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Asymmetric Information

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Credit Rationing. Recall that the bank will charge rA ras rB ... between good and bad borrowers. As part of the process of applying for a loan, ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Asymmetric Information


1
Asymmetric Information
  • Solutions
  • In our last lecture we assumed fairly passive
  • behaviour on the part of lenders. However,
  • intermediaries exist partly because they are
  • able to effectively address information
  • asymmetry.
  • It is possible for lenders to do several things
  • in response to this problem
  • credit rationing
  • screening
  • monitoring
  • We also assumed that good quality
  • borrowers passively accept this situation. In
  • reality, these borrowers can use signaling
  • to distinguish the quality of their project.

2
Asymmetric Information
  • Credit Rationing
  • Recall that the bank will charge rAlt ras lt rB
  • when unable to distinguish good and bad
  • projects. This tends to reward bad projects
  • and penalize good ones.
  • Safe projects have a lower rate of return. So
  • ras will eliminate the profits of these projects.
  • This will leave only the risky projects in the
  • market.
  • Banks can raise the interest rate to
  • reflect the greater risk of their loan portfolio.
  • But this makes it harder for these riskier
  • projects to obtain positive profits as well.
  • The paradox is that an interest rate rise

3
Asymmetric Information
  • Credit Rationing
  • The positive effect of a higher interest rate
  • (an increase in income if the project
  • succeeds) is outweighed by the negative
  • effect (the attraction of projects with a low
  • probability of repayment.
  • At the new interest rate there will remain
  • risky projects with a low probability of
  • repayment. Thus we are in a situation of
  • credit rationing.
  • In credit markets changes in price do not
  • equalize demand and supply. Higher
  • demand bids up the interest rate, but supply
  • can remain unresponsive.

4
Asymmetric Information
  • Screening
  • Addresses adverse selection
  • This is when banks use specialized
  • information prior to lending to discriminate
  • between good and bad borrowers.
  • As part of the process of applying for a loan,
  • you fill in a detailed application form.
  • Banks can also obtain information on
  • creditworthiness from credit rating
  • companies.
  • Banks also use the pattern of deposits and
  • withdrawals to assess your credit risk.
  • Individuals and businesses are monitored in
  • this way.

5
Asymmetric Information
  • Collateral as a Screening Mechanism
  • Banks often require borrowers to pledge
  • collateral. Collateral implies that the
  • borrower will lose something of value in the
  • event of default.
  • We expect a negative relationship between
  • collateral and the interest rate. Both are
  • used to compensate for risk.
  • Suppose borrower a is low risk and
  • borrower b is high risk. Investor a will be
  • willing to accept a greater increase in
  • collateral for a given interest rate reduction
  • compared to b.

6
Asymmetric Information
  • Monitoring
  • Addresses moral hazard
  • To make sure funds are used for what the
  • bank lent them for.
  • Banks specialize in monitoring so can do it
  • at low cost (see car dealer example on
  • pg282 of handout).
  • Venture capitalists Invest in risky new
  • projects. Obtain an equity stake in the
  • company. Monitor activities of management.

7
Asymmetric Information
  • Signaling
  • Low risk borrowers are negatively affected
  • by the lack of information on the part of the
  • lender. They are penalized with a higher
  • interest rate.
  • One way of addressing this problem is the
  • use of credible signals to convey the quality
  • of the project.
  • Trustworthy signals are those that bear an
  • immediate cost to the borrower. Their
  • benefit is access to credit on less stringent
  • conditions.
  • In order to be effective a signal should be
  • costly to all borrowers, but prohibitively
  • costly to the high risk borrower.

8
Asymmetric Information
  • Collateral as a Signaling Mechanism
  • Borrowers send a signal about the quality of
  • their project by pledging collateral.
  • A borrower who is willing to give up
  • personal wealth in the event of project
  • failure is implicitly declaring that project
  • quality is high.
  • Sending this signal is costly. If project fails,
  • the borrower loses the pledged assets.
  • For riskier borrowers the signal is more
  • costly because the likelihood that they will
  • lose the pledged assets is higher.

9
Asymmetric Information
  • Internal Funds as a Signaling Mechanism
  • Similar to collateral. Borrower showing
  • confidence in his project.
  • Riskier borrowers will be less willing to
  • invest their own money relative to low risk
  • borrowers.
  • Internal funds carry an opportunity cost to
  • the borrower by investing his own money in
  • the project he loses the return he would get
  • from an alternative investment e.g. the stock
  • market or a bank deposit.
  • The bulk of investment in both developed
  • and developing countries is done with
  • internal funds.

10
Asymmetric Information
  • Contractual Clauses as a Signaling
  • Mechanism
  • Credit agreements contain a series of
  • clauses that protect the rights of the lender.
  • The acceptance of these clauses is a
  • positive signal to the bank and can result in
  • a lower interest rate for the borrower.
  • Negative clauses inhibit certain actions by
  • the company. E.g. restrictions on the
  • transfer of assets without prior authorization
  • from the bank.
  • Positive clauses state certain actions that
  • the borrower must take. E.g. periodic
  • provision of financial reports.

11
Asymmetric Information
  • Reputation
  • There are some real-world reasons that
  • would prevent borrowers from behaving in
  • an opportunistic way because of
  • asymmetric information. One of these
  • factors is reputation.
  • Being in financial distress raises questions
  • about the ability of a management team. It
  • harms their reputation.
  • Firms do not have once off projects. They
  • will require financing for a series of projects
  • over their lifetime. Need to maintain a good
  • reputation with providers of credit.
  • The threat of losing its credit line deters
  • firms with a long-term view from taking
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