• Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom
  (2002) Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
  and Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and
  Research  
• Coastal Defence Vulnerability 2075 (2002)
  Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory  
• Global Warming - Looking Beyond Kyoto (2005) Yale
  Center for the Study of Globalization   
• Industrial Sector Carbon Dioxide (2005) Future
  Energy Solutions and the Carbon Consortium   
• Nuclear Energy - The Future Climate (1999) Royal
  Society The Royal Academy of Engineering    

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Foresights on Climate Change at EFMN (2)

• Netherlands
• Energy technology (2000) ENGINE-programma van
  ECN   
• Turning the Water Wheel Inside Out. Foresight
  Study on Hydrological Science in The
  Netherlands (2005) Verkennings Commissie
  Hydrologie   
• Transforming the energy system of the
  Netherlands. Two visions on reaching 80 percent
  emissions reduction by 2050 (2002) Nationaal
  Onderzoeksprogramma Mondiale Luchtverontreiniging
  en Klimaatverandering (NOP)   
• Climate Options for the Long term (COOL)
  Stakeholders' views on 80 percent emission
  reduction (2002) Earthscan
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•  Energy in the 21th Century (2004) Wiardi Beckman
  Stichting  
• Sectorale CO2-emissies tot 2010 Update
  Macro-economic effects in 2020 of the Kyoto
  climate policy (2004) RIVM/ECN  

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Foresights on Climate Change at EFMN (3)
AustraliaReview of Wind Energy opportunities in
Australia and regional markets (1999) Austenergy  
Denmark The future Danish energy system  (2006)
gvt.
Finland Finland's National Adaptation
Strategy (2003) Ministry of Agriculture and
Forestry and other Ministries
United States US Energy Scenarios for the 21st
Century (2002) Global Business Network
Ireland Energy Scenarios Ireland (2005) FEASTA -
The Foundation for the Economics of
Sustainability 
India Renewable Energy Sources - Future
Prospects for Developing Countries (2004) TERI,
IPCC 
Additional information www.efmn.eu