Redesign of the chain of economic statistics:

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Redesign of the chain of economic statistics

• STS statistics as an example

Arnout van Delden Frank Aelen Statistics
Netherlands
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Outline

• Context
• Redesign of Short Term Statistics
• Starting points
• Design
• Results so far
• Improvements longer run

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Context (1)

• Challenges to Statistics Netherlands
• Improve quality of statistics
• Reduce administrative burden
• Reduce costs staff and IT

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Context (2)

• HEcS redesign chain of economic statistics
• Increased use of administrative data
• More automated processes
• Top-down approach
• Chain management
• Architecture uniformity of processes

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Starting points STS (1)

• Background
• Growth rates of monthly and quarterly turnover
• Different branches
• Three releases s30, s60, s120
• Yearly 374 000 forms
• Yearly 274 000 forms for small and medium-sized
  units (SMB, lt 50 employees per enterprise )
• Redesign use VAT data for SMB

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Starting points STS (2)

• Requirements
• Coherence monthly, quarterly and yearly turnover
• Difference between releases of monthly turnover
• at most 1.5point
• no structural bias
• Output on time

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Starting points STS (3)

• Issues
• Monthly, quarterly and yearly reporters of VAT
• Fiscal unit nm relationship with enterprise
• First release s30, start process VAT-data s23
• Definition of VAT turnover ltgt statistical
  definition
• Detection of erroneous values
• Specific units available to estimate growth rate
  of monthly turnover (issue 1 3)

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Design (1) estimator

• Yearly growth rate (G) of monthly turnover (O)
• S stayers, B births, MI immigrants
• Motivation
• Yearly growth rates more alike than levels
• Monthly versus quarterly and yearly reporters
  (issue 1)
• Linked units versus non-linked units (issue 2)
• Early versus late reporters (issue 3)
• VAT-definition versus statistical definition
  (issue 4)

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Design (2) processing stages

• Comply with business architecture
• Value chain
• each process add value to the data
• generic structure
• Steady states
• well defined state of processing
• quality indicators
• re-use of data

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Results so far

• Requirement (1) Coherence
• Monthly, quarterly and yearly turnover consistent
• Yearly turnover VAT for both STS SBS (in
  future)
• Requirement (2) Difference between releases
• Difference still gt 1.5 point
• Editing should be improved
• Population dynamics
• Requirement (3) Publish on time
• Yes but processing time for editing is short

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Challenges

• Improve linkage between fiscal and statistical
  units
• Improve editing (issue 5)
• Good relationship with tax office
• Chain management

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Questions?