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Educational Statistics: Activities of Statisticians

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modeling of uncertainty (e.g. flipping a coin) forecasting based on suitable models ... Chevalier de Mere's gambling problems and Blaise Pascal's solutions (mid-1600s) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Educational Statistics: Activities of Statisticians


1
Educational StatisticsActivities of
Statisticians
  • Major activities in statistics involve
  • design of experiments and surveys to test
    hypotheses
  • exploration and visualization of sample data
  • summary description of sample data
  • modeling of uncertainty (e.g. flipping a coin)
  • forecasting based on suitable models
  • hypothesis testing and statistical inference

2
Educational Statistics Very Brief History
  • Chevalier de Meres gambling problems and Blaise
    Pascals solutions (mid-1600s).
  • Abraham de Moivres publication (in English) of
    his Doctrine of Chance in mid 1700s.
  • William Sealy Gossetts development of the
    formula, in the early 1900s, for the standard
    error of the mean.
  • Development of the t-test, analysis of variance,
    and non-parametric statistics in the first
    quarter of the 1900s.

3
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Statistics a set of methods, procedures and
    rules for organizing, summarizing, and
    interpreting information.
  • This is a general definition.
  • Later, a distinction between statistics and
    parameters will be made.
  • Here, it would be better to speak of statistical
    methods.

4
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Use of symbols in statistics
  • Statisticians (and statistical books) use symbols
    as shorthands for complex concepts and
    constructs.
  • Symbols are typically either Arabic or Greek
    letters.
  • For example
  • µ (the Greek letter, mu) typically represents
    the mean (arithmetic average) of a set of values.
  • s (the lower-case Greek letter, sigma) typically
    represents the standard deviation of a set of
    values.

5
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Two Types of statistical methods
  • Descriptive statistics methods used to
    summarize, organize, and simplify data.
  • Inferential statistics methods that allow us to
    make generalizations about populations based on
    data obtained from samples.

6
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Population vs Sample
  • Population all members of a particular group
    (e.g., all Appstate freshman, all males over the
    age of 21, all of the schools in NC).
  • Sample a subgroup of a population that is
    usually assumed to be representative of the
    population (e.g., 10 Appstate freshman selected
    at random).

7
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Variable any characteristic that can vary across
    individuals, groups, or objects. For example
  • Weight
  • Occupation
  • Grade-point average
  • Level of test anxiety
  • Later we will look at various types of variables

8
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Values the numerical value of a particular
    realization of a variable.
  • For instance if the variable is weight and
    Mortimer weighs 147 lbs. Then the value of the
    variable for Mortimer is 147.
  • Make sure you can distinguish between variables
    and values

9
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Parameters and Statistics
  • Parameter the value of a variable in a
    population.
  • Statistic the value of a variable in a sample.
  • Statistics are often used to estimate or draw
    inferences about parameters.

10
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Sampling error the difference between a sample
    statistic and its corresponding population
    parameter.
  • The values of sample statistics vary from sample
    to sample, even when all samples are drawn from
    the same population.

11
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • Statistical procedures are the tools of research.
  • There are several types (or methods) of research
    studies and the type of statistical procedure
    used will often vary from one type of research to
    another.

12
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • The correlational method of research.
  • Examines relationships among two or more
    variables.
  • For example What is the relationship between
    hours of TV watched per day and the number of
    calories consumed per day?
  • Note that there no cause-effect relationship is
    postulated.
  • Correlation does not imply causation.

13
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • The experimental method is used when the
    researchers wants to establish a cause and effect
    relationship.
  • The researcher manipulates one variable (the
    independent) variable, and
  • Observes (or measures) what happens to a second
    variable (the dependent variable),
  • while Controlling for all other variables
    (extraneous variables).

14
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • A quasi-experiment is similar to a (true)
    experiment except that here the independent
    variable is not manipulated by the researcher.
  • For example, in studying the effects of sex on
    mathematics achievement a researcher compares
    boys and girls (the independent variable).

15
Educational StatisticsMeasurement
  • Another tool of quantitative research.
  • Definition A rule for the assignment of numbers
    to attributes or characteristics of individuals,
    or things.
  • Eg.
  • 1 if Male, 2 if Female.
  • Score on a test.
  • A judges rating (on a scale of 1 to 10) of
    physical attractiveness.

16
Educational StatisticsScales of Measurement
  • Types of measurement.
  • The type of measurement scale has implications
    for the type of statistical procedure employed.
  • Some statistical procedures assume a certain
    level of measurement.
  • Three types of measurement can be distinguished
    nominal, ordinal, and scale.

17
Educational StatisticsScales of Measurement
  • Types of measurement nominal.
  • Coarse level of measurement used for
    identification purposes.
  • Substitutes numbers for other categorical labels.
  • No order of magnitude is implied.
  • Examples sex (male or female), student
    classification (freshman, sophomore, junior,
    senior), etc.

18
Educational StatisticsNominal-scale Data
  • Also called categorical data (or variables).
  • Represent lowest level of measurement.
  • Classify individuals into one of two or more
    mutually exclusive categories.
  • The categories are usually represented by
    numbers. Eg
  • 1 if Male, 2 if Female.
  • 1 if Democrat, 2 if Republican, 3 if Independent,
    4 if Other.
  • The numbers DO NOT indicate more or less of an
    attribute.

19
Educational Statistics Scales of Measurement
  • Types of measurement ordinal.
  • Objects measured on an ordinal scale differ from
    each other in terms of magnitude, but the units
    of magnitude are not equal.
  • The objects can be ordered in terms of their
    magnitude (more or less of an attribute.
  • Examples class rank, seeding in golf or tennis,
    percentiles, level of motivation.
  • Do not allow common mathematical opperations.
  • What about grades or GPA?

20
Educational Statistics Ordinal-scale Data
  • In addition to classifying individuals, ordinal
    scales rank individuals in terms of the degree to
    which they possess measures characteristics of
    attributes.
  • Ordinal scales allow us to compare individuals in
    terms of who has more (or) less of a
    characteristic or attribute.
  • Do NOT indicate HOW MUCH more or less.
  • Eg.
  • Class rank
  • Acrobatic competition judgments.
  • What about grades or GPA?

21
Educational Statistics Scales of Measurement
  • Types of measurement scale.
  • On an interval scale, objects are not only
    ordered by magnitude, but the distance between
    any two adjacent units is equal to the distance
    between any other two adjacent units.
  • Examples SAT scores, Celsius and Fahrenheit
    scales, developmental scale scores (e.g.,
    EOG/EOC).
  • Allow common mathematical opperations.

22
Educational StatisticsScaled Data
  • Includes both interval and ratio level scales.
  • Scale measurement yield equal intervals between
    adjacent scale points.
  • The difference between 5-6 and 6 is the same
    as the difference between 3 and 3-6.
  • The difference between an SAT-V score of 435 and
    445 is the same as the difference between a score
    of 520 and 530.
  • Most scores obtained form achievement tests,
    aptitude tests, etc. are treated as scaled data.

23
Educational StatisticsVariables
  • Any event, category, behavior, or attribute that
    can
  • take on different values, and
  • can be measured.
  • Examples
  • age type of instruction
    achievement
  • test score group assignment motivation
  • class size size of print
    creativity

24
Educational StatisticsTypes of Variables
  • Discrete and Continuous variables
  • Variables can also be described in terms of the
    types of values they can be assigned.
  • Discrete variables are categorical. No values
    between two adjacent values are permissible.
  • Continuous variables can (theoretically) have an
    infinite number of values.

25
Educational StatisticsTypes of Variables
  • Independent variables.
  • Dependent variables.
  • Attribute variables.
  • Extraneous variables.
  • Confounding variables.
  • Intervening variables.

26
Educational StatisticsIndependent Variables
  • True independent variables
  • Experimental.
  • Manipulated.
  • Controlled.
  • Quasi-independent variables
  • Naturally occurring.
  • Organic or biological.
  • Quasi-experimental

27
Educational StatisticsDependent Variables
  • Effects.
  • Outcomes.
  • Measured variables.
  • Dependent variables are functions of independent
    variables.

28
Educational StatisticsAttribute Variables
  • Characteristics or Attributes.
  • May effect the dependent variables.
  • Examples
  • age experience
  • sex attitude
  • race advantagement

29
Educational StatisticsExtraneous Variables
  • Nuisance or controlled variables.
  • Irrelevant to the focus of the study.
  • Can affect interpretation of results.
  • Examples
  • time of day sequence of events
  • side of building sex of investigator
  • age of school building current events

30
Educational StatisticsConfounding Variables
  • Extraneous variables whose effects on the
    dependent variables cannot be distinguished from
    those of the independent variable(s).
  • Usually occurs when an extraneous variables is
    correlated with one or more independent variables.

31
Educational StatisticsIntervening Variables
  • Black box variables.
  • Invented to account for internal, unobservable
    psychological processes that intervene between
    independent and dependent variables.
  • E.g. learning intervenes between teaching and
    achievement

32
Educational StatisticsContinuous Variables
  • Numerical data in research can be classified as
    either continuous or discrete.
  • Variables that can take on any of a continuously
    ordered set of values within some specified
    range.
  • Examples
  • age dogmatism
  • experience motivation
  • achievement intelligence

33
Educational StatisticsDiscrete Variables
  • Variables whose values can only be whole numbers.
  • Characterized by gaps in the measurement scale.
  • Typically represent counts of things.
  • number of children school enrollment
  • size of family number of books

34
Educational StatisticsContinuous or Discrete
Can you tell?
  • How would you classify the following variables?
    Continuous or discrete?
  • Grade Level College classification
  • Occupation Time on task
  • Actually it depends upon how these variables are
    defined.
  • What is the underlying characteristic or trait?
  • Is it continuous or naturally discrete?

35
Educational Statistics
  • The END!

36
Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
  • a
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