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Computational Toxicology in EPAs Office of Research and Development

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Title: Computational Toxicology in EPAs Office of Research and Development


1
STAR Mercury Program
William G. Stelz, Presenter, Acting Hg MYP Lead
Author Board of Scientific Counselors February
23, 2005
2
HG MYP RecapFrom Jan 19, 2005 Conf Call
3
Overview (The Big Picture)
  • Mercury MYP supports Agency Strategic Plan
    Multimedia/Healthy Communities and Ecosystems
    (Goal 4 )
  • MYP Research efforts guided by the Mercury
    Research Strategy published in September 2000
  • Strategy focused on reducing uncertainties
    associated with assessing and managing mercury
    risks
  • http//cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/cfm/recordisplay.cfm?dei
    d20853

4
Overview of Mercury Problem
  • The Problem
  • Mercury is present in environmental media at
    concentrations of concern
  • to human and ecological health
  • Mercury in environment has increased 2-5 times
    that of pre- industrial levels
  • Exposure pathway of greatest concern to human
    health is that of fish consumption
  • Mercury ranks first among pollutants causing
    U.S. fish advisories with 1900 fish advisories
    issued in 1999 alone number of advisories is
    increasing
  • National consumption advisories have been
    issued by EPA/FDA providing nutritional
    information.
  • ORD Response to Problem
  • ORD research focusing on providing information to
    assess and manage mercury and methylmercury
    risks. Major research themes include
  • Identify and quantify mercury sources
  • Evaluate effective mercury control strategies
  • Understand and model how mercury moves from
    sources to ecological and human receptors
  • Assess risks to ecological resources and human
    health
  • Mercury Sources
  • Mercury in U.S. originates from global,
    regional and local sources
  • EPA estimates about half of U.S. Hg deposition
    is from domestic man-made sources and about
    half is from global sources however, this
    estimate is very uncertain.
  • Point sources dominate U.S. mercury emissions
  • Combustion sources responsible for most mercury
    from point sources Another one of the
    significant contributors to mercury in the
    environment is mining.
  • Mercury Behavior and Transport (cont)
  • Everglades modeling
  • Mercury Effects
  • Human Health Effects
  • Human health concern focuses on exposure to
    methylmercury, which is a developmental
    neurotoxin
  • EPA established reference dose supported by NRC
    report (NRC 2000)
  • EPA has done some exploratory analysis to
    quantify adult cardiovascular effects associated
    with methylmercury exposures.
  • Ongoing research focuses on understanding
    neurotoxicity mechanisms and delayed responses
    from mercury exposure during development
  • Mercury Sources (cont)
  • Utility boilers are the largest
    combustion source of mercury
  • Risk management efforts currently focus on
    evaluating effective control strategies for
    combustion sources
  • Mercury Behavior and Transport
  • Atmospheric deposition is the source of
    most environmentally available mercury
  • Mercury deposition measured to
    assess relative importance of
    local vs. global sources
  • Mount Bachelor (Oregon), Cheeka Peak
    (Washington) monitoring used to a ssess
    Asian mercury sources

5
FOCUS OF MERCURY MYP RESEARCH
  • Principal Components
  • Sources
  • Control technologies
  • Environmental fate and behavior
  • Ecological/Biological effects
  • Cross-Component Activities
  • Measuring
  • Modeling
  • Monitoring

6
MYP Development
  • Agency Strategic Direction
  • GPRA goals/objectives/outcomes
  • Program/Regional science needs

Develop key science questions to be addressed by
research
  • Develop long-term goals (LTGs)
  • Identify time-frame to deliver work
  • Determine ORD role and role of others
  • Determine annual performance goals to reach LTGs
  • Identify sequence to provide results
  • Integrate research from all sources
  • Develop annual performance measures
  • Determine who will accomplish work (in-house lab
    or center or STAR research)
  • Ensure work can be done with available resources

7
Logic Model Communicating How Environmental
Research Contributes to Outcomes

8
(No Transcript)
9
Environmental Indicators
Outreach and Effective Transfer
Success will be measured by attainment of the
Clean Air Act requirements, as well as an
assessment of the magnitude of U.S. mercury
emissions by source, the health and environmental
effects of the emissions, and the cost and
availability of control technologies.
We communicate our work through peer-review
journal articles and summary reports that
formally document results transfer models,
methods, and data through workshops and
collaborative activities transfer knowledge,
data, and tools to clients and receive feedback
of client needs through workgroups and teams and
provide data to the public, the scientific and
regulated community, and to our clients through
state of the art use of the World Wide Web.
Short-Term Outcomes
Intermediate Outcomes
Resources
Research Activities
Outputs
Clients
Long-Term Outcomes
We apply our peoples expertise in health,
exposure, atmospheric/ engineering sciences with
use of our in house research facilities to expand
the state of these sciences, in combination with
extramural grants and partnerships..
.. to identify all important sources of mercury
to the atmosphere, and the physical/chemical
forms of Hg emitted, including the development
of improved models of the fate/transport of
mercury in the atmosphere and aquatic/
terrestrial systems..
to understand the processes leading to mercury
deposition from the atmosphere, develop models
capable of resolving source-receptor
relationships , promote the development of risk
management strategies based on sound science.. .
to obtain the knowledge needed by environmental
decision makers to regulate, along with the
development of technical information and data on
the performance of options to reduce emissions
from utility boilers.
.. to explore the effects, exposure, formation,
transport, measurement and control of
Hg/speciation of Hg ,in order to link results
from academic, industrial, and governmental
research..
.. transferring to OAR, OPPT, OW, OSW, OIA,
Regions, States, local organizations, electric
utilities, ORD, and the scientific and technical
communities..
resulting in improved human and ecosystem health.
LOGIC DIAGRAM FOR MERCURY RESEARCH
PROGRAM DESIGN
10
Particulate Matter
Air Toxics
Global Change
Mercury
Pollution Prevention
Human Health
Contaminated Sites
Water Quality
Ecosystem Protection
Mercury MYP influences other MYPs
11
KEY SCIENCE QUESTIONS
  • How much methylmercury in fish consumed by the
    U.S. population is contributed by U.S. emissions
    relative to other sources of mercury (such as
    natural sources, emissions from sources in other
    countries, and re-emissions from the global
    pool) how much and over what time period, will
    levels of methylmercury in fish in the U.S.
    decrease due to reductions in environmental
    releases from U.S. sources?
  • How much can mercury emissions from coal-fired
    utility boilers and other combustion systems be
    reduced with innovative mercury control
    technologies what is the relative performance
    and cost of these new approaches compared to
    currently available technologies?
  • What is the magnitude of contributions of mercury
    releases from non-combustion sources how can the
    most significant releases be minimized?
  • What are the risks associated with methylmercury
    exposure to wildlife species and other
    significant ecological receptors?

12
KEY SCIENCE QUESTIONS CONTINUED
  • What critical changes in human health are
    associated with exposure to environmental sources
    of methyl mercury in the most susceptible human
    sub-population? How much methylmercury are
    humans exposed to, particularly women of
    child-bearing age and children among
    highly-exposed population groups what is the
    magnitude of uncertainty and variability of
    mercury and methylmercury toxicokinetics in
    children?
  • What are the most effective means for informing
    susceptible populations of the health risks posed
    by mercury and methylmercury contamination of
    fish and seafood?

13
COLLABORATION AND PARTNERSHIP
  • ORDs Mercury research efforts are coordinated
    with Program, Regional offices, and States
  • OAR, OW, OSWER, OIA (International Affairs),
    OPPTS
  • EPA Mercury Roadmap
  • EPA Hg research is coordinated with other federal
    agencies
  • NIEHS, DOE, USGS, (EPA/USGS Roundtable) , DOD,
    NOAA..

14
STAR Mercury Program
CH3Hg
CH3Hg
15
MERCURY MYP SNAPSHOT
  • There are two LTGs defined in the MYP original
    had one.
  • To reduce and prevent the release of mercury
    into the environment. (LTG 1)
  • To understand the transport and fate of mercury
    from release to the receptor and its effects on
    the receptor. (LTG 2)
  • There are 12 APGs defined in the MYP 5 in LTG 1
    and 7 in LTG 2
  • Integrates ORD intramural and extramural research
    efforts through FY2010.
  • Resources approximately 5.5M and 8.0 FTE per
    year.
  • NCER RFAs address both LTGs and 6 different APGs.
  • NCER Hg Research supports
  • OAR,OW, OPPTS,OSWER
  • Agency Strategic Plan Goal 4 Healthy Communities
    and Ecosystems

16
Relationships Between APGs for Long Term Goal 1
Support development of regulations on mercury
emissions from coal-fired utility boilers by
producing data on measurement methods and control
technology performance, cost and residues that
can be readily used by OAR, OSW, States, Regions,
and industry to make informed choices on reducing
mercury risks in a cost-effective manner
FY03
FY04
Provide information on managing mercury and other
co-pollutants from utility boilers to support air
quality officials and utilities in determining
the most cost-effective approaches to reduce
emissions
FY05
FY06
Provide information and data to support
regulations from non-combustion sources of mercury
FY07
Support development of regulations on
multi-pollutant controls for coal-fired utility
boilers by producing data on measurement methods
and control technology performance, cost, and
residues that can be readily used by OAR, OSW,
States, Regions and industry to make informed
choices on reducing risks in a cost-effective
manner.
FY08
FY09
Provide information and data to support guidance,
regulations and policies for the management of
non-utility sources of mercury contamination,
including Hg stockpiles, hazardous wastes and
selected air and water sources.
FY10
Mercury Long-Term Goal 1 To reduce and prevent
the release of mercury into the environment
17
Relationships Between APGs for Long Term Goal 2
FY03
Provide an assessment of key fate and transport
issues for tracing the fate of mercury from
sources to concentrations in fish tissue.
FY04
FY05
Develop a model for tracing mercury from
deposition to concentrations in fish tissues.
FY06
FY07
Develop information on sources of mercury
emissions and the local, regional, and global
atmospheric fate and transport of such emissions
Provide risk communication methods and tools for
mercury
FY08
Assess the risks of mercury exposures to
ecological receptors
FY09
Assess the health risks of mercury exposure to
humans
FY10
Produce an integrated multimedia modeling
framework for understanding mercury fate from
source to fish concentrations
Mercury Long-Term Goal 2 To understand the
transport and fate of mercury from release to the
receptor and its effects on the receptor
18
Mercury RFAs
19

STAR 1999 Hg Solicitation
  • Research focused on Hg transport in a watershed
    context
  • Objectives and Priorities
  • To increase our ability to trace mercury from
    its entrance into the ecosystem through its
    biogeochemical cycling to the concentration of
    methylmercury in fish tissue.
  • To promote the development of risk management
    strategies based on sound science.
  • Key Science Questions
  • For a given amount of mercury transported into a
    watershed, what is the predicted concentration of
    methylmercury in fish? How do mercury and
    methylmercury spatially distribute across the
    terrestrial and aquatic components of a
    watershed?
  • What environmental and biochemical variables
    control transformation of mercury to
    methylmercury?
  • Nine grants awarded (Total dollars approx. 7M
    )

20
STAR 1999 Hg GRANTS
  • PROJECTS ADDRESS
  • What is the role of sulfur, especially in the
    form of sulfide, in mercury methylation and
    methylmercury fate and transport in watersheds?
    How much does methylmercury in ecosystems change
    in response to a change in mercury loading?
  • What are the relative importances of atmospheric,
    in-lake and wetland sources of methylmercury, and
    the role of watersheds in controlling sources,
    transport, fate and bioavailability of Hg in a
    northern temperate lake system?
  • What are the patterns of transport and
    transformations of mercury species in an upland
    northern hardwood forest through adjacent
    wetlands to the aquatic environment? And what are
    the processes and mechanisms controlling
    methylmercury concentrations and transport in
    porewater and surface water in wetlands?
  • How can we best understand the physical and
    chemical processes that control the speciation
    and distribution of Hg in mine wastes and its
    release from mine sites?
  • What are the reactions and processes controlling
    Hg emissions, cycling and bioavailability in Long
    Island Sound and its watershed/coastal water
    interface?
  • What are the parameters that control the flux of
    elemental mercury from natural waters to the
    atmosphere?
  • http//cfpub.epa.gov/ncer_abstracts/index.cfm/fuse
    action/recipients.display/rfa_id/109

21

STAR 2001 Hg Solicitation
  • Research focused on Hg emission sources,
    atmospheric processes, and deposition
  • Objectives and Priorities
  • To better understand natural and anthropogenic
    emissions of mercury to air, and the atmospheric
    processes that affect the transport,
    transformation and deposition of those emissions.
  • To develop improved models of the emission,
    transport, transformation, and fate of mercury in
    the atmosphere to estimate response to emission
    reductions.
  • Key Science Questions
  • What fraction of the atmospheric mercury
    depositing to sensitive ecosystems in the
    U.S. is emitted from anthropogenic sources within
    the United States?
  • What sources and/or source categories are most
    responsible for the atmospheric mercury
    depositing to sensitive ecosystems? What decrease
    in atmospheric mercury deposition can be expected
    from emission controls on various segments of
    domestic industry?
  • Seven grants awarded (Total dollars approx.
    5.7M)

22
STAR 2001 Hg GRANTS
  • PROJECTS ADDRESS
  • Scale and historical records of atmospheric
    mercury deposition related to human activities
    during the past 150 years.
  • Understanding whether chemical reactions in the
    Arctic and upper levels of the atmospheric cause
    changes in the composition of mercury. Also try
    to determine whether mercury from other
    countries, particularly those in Asia, is being
    deposited in the U.S.
  • Using mercury isotopes as a new way to
    investigate the natural and manmade emissions of
    mercury into the atmosphere. Isotopes will also
    be used to study the atmospheric processes that
    affect the transportation and deposition of
    mercury.
  • Developing a model to determine the impact of
    local emissions, transport, soil emissions and
    sunlight on the deposition of mercury also
    Scientists will develop a database of Hg
    emissions from natural sources, including
    vegetation and wildfires.
  • Developing a better understanding of the physical
    and chemical changes that occur to mercury in the
    atmosphere and the impacts of natural and manmade
    mercury sources on the areas where it is
    deposited and how mercury moves in ecosystems.
  • http//cfpub.epa.gov/ncer_abstracts/index.cfm/fuse
    action/recipients.display/rfa_id/297

23
Major NCER Research Activities
  • FY 04/05
  • APG - Provide an assessment of key fate and
    transport issues for tracking the fate of mercury
    from sources to concentrations in fish tissue.
  • FY 06-10
  • APG- Assess the risks of mercury exposures to
    ecological receptors
  • APG - Provide information and data to support
    regulations from non-combustion sources of
    mercury
  • APG- Develop information on sources of mercury
    emissions including the regional/global
    atmospheric fate and transport of such emissions.
  • APG- Produce an integrated multimedia modeling
    framework for understanding mercury fate from
    source to fish concentrations.
  • Major Clients OAR, OW,OPPTS,OIA, OSWER,
    Regions,States,
  • ORD- NCEA, NERL,NRMRL Other Fed Agencies,
    Utilitiesetc.

24
STAR RESEARCH ACCOMPLISHMENTS
  • Investigators at The University of Maryland and
    the Academy of Natural Sciences developed new
    analytical tools in order to examine differences
    in Hg bioavailability for methylation through
    time and space in ecosystems. This helps to
    differentiate between Hg newly deposited to
    ecosystems separately from older pools of Hg in
    sediments and soils.
  • STAR scientists at the Universities of
    Wisconsin/Madison and the University of Minnesota
    - are studying the factors that influence mercury
    levels in water and aquatic life, especially fish
    and have have shown that mixing zones, the areas
    where different types of waterbodies come
    together, provide significant pathways for
    methylmercury to enter the Lake Superior food
    web.
  • STAR researchers at the University of Connecticut
    - conducted some of the only research on the
    behavior and fate of mercury in the marine
    environment. Their work in coastal waters, such
    as Long Island Sound, confirmed the prominent
    role of mercury production and emissions in
    marine systems. They also demonstrated how
    careful documentation of Hg in coastal waters
    such as Long Island Sound can be an indicator as
    to the status and trends of Hg pollution in these
    complex environments.
  • Investigators at the University of North Dakota
    (Center for Air Toxic Metals) have developed
    real-time monitoring for elemental mercury
    emissions and a better understanding of in situ
    mercury flux and substrate speciation and have
    investigated the fate of captured trace metals to
    evaluate the usefulness of wet scrubber
    technology as a long-term viable solution for
    mercury control.

25
NERL RESEARCH ACCOMPLISHMENTS
  • Community Multi-scale Air Quality Model (CMAQ)
    simulates atmospheric processes using a
    3-dimensional grid approach to model complex
    interactions between the pollutants within each
    grid. NERL has modified the standard CMAQ model
    to simulate atmospheric mercury interactions in
    air and cloud water.
  • Everglades Mercury Cycling Model (E-MCM) was
    developed by NERL to describe the
    interrelationships between atmospheric mercury
    deposition and observed mercury distribution in
    water, marsh soil and biota. The E-MCM was linked
    to the Everglades Phosphorus and Hydrology (EPH)
    model, to relate the effects of changing
    phosphorus dynamics on mercury cycling in the
    Everglades. This linked modeling system is
    expected to describe mercury fate more
    realistically than earlier model approaches.
  • Watershed Mercury Simulation Software for TMDL
    Assessments a mercury watershed simulation
    technology developed and demonstrated to
    investigate proposed remediation and load
    reduction options. The approach links scientific
    knowledge of hydrology, sediment transport, and
    mercury cycling with recently developed GIS
    watershed software and databases. The resulting
    Grid-Based Mercury Model simulates flow, sediment
    transport, and mercury dynamics on a daily
    time-step across a diverse landscape.
  • Impacts of Atmospheric Deposition and Lake and
    Watershed Processes on Mercury Exposures of Fish
    and Piscivorous Wildlife in New England Lakes
    Concentrations of total mercury and
    methylmercury in waters and sediments were
    characterized for a representative set of lakes
    in Vermont and New Hampshire, and compared with
    mercury accumulation in fish tissue and common
    loons from those water bodies. This screening
    tool can evaluate water loading standards against
    fish tissue levels, and to identify lakes in need
    of additional fish tissue sampling.

26
STAR Mercury Accomplishments cont
  • EPAs Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR)
    Program
  • EPA SBIR Phase I and Phase II
  • Brominated B-PAC Carbon Sorbent
  • Manufacture of New Low-Cost High-Temperature
    Mercury Sorbent for Duct Injection at Electric
    Utilities
  • Sorbent Technologies Corporation, Twinsburg, OH,
    Sid Nelson Jr, President Snelsonjr_at_SorbentTechnolo
    gies.com (330) 425-2354
  • http//www.epa.gov/ncer/sbir

27
Mercury Communications
  • First RFA 1999 (Focus on Fate and Transport
    thru Watersheds)
  • Latest RFA 2001 (Focus on atmospheric chemistry
    fate and transport)
  • STAR Report on Mercury 10/2000
  • STAR Mercury Progress Reviews FY 99 Grants
  • Joint with NRMRL Workshop
  • Joint with at ACS/Div of Envir Chem Mtg
  • Final STAR Progress Review - (Nov 21, 2003 in DC)
  • Synthesis Document for First RFA 1999 -Focus on
    Fate and Transport thru Watersheds. (Near
    Completion).
  • First STAR Progress review for FY 2001
    (September, 2005)
  • Other Activities
  • Mercury Roadmap
  • BOSC currently reviewing Hg MYP
  • Next RFA Topic To Be Determined?

28
Summary
  • FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTIONS (NCER)
  • How do we strike a balance between ecological and
    health effects research?
  • Linking the different pieces and disciplines to
    form better models.
  • Further research on the source of methylmercury
    in top predators in the pelagic marine food
    chain.
  • Isolating the microbial populations (specific
    strains of bacteria) in different ecosystems that
    are responsible for Hg(II) methylation. More on
    the actual mechanism of methylation.
  • Uncertainties on the atmospheric fate and
    transport side related to reactions in the
    atmosphere that result in the oxidation of
    elemental mercury to form RGM. FY2001 grants
    will shed some light on this as well.
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