Title: swael
1Biofuel Fact or Farce
HINNER KÖSTER (Ph.D.)
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3Cellulosic Conversion ??
- Fiber to cellulosic ethanol??
4More worries about food versus fuel
- Boosting U.S. ethanol production would mean
higher food prices, both domestically and across
the globe -
- Dick Bond, Tyson CEO
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6USA Ethanol outlook
7(25 in 2007/08)
8(Reach level in 2009/10)
9New projections baseline increase
10CBOT MARCH MAIZE PRICE
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14USA DDGS Production Outlook
15USA potential DDGS exports
Source The ProExporter Network
16Relationship between US Maize and DDGS
prices Source CARD, Iowa State University
17DDGS Usage - All used by livestock (nothing
wasted)
- Swine - 8.7 million tons
- Poultry - 6.9 million tons
- Dairy - 16 million tons
- Beef - 39 million tons
- Total - 70.6 million tons
18BIOFUELS SA
- Biofuels provide us with a historic chance to
fast-forward growth in many of the worlds
poorest countries, to bring about an agricultural
renaissance and to supply modern energy to a
third of the worlds population - Jacques Diouf, Director General UN Food and
Agricultural Organisation
19BIOFUELS SA
- LEGISLATION IS THE KEY TO BIOFUEL PRODUCTION IN
SOUTH AFRICA - NO LIKELY DIRECTION IN THE SHORT TERM
- COMPETITION WITH FOOD?
- ECONOMIC VIABILITY?
- HEALTH/ENVIRONMENTAL/ECOLOGICAL AFFECT?
- JOB CREATION, SMALL SCALE BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT,
2ND ECONOMY, POVERTY ALLEVIATION? - CONTRIBUTING TO NATIONAL FUEL SECURITY?
- PRICE, VOLUMES
20Maize-to-Ethanol Total Supply Chain Cost
Comparison (Source Absa Agribusiness / Agrista)
21SOUTH AFRICAN MAIZE CONSUMPTION
22Impact of Maize Price on Planting
Behaviour Source Safex, Crop Estimates Committee
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27YELLOW MAIZE PRICES RANDFONTEIN
Source Grain SA
28Futures prices/Termynpryse (2008/02/15) Futures prices/Termynpryse (2008/02/15) Futures prices/Termynpryse (2008/02/15) Futures prices/Termynpryse (2008/02/15) Futures prices/Termynpryse (2008/02/15)
Commodity 2008/03 2008/05 2008/07 2008/09 2008/12
White maize R1736.00/t R1655.00/t R1598.00/t R1630.00/t R1679.00/t
Yellow maize R1803.00/t R1706.00/t R1673.00/t R1717.00/t R1728.00/t
1. DOMESTIC PRICES PER SAFEX (R/t) (a) 1. PLAASLIKE PRYSE VOLGENS SAFEX (R/t) (a)
29Ethanol to DDGS
30Nutritional Components of Yellow Maize (DM base)
Starch 72.6 Maize Oil 4.3 Protein 9.8 NDF
9.0 Minerals 1.6
31Average Yield of Maize in Dry-Milling Ethanol
Production
- Ethanol (40)
- DDGS (30)
- CO2 (30)
32Ethanol Production(Fermentation process)
CO2
CDS
WDG
33Nutritional Characteristics of Distillers Grains
- Low in starch
- Moderate in fat
- Moderate in protein
- High in fiber
- High in phosphorous
34Byproduct composition (DM)
DM CP NDF Fat
- Maize 85-90 8-10 7-10 3.5-4.0
- DDGS 85-90 28-35 35-43 10-12
- WDGS 30-35 28-35 35-43 10-12
- ModDG 42-50 28-35 35-43 10-12
- CDS 25-35 20-25 gt5 20-25
- Fat level variable 8-14
- dependent on solubles amount
- S level important to watch
- P in DGS 0.75-1.0 P
35Problem 1 Lysine and Methionine content of DGS vs
other protein ingredients
36Problem 2 Nutrient Variation-Statistics for
range of DDGS samples analysed by NIR-
- Parameter Range Samples R2 SECV
- Moisture 2.8 16.9 303
0.981 0.57 - Protein 23.4 38.5 311
0.987 0.53 - Fat 6.6 12.6 124
0.913 0.40 - Ash 3.0 6.7 126
0.828 0.39 - ADF 9.9 13.9 34
N/A 0.65 - NDF 28.3 32.3 34
N/A 0.81 - Crude Fiber 5.4 8.2 34
N/A 0.54 - Starch 6.5 9.5 104
0.653 0.46
37Comparison of the Nutrient Content of Maize
Distillers Grains and Maize Condensed
Distillers Solubles
38Nutrient composition and protein digestibility of
DDGS based on solubles level
-
Solubles levela, of DDGS mix (DM) - Item 0 5.4 14.5
19.1 22.1 - DM, 95.5 92.1 90.8 89.3
89.6 - CP, 32.1 31.9 31.5
30.7 30.9 - Fat, 6.9 8.9 10.4
12.7 13.3 - NDF, 36.8 34.9 31.9 30.3
29.3 - CP Digestibilityb 97.2 97.4 97.9 97.9
97.9 - a Solubles level calculated using NDF of
solubles (2.3) and 0 solubles DDG - b In situ total-tract protein digestibility
39Nutrient Composition of DDGS8 Ethanol plants
sampled (5MN, 2SD, 1NE)
- Item NRC Mean
Range - Crude Prot. 27 - 33 30.1 26 - 36
- EE 7 13 10.5 4 - 19
- NDF 31 47 48.8 39
62 - S.R. Harty, J-M Akayezu, JgtGgt Linn and J.M.
Cassady 1998
40Which DDGS has the best Quality?
Not all DDGS are created equal
A
B
C
Nutrition
Particle size
Color
Flowability
41DDGS Varies in Nutrient Content and
Digestibility, Color, and Particle Size Among USA
Sources
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44Protein Characteristics of DDGS8 Ethanol plants
sampled (5 MN, 2 SD, 1 NE)
- Item NRC Mean Range
- Crude Prot. 27 33 30.1
26 36 -
-------- of CP------- - Soluble CP ----
9.7 1 22 - ADICP 10 23
8.0 1 19 - RUP 42 51
53.4 41 68 -
------- of RUP------- - RUP Dig. 80
82.2 72 94
S.R. Harty, J-M Akayezn, J.G. Linn and J.M.
Cassady, 1998
45Total and digestible Lysine composition () and
the color of 8 DDGS samples (as-fed basis) (JAPR
Research report)
-
- Color1
Digestible Lys - Sample L b a
() - 1 62.9 28.4
7.6 0.66 - 2 61.5 26.6
6.1 0.64 - 3 57.4 21.3
5.8 0.61 - 4 57.5 20.5
6.9 0.59 - 5 51.2 13.9
5.7 0.52 - 6 49.5 11.2
4.1 0.47 - 7 48.0 8.82
4.3 0.37 - 8 47.9 9.3
4.4 0.18
Color lightness (L), redness (a), and
yellowness (b) measured with Minolta Chroma
Meter CR-300
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47ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
48ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
Wheat Bran R1500/ton DDGS/Chop R1700/ton
49ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
Wheat Bran R1500/ton DDGS/Chop R1700/ton
50ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
Wheat Bran R1500/ton DDGS/Chop R1700/ton
51ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
Wheat Bran R1500/ton DDGS/Chop R1700/ton
52ADIN NDF Starch CP DM DM
DDGS LOW DDGS AVE DDGS HIGH
30 17 9
45 42 39
3 5 7
Wheat Bran R1500/ton DDGS/Chop R1700/ton
53DGS in Feedlots
54INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGYSelf sustaining closed loop
system environmentally friendly
Waste Management
Beef and Manure production
Ethanol and DGS Production
55DGS use in feedlots
- Inclusion lt 15 (0.9-1.4 kg) protein
- Inclusion gt 15 (1.8 kg) energy
56Studies Used - WDGS
57Average Daily Gain
ADG, lb
WDGS (DM basis)
Linear P lt 0.01
Quadratic P lt 0.01
58Feed Conversion
FG
WDGS (DM basis)
Linear P lt 0.01
Quadratic P 0.09
59Feeding Value of WDGS
Predicted Values
WDGS Level
FV Corn
10
145
Feeding Value ( of maize)
20
142
30
137
40
131
126
50
WDGS (DM basis)
60Studies Used - DDGS
61Average Daily Gain
ADG, lb
DDGS (DM basis)
Linear P lt 0.01
Quadratic P lt 0.01
Cubic P 0.54
62Feed Conversion
FG
DDGS (DM basis)
Linear P 0.07
Quadratic P 0.02
Cubic P 0.97
63Feeding Value of DDGS
Predicted Values
DDGS Level
FV Corn
10
153
Feeding Value ( of maize)
20
123
30
107
40
100
DDGS (DM basis)
64Relationship between US Maize and DDGS
prices Source CARD, Iowa State University
65Feeding value of wet vs. dry distillers grains
(Ham et al., 1995)
- WDGS DDGS
- Control Lowa
Mediuma Higha - Daily feed, kg 11.0bc 10.7b
11.5c 11.3cd 11.8d - Daily gain, kg 1.47b 1.68c
1.66c 1.68c 1.71c - Feed/gain 7.69b 6.33c
6.94d 6.76d 6.90d - Improvement (vs Control),
- Diet --
21.5 .11.9 (avg.).. - Distillers vs. Maize -- 53.8
.29.8 - aLevel of ADIN, 9.7, 17.5 and 28.8.
- b,c,d Means in same row with different
superscripts differ (Plt0.05)
66Wet Byproducts for Cattle
- Cost of transporting water
- Superior Feeding Value
Dry Byproducts for Cattle
- Storage
- Transport over long distance
67In Summary
- Ethanol industry has major influence on overall
global agricultural economy - USA exports of DDGS are rapidly increasing as end
users better understand the use of DDGS in their
feeding operations - Ethanol production process is not an exact
science, there will be variability - Variability can (should) be managed and evaluated
- Quality control measures can be implemented to
ensure a reliable supply of quality DDGS - Need industry standardized and quick testing of
DDGS - Match your needs with DDGS quality
68In Summary
- DGS low in starch
- Reduces potential of acidosis
- Highly digestible fibre (40-45 NDF) and yeast
cells (3-5) - Stimulate rumen fibre digestion
- Compliment high starch maize diets
- When fed at limited levels (lt40)
- Energy content 120-130 of maize
- Reasonable source of undegradable protein (UDP)
source - UDP quality and bioavailability could be a
problem - Feedlot cattle find DDGS very palatable
69Thank You