Title: State%20of%20the%20Universe
1State of the Universe
- David Spergel
- Edinburgh
- October 24, 2007
2We now have a standard cosmological model
- General Relativity Uniform Universe Big
Bang - Density of universe determines its fate shape
- Universe is flat (total density critical
density) - Atoms 4
- Dark Matter 23
- Dark Energy (cosmological constant?) 72
- Universe has tiny ripples
- Adiabatic, scale invariant, Gaussian Fluctuations
- Harrison-Zeldovich-Peebles
- Inflationary models
3Thermal History of Universe
NEUTRAL
radiation
matter
r
IONIZED
103
104
z
4Growth of Fluctuations
- Linear theory
- Basic elements have been understood for 30 years
(Peebles, Sunyaev Zeldovich) - Numerical codes agree at better than 0.1 (Seljak
et al. 2003)
5Sunyaev Zeldovich
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7CMB Overview
- We can detect both CMB temperature and
polarization fluctuations - Polarization Fluctuations can be decomposed into
E and B modes
q 180/l
8ADIABATIC DENSITY FLUCTUATIONS
9ISOCURVATURE ENTROPY FLUCTUATIONS
10Determining Basic Parameters
Baryon Density Wbh2 0.015,0.017..0.031 also
measured through D/H
11Determining Basic Parameters
Matter Density Wmh2 0.16,..,0.33
12Determining Basic Parameters
Angular Diameter Distance w -1.8,..,-0.2 When
combined with measurement of matter density
constrains data to a line in Wm-w space
13Predictive Theory Motivates Precision Measurements
- COBE measurement of spectrum (1990) and detection
of large scale fluctuations (1992) - Detection of first acoustic peak (TOCO Miller et
al. 1999) - Rapidly improving ground and balloon-based
measurements (1999-2002) - First peaks (TOCO, BOOM, DASI, )
- EE (DASI)
- Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (2003)
- TT TE
14Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe
A partnership between NASA/GSFC and Princeton
Science Team
NASA/GSFC Chuck Bennett (PI) -gt JHU Michael
Greason Bob Hill Gary Hinshaw Al Kogut Michele
Limon Nils Odegard Janet Weiland Ed Wollack
Brown Greg Tucker
UCLA Ned Wright
Princeton Chris Barnes Norm Jarosik Eiichiro
Komatsu Michael Nolta
Chicago Stephan Meyer
UBC Mark Halpern
Lyman Page Hiranya Peiris Rachel Bean David
Spergel Olivier Dore Licia Verde Jo
Dunkley
15K - 22GHz
16Ka - 33GHz
17Q - 41GHz
18V - 61GHz
19W - 94GHz
20Q band V band W band
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24Fluctuations Appear to be Gaussian
- No evidence for local non-Gaussianity
- Three-point function
- Minkowski functionals
- Claims of non-isotropy in fluctuations
- Foreground contamination?
- Statistical flukes (2-3 s)
- Requires further investigation
25Consistent Cosmology
- Large-scale structure
- Cluster counts
- Weak Lensing
- Strong Lensing
- Stellar Ages
- Big Bang Nuclesynthesis (Li?)
- Hubble Constant
- Velocity Fields
- Small-scale CMB
Oguri et al. 2007
Kuo et al. 2007
Kuo et al. 2007
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27Baryon Oscillations
CMB
C(q)
Baryon oscillation scale
q
1o
Galaxy Survey
Limber Equation
C(q)
(weaker effect)
Selection function
q
photo-z slices
28Baryon Oscillations as a Standard Ruler
- In a redshift survey, we can measure correlations
along and across the line of sight. - Yields H(z) and DA(z)!
- Alcock-Paczynski Effect
29SDSS and Baryon Wiggles
- Purely geometric test
- (SDSS WMAP)
Eisenstein et al. (2005)
30SDSS-III
- SEGUE-2 (galactic photometry)
- MARVELS (multi-object exoplanet RV)
- APOGEE (R10,000 IR spectroscopy of 100,000
stars) - Baryon Oscillation Sky Survey
- Redshifts of 1.5 million LRGs (0.2 lt z lt 0.8)
over 10,000 square degrees - Lyman a absorption towards 160,000 quasars
- Instrument upgrade (higher throughput)
- Switch to LBNL 4K x 4k fully depleted chips
(red) and Fairchild chips (blue). Replace
gratings with volume phase holographic grisms.
31ADEPT
- Redshift survey of 100 million galaxies 1 lt z lt 2
- Nearly cosmic variance limited across sky
- BAO, power spectrum, general astrophysics
- Calibrates LSST redshifts, IR imaging (H 23)
- Slitless spectroscopy 1.3 - 2.0 mm Ha
- 2 mm Hawaii HgCdTe 2k x 2k chips
32ACTThe Next Step
- Atacama Cosmology Telescope
- Funded by NSF
- Will measure CMB fluctuations on small angular
scales - Probe the primordial power spectrum and the
growth of structure
33ACT COLLABORATIONS
Government Labs
Museums
Schools
united through research, education and public
outreach.
34Simulations of mm-wave data.
Survey area
High quality area
150 GHz
SZ Simulation
MBAC on ACT 1.7 beam
PLANCK
2X noise
MAP
PLANCK
35Cosmic Timeline for ACT Science
- First galaxies
- Universe is reionized
- Ostriker-Vishniac/KSZ
- Surveys of Sunyaev-Zeldovich (SZ) clusters
- Diffuse thermal SZ
Cosmic Microwave Background
- N(mass,z) Evolution of Cosmic Structure
- Lensing of the CMB
- The growth of structure is sensitive to w and mn
- Additional cross-checks from correlations among
effects
- Initial conditions for structure formation
- Extraction of cosmological parameters
now
z 1000 t 4 x 104 yrs
z 7 t 3 x 106 yrs
z 1 t 1 x 109 yrs
z .25 t 12 x 109 yrs
Primary CMB CMB Lensing
OV/KSZ Diffuse Thermal SZ Cluster Surveys
36Cross-Correlating Lensing and CMB
- CMB provides a source plane at z 1100 with very
well determined statistical properties (but
poorer statistics) - CMB Quasar Galaxy Counts will measure bias
- CMB lensing Galaxy lensing cross-correlation
improves parameter measurements by roughly a
factor of 3 (Mustapha Ishak)
CMB SN
Add Lensing
CMB Lensing
X-correlate
37Cosmology Now Has A Standard Model
- Basic parameters are accurately determined
- Many can be measured using multiple techniques
- CMB best fit now consistent with other
measurements - Mysteries remain dark matter, dark energy,
physics of inflation - Next step
- Probe Physics Beyond the Standard Model
38THANK YOU !
39Quick History of the Universe
- Universe starts out hot, dense and filled with
radiation - As the universe expands, it cools.
- During the first minutes, light elements form
- After 500,000 years, atoms form
- After 100,000,000 years, stars start to form
- After 1 Billion years, galaxies and quasars
40CMB Polarization
- Weak signal
- signal is statistical rather than a detection in
each pixel - Foregrounds
- Synchrotron (dominant)
- Dust
- Systematic Uncertainties
- Significant uncertainty in reionization redshift
- Will improve with more data
- Polarization auto-correlation
- Dt/t0.1 in 4 year data
41Polarization Measurements
- New window into Early Universe
- Gravity waves from inflation
- Reionization
- Constraints on isocurvature admixtures,
ionization history, etc. - CMB Polarization Measurements
- Upcoming WMAP release
- BOOMERANG Polarization flight
- Lots of exciting ground and balloon experiments
under development - Planck
- CMBPOL
42CMB Polarization Another Dark Energy Probe
- When combined with optical measurements, this
will enable us to cleanly measure the growth rate
of structure an independent probe of the
properties of the dark energy - Polarization lensing/ISW cross-correlation will
enable us to probe the properties of dark energy
at z5-50 -- an epoch inaccessible to other
experiments - Small scale polarization experiments point the
way towards the detection of gravity waves
43W - 94GHz
44Is the Universe Finite or Infinite?
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48Topology
49Two Torus
50Other Tilings
51Three Torus
Same idea works in three space dimensions
52Infinite number of tiling patterns
This one only works in hyperbolic space
53Spherical Topologies
This example only works in spherical space
54Dodecahedral Space
Tiling of the three-sphere by 120 regular
dodecahedrons
55Homogeneous Isotropic Universe
56The microwave background in a multi-connected
universe
57Matched circles in a three torus universe
58If the universe was finite
Cornish, Spergel, Starkman, Komatsu
59What we see in the WMAP data
UNIVERSE IS BIG!
60Conclusions
- Cosmology is in a golden age!
- Advances in technology are enabling us to probe
the physics of the very early universe and the
birth of structure - So far, the standard model appears to fit the
data, but stay tuned!
61Pen, Seljak, Turok astro-ph/974231
ACTIVE ISOCURVATURE MODELS
62Key Historical Papers
- Acoustic Peaks
- Sunyaev Zeldovich, ApSS, 7, 3 (1970)
- Peebles Yu, ApJ 162, 815 (1970)
- CDM
- Peebles ApJ 263, L1 (1982) proposed cold dark
matter - Lambda
- Gunn Tinsley (1975)
- Turner, Steigman Krauss (1984)
- Peebles ApJ 284, 439 (1984)
- Supernova papers
63Key Technological StepRevolutionary CMB Cameras
(multiplexed, filled arrays of thousands of
bolometers)
- Planning three 1024-element arrays for fine-scale
CMB on ACT the MBAC. - Propose 4000-element polarized camera for ACT to
round-out science return via lensing and
inflationary probe.
32 mm
1 mm
SHARC II 12x32 Popup Array
One element of array
64Too Many Bumps and Wiggles?
- C2 1.08 (3 probability)
- Need to include several systematic effects in
error budget - Lensing of CMB
- Beam variations asymmetries
- 1/f noise non-Gaussian contribution to 4pt
65More to Come.
- WMAP has effectively no lifetime limit
- Approved for 4 years of operation
- Improved TE EE data will significantly improve
t measurement - More accurate 2nd and 3rd peaks
- Calibrate ground-based high l measurements
- Improvements in complementary measurements (SDSS,
supernovaACS, Carnegie, NOAO)
0.30 0.20 0.10 0,00
t
0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10
ns
66Ground Based High Resolution Surveys
- Sunyaev-Zeldovich detections of clusters and hot
intercluster gas - Ostriker-Vishniac fluctuations from z5-20 from
motions of reionized gas - Gravitational Lensing of CMB
- Correlates with optical surveys, quasars
- Probes mass fluctuations along line of sight
67Too Little Large Scale Power?
- Lack of large scale power
- Seen in COBE but clearer now
- Is the universe finite?
- Are we seeing a characteristic scale?
- Is it just chance?
68LCDM Best Fit Parameters
69Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe
A partnership between NASA/GSFC and Princeton
Science Team
NASA/GSFC Chuck Bennett (PI) Michael Greason Bob
Hill Gary Hinshaw Al Kogut Michele Limon Nils
Odegard Janet Weiland Ed Wollack
Brown Greg Tucker
UCLA Ned Wright
Princeton Chris Barnes Norm Jarosik Eiichiro
Komatsu Michael Nolta
Chicago Stephan Meyer
UBC Mark Halpern
Lyman Page Hiranya Peiris David Spergel Licia
Verde
70WMAP Spacecraft
upper omni antenna
back to back
line of sight
Gregorian optics,
1.4 x 1.6 m primaries
60K
passive thermal radiator
focal plane assembly
feed horns
secondary
90K
reflectors
thermally isolated
instrument cylinder
300K
warm spacecraft with
medium gain antennae
- instrument electronics
- attitude control/propulsion
- command/data handling
deployed solar array w/ web shielding
- battery and power control
MAP990422
71WMAP Design Goal Minimize Systematics
- Differential design
- milliK thermal Stability
- Multiply linked scan pattern
- Many cross-checks possible within data set
A-B-A-B
B-A-B-A
One of 20
72June 30, 2001
73K - 22GHz
74Ka - 33GHz
75Foregrounds
- Synchrotron
- Drops off sharply with n
- Dust
- Finkbeiner Davis Schlegel template good fit
- Free-Free
- H a surveys (WHAM, VTSS, SHASSA)
- Point sources
- Measured through skewness
- Multifrequency power spectrum
- Extrapolate source counts
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77FOREGROUND CORRECTED MAP
78Angular Power Spectrum is Robust
- Same results for 28 different channel
combinations - Same results for auto and cross-correlations
- Same results for different weightings, analysis
schemes
79Temperature
85 of sky
cosmic variance
Best fit model
1 deg
Temperature-polarization
80Simple Model Fits CMB data
Readhead et al. astro/ph 0402359
81CMB BBN
- CMB measures baryon/photon ratio
- Determines D/H ratio
- Helium
- Was discrepant with CMB and D/H
- New neutron lifetime measurement removes problem
- Lithium
- Sensitive to chemical evolution of Deuterium
- Early destruction
82Model Predicts Universe Today
SDSS Tegmark et al. Astro-ph/0310723
Verde et al. (2003)
83Evolution from Initial Conditions I
WMAP team assembled
WMAP completes 2 year of observations!
DA leave Princeton
WMAP at Cape
84Evolving Initial Conditions II
Verde et al.
85Evolution from Initial Conditions III
Verde et al.
86CMB/LSS Correlation
- ISW
- Confirms dark energy effects
- Sunyaev-Zeldovich
- Trace gas pressure
- Seen in many surveys
- SDSS
- 2 MASS
- Radio sources
- X-ray sources
- APM
87Consistent Parameters
WMAPCBIACBAR All CMB(Bond) CMB 2dFGRS CMBSDSS (Tegmark)
Wbh2 .023 .001 .0230 .0011 .023 .001 .0232 .0010
Wxh2 .117 .011 .117 .010 .121 .009 .122 .009
h .73 .05 .72 .05 .73 .03 .70 .03
ns .97 .03 .967 .029 .97 .03 .977 .03
s8 .83 .08 .85 .06 .84 .06 .92 .08
88Consistency!
CMB Lensing Contaldi et al. (2003)
- Hubble Constant
- Baryon Abundance
- Lensing Amplitude
- Supernova Distance Scale
- Cluster Abundances
- Stellar Ages
- Helium Abundance
s8
W
Spergel et al. 2003
89New Questions
- Physics that we dont know (String theory,
quantum cosmology, - How did the universe begin?
- What is the dark energy?
- Physics that we dont know how to calculate
(Non-linear hydro, star formation - First stars
- Galaxy formation
90Probing the Dark Energy
- Detected only through Friedman equation
?
91How Can We Measure a(t)?
- Standard Ruler (angular diameter distance)
- CMB peak positions
- Matter power spectrum
- Standard Candle
- Supernova
- Growth Rate of Structure
- Gravitational Lensing
92ISW Effect
- Measures the evolution of the potential on large
scales - Detected through cross-correlations
- SDSS
- APM
- 2-MASS
- Radio Sources
- X-ray Sources
Nolta et al. 2005