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BT Group plc

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'Cost cutting can't go on forever' 'BT has no mobile business' ... Cash cost efficiencies of 650m 01/02 - 04/05 75% Achieved by 03/04. BT Global Services ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: BT Group plc


1
  • BT Group plc
  • Ben Verwaayen - CEO

2
Forward-looking statements - caution
  • Certain statements in this results release are
    forward-looking and are made in reliance on the
    safe harbour provisions of the US Private
    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These
    statements include, without limitation, those
    concerning cash flow, earnings per share,
    customer satisfaction and debt reduction targets
    dividend policy and intentions regarding
    increased dividend payout ratios expectations
    regarding broadband growth and revenues from new
    wave initiatives and consumer mobile the
    possible or assumed future results of operations
    of BT and/or its lines of business expectations
    regarding revenue growth, capital expenditure,
    investment for the future whilst increasing
    returns to shareholders and managing an efficient
    balance sheet and enhanced shareholder value,
    cost efficiencies and the benefits of cost/capex
    savings programmes, including the 21st Century
    Network.
  • Although BT believes that the expectations
    reflected in these forward-looking statements are
    reasonable, it can give no assurance that these
    expectations will prove to have been correct.
    Because these statements involve risks and
    uncertainties, actual results may differ
    materially from those expressed or implied by
    these forward-looking statements.
  • Factors that could cause differences between
    actual results and those implied by the
    forward-looking statements include, but are not
    limited to material adverse changes in economic
    conditions in the markets served by BT and its
    lines of business future regulatory actions and
    conditions in BT's operating areas, including
    competition from others in the UK and other
    international communications markets selection
    by BT and its lines of business of the
    appropriate trading and marketing models for its
    products and services fluctuations in foreign
    currency exchange rates and interest rates
    technological innovations, including the cost of
    developing new products and the need to increase
    expenditures for improving the quality of
    service prolonged adverse weather conditions
    resulting in a material increase in overtime,
    staff or other costs developments in the
    convergence of technologies the anticipated
    benefits and advantages of new technologies,
    products and services, including broadband and
    other new wave initiatives, not being realised
    the timing of entry and profitability of BT and
    its lines of business in certain communication
    markets significant changes in market shares for
    BT and its principal products and services to
    the extent that BT chooses to sell assets or
    minority interests in its subsidiaries,
    prevailing market levels for such sales general
    financial market conditions affecting BT's
    performance. BT undertakes no obligation to
    update any forward-looking statements whether as
    a result of new information, future events or
    otherwise.

3
More questions than answers?
Cost cutting cant go on forever
BT cant grow

The core business is under threat
BT has no mobile business
Competition and Regulation is increasing
Dividend is not high enough
4
Delivering Shareholder Value
Long term
  • Defend traditional
  • Improved service
  • Aggressive creative marketing
  • Price innovation
  • Reduce costs / improve margin

partnership
with our
customers
  • Grow New Wave
  • Broadband
  • Mobility
  • ICT
  • Global Solutions

21st
Transformation
Century
Network
Services, Relationship, Efficiency...
5
Financial summary H1
Group turnover 9.2bn 1
Earnings per share 8.5p 37
Free cash flow 1.2bn 59
Interim dividend 3.2p 42
Net debt 8.8bn 33
Before exceptional items and goodwill
6
H1 Turnover - Traditional decline / advance in
new
- 1
9.5
Total Revenue bn
9
1.2
8.5
23
1.5
New wave
New wave
8
7.5
7
8.1
6.5
7.7
6
- 5
Traditional
Traditional
5.5
5
H1 02/03
H1 03/04
New wave BT Retail and Wholesale new wave plus
Syntegra and Solutions revenue
7
Q2 Revenue by customer group
New Wave Proportion for Q2
03/04 02/03 Consumer
3 1 Business
12 9 Major Corporate 39
34 Wholesale/Carrier 7 5
8
Consumer
Access lines increased over 200k since Sep 02
Primary lines 12k Retail DSL 305k Second
lines 77k ISDN lines 39k
Net average revenue per customer household
271 up 1 year-on-year
  • rolling 12 month average net of
  • payments to mobile operators

Access lines by type
20.5m
Net average revenue per customer household
280
60
20.0m
19.5m
58
260
19.0m
56
18.5m
18.0m
240
54
Jun-
Sep-
Dec-
Mar-
Jun-
Sep-
Dec-
Mar-
Jun-
Sep-
Dec-
Mar-
Jun-
Sep-
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
00
00
00
01
01
01
01
02
02
02
02
03
03
03
02/03
02/03
02/03
02/03
03/04
03/04
Primary lines
Second lines
ISDN
Retail DSL
Traditional
New wave
contracted
9
BT Together pricing - simple and complete
Monthly Fee 2.00 8.00 19.00
Evening Weekends 6p per call No
charge No charge
Daytime 3p per minute 3p per
minute No charge
Package (customers) Option 1 (5.3m) Option 2
(1.2m) Option 3 (200k)
And great value...
plus standard monthly rental 9.50, for a
call up to an hour long, minimum charge 5p
10
Business / Major Corporate
  • Turnover flat yr on yr and vs Q1
  • Business down 4
  • Major Corporates up 1
  • driven by new wave
  • UK fixed voice minutes
  • Overall calls market down 6 yr on yr
  • Migration to new wave IPVPNs impacting
  • Calls market share down 0.8 to 41.2 since Q1

CPS growth is largelyat the expense of IA
Min (m)
800
600
400
200
0
-200
-400
-600
02/03 Q2
02/03 Q3
02/03 Q4
03/04 Q1
03/04 Q2
IA
CPS
IA CPS
And net impact reducing
11
Business Major Corporates
  • BT Business Plan - up 50
    in 3 months
  • 154k locations
  • 98k customers
  • BT Local Business update
  • 33 live BTLBs covering 500,000 customers
  • 230 sales professionals facing customers locally
  • c500m annual billed turnover now under
    management
  • Broadband / ICT
  • now have 184k broadband lines
  • New wave growth 27

Record Order intake of 5.3bn in last 12 months
including Unilever 1bn, 7yrs Royal Mail 400m,
10yrs National Bank of Australia 145m, 5
yrs and Bavarian State Government Spanish
Ministry of Public Admin Average contract term c
6yrs almost 75 is new business 15 of wins from
outside UK
12
NEW WAVE ...
  • Broadband
  • Mobility
  • ICT
  • Global Solutions

Opportunities abound
13
Broadband
  • Q2 revenues gt 100m
  • Reach extended to exchanges serving 80 of UK
    homes triggers now set for 90 of exchanges
  • DSL market share of Broadband
  • Total 52
  • Q2 adds 67
  • Orders per week gt 40,000
  • More than just access

End user connections as at 31st October 2003
1,500,000
Including OLOs Midband customers (BT estimates)
14
Mobility
  • Technology
  • WiFi over 1,700 Openzone hotspots live
  • Bluephone trials ongoing, positive progress
  • Mobile Office service for corporates offering
    converged WiFi/GPRS/PSTN/Broadband
  • Service Provider
  • Business - increasing number of Corporate
    customers
  • Consumer - launched 31/10/03, ready Christmas

15
ICT
  • Opportunities in the UK
  • 23bn market growing at 7
  • BT grew market share by 1 last year, to c10
  • Opportunities in Europe
  • 75bn market in Western Europe (ex-UK), growing
    at 9
  • BT share lt 2
  • Global Solutions (non UK) order intake c600m
    in last 18 months
  • BT is growing twice as fast as the market

16
Global Services (including Solutions)
  • Q2 Results
  • Turnover 1,381m up 5
  • EBITDA up 91 (pre leavers)
  • Operating losses cut by 61
  • Free cash flow positive this quarter (post
    leavers)
  • Recognised as a leader amongst pan European
    network operators and service providers
  • Market leading VPN growth, driven by MPLS revenues

400m
EBITDA rolling 12 months
300m
200m
100m
0m
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
(100m)
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
0m
(300m)
(600m)
Operating FCF rolling 12 months
Gartner European Data Services Magic Quadrant -
Aug03
(900m)
All numbers are post leavers
17
Costs efficiency, achieved targeted
  • BT Retail
  • - SGA (traditional) to reduce by 800m 00/01 -
    04/05
  • 800m will be reached a year early in
    2003/04
  • BT Wholesale
  • - Cash cost efficiencies of 650m 01/02 - 04/05
    75 Achieved by 03/04
  • BT Global Services
  • - European ops to EBITDA positive by Mar 03
    Achieved
  • - Ex-Concert EBITDA breakeven Dec 03
    Achieved early
  • gt 1bn further cost efficiencies over next 3
    years
  • Wholesale Process improvement
  • Netcentricity
  • Duplication Removal
  • 21C Network
  • Standardisation
  • Reduction in support costs
  • And 21CN benefits continue to accrue beyond
    2006/7

18
21st Century Network
  • What?
  • IP Centric
  • MPLS Core
  • Multi-function voice and data network
  • Why?
  • Lower Cost
  • Flexibility to Empower customers
  • Speed to market
  • How?
  • Aggregation at access network edge
  • Simplification of architecture
  • Sealed access network

19
Profits and cash during transformation
Earnings per Share Rolling 12 months
Free cash flow (before dividend) Rolling 12
months
bn
Pence
18
2.0
16
1.6
14
1.2
12
0.8
10
8
0.4
6
0.0
4
(0.4)
2
(0.8)
0
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
2002/03
2001/02
2003/04
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
FCF for 2001/02 excludes the property
transaction and includes pension payments,
demerged and discontinued activities
EPS is before exceptional items and goodwill
amortisation
20
Increasing returns to shareholders
  • Net Debt
  • Target around 7bn in 2006/07
  • Dividend policy
  • c50 pay-out ratio for 2003/04
  • Progressing to c60 for 2005/06
  • Share buy-back
  • Commence an ongoing programme
  • Funded from cash flow after debt reduction,
    dividends, acquisitions and disposals

21
Remember when ...
FRS 17 pension deficit
Debt

Global will never turnaround
No Free Cash Flow
1m Broadband a pipe dream
Low EPS
22
Transformation strategy is on track
  • From traditional to new wave
  • Network investment and process improvement to
    deliver efficiency and new services
  • Customer focus
  • Strong financial discipline
  • Broadband at the heart of BT
  • Increasing returns to shareholders

Delivering today AND investing for tomorrow
23
QA
  • BT Group plc
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