Title: Educational Statistics: Activities of Statisticians
1Educational StatisticsActivities of
Statisticians
- Major activities in statistics involve
- design of experiments and surveys to test
hypotheses - exploration and visualization of sample data
- summary description of sample data
- modeling of uncertainty (e.g. flipping a coin)
- forecasting based on suitable models
- hypothesis testing and statistical inference
2Educational Statistics Very Brief History
- Chevalier de Meres gambling problems and Blaise
Pascals solutions (mid-1600s). - Abraham de Moivres publication (in English) of
his Doctrine of Chance in mid 1700s. - William Sealy Gossetts development of the
formula, in the early 1900s, for the standard
error of the mean. - Development of the t-test, analysis of variance,
and non-parametric statistics in the first
quarter of the 1900s.
3Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Statistics a set of methods, procedures and
rules for organizing, summarizing, and
interpreting information. - This is a general definition.
- Later, a distinction between statistics and
parameters will be made. - Here, it would be better to speak of statistical
methods.
4Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Use of symbols in statistics
- Statisticians (and statistical books) use symbols
as shorthands for complex concepts and
constructs. - Symbols are typically either Arabic or Greek
letters. - For example
- µ (the Greek letter, mu) typically represents
the mean (arithmetic average) of a set of values. - s (the lower-case Greek letter, sigma) typically
represents the standard deviation of a set of
values.
5Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Two Types of statistical methods
- Descriptive statistics methods used to
summarize, organize, and simplify data. - Inferential statistics methods that allow us to
make generalizations about populations based on
data obtained from samples.
6Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Population vs Sample
- Population all members of a particular group
(e.g., all Appstate freshman, all males over the
age of 21, all of the schools in NC). - Sample a subgroup of a population that is
usually assumed to be representative of the
population (e.g., 10 Appstate freshman selected
at random).
7Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Variable any characteristic that can vary across
individuals, groups, or objects. For example - Weight
- Occupation
- Grade-point average
- Level of test anxiety
- Later we will look at various types of variables
8Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Values the numerical value of a particular
realization of a variable. - For instance if the variable is weight and
Mortimer weighs 147 lbs. Then the value of the
variable for Mortimer is 147. - Make sure you can distinguish between variables
and values
9Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Parameters and Statistics
- Parameter the value of a variable in a
population. - Statistic the value of a variable in a sample.
- Statistics are often used to estimate or draw
inferences about parameters.
10Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Sampling error the difference between a sample
statistic and its corresponding population
parameter. - The values of sample statistics vary from sample
to sample, even when all samples are drawn from
the same population.
11Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- Statistical procedures are the tools of research.
- There are several types (or methods) of research
studies and the type of statistical procedure
used will often vary from one type of research to
another.
12Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- The correlational method of research.
- Examines relationships among two or more
variables. - For example What is the relationship between
hours of TV watched per day and the number of
calories consumed per day? - Note that there no cause-effect relationship is
postulated. - Correlation does not imply causation.
13Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- The experimental method is used when the
researchers wants to establish a cause and effect
relationship. - The researcher manipulates one variable (the
independent) variable, and - Observes (or measures) what happens to a second
variable (the dependent variable), - while Controlling for all other variables
(extraneous variables).
14Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary
- A quasi-experiment is similar to a (true)
experiment except that here the independent
variable is not manipulated by the researcher. - For example, in studying the effects of sex on
mathematics achievement a researcher compares
boys and girls (the independent variable).
15Educational StatisticsMeasurement
- Another tool of quantitative research.
- Definition A rule for the assignment of numbers
to attributes or characteristics of individuals,
or things. - Eg.
- 1 if Male, 2 if Female.
- Score on a test.
- A judges rating (on a scale of 1 to 10) of
physical attractiveness.
16Educational StatisticsScales of Measurement
- Types of measurement.
- The type of measurement scale has implications
for the type of statistical procedure employed. - Some statistical procedures assume a certain
level of measurement. - Three types of measurement can be distinguished
nominal, ordinal, and scale.
17Educational StatisticsScales of Measurement
- Types of measurement nominal.
- Coarse level of measurement used for
identification purposes. - Substitutes numbers for other categorical labels.
- No order of magnitude is implied.
- Examples sex (male or female), student
classification (freshman, sophomore, junior,
senior), etc.
18Educational StatisticsNominal-scale Data
- Also called categorical data (or variables).
- Represent lowest level of measurement.
- Classify individuals into one of two or more
mutually exclusive categories. - The categories are usually represented by
numbers. Eg - 1 if Male, 2 if Female.
- 1 if Democrat, 2 if Republican, 3 if Independent,
4 if Other. - The numbers DO NOT indicate more or less of an
attribute.
19Educational Statistics Scales of Measurement
- Types of measurement ordinal.
- Objects measured on an ordinal scale differ from
each other in terms of magnitude, but the units
of magnitude are not equal. - The objects can be ordered in terms of their
magnitude (more or less of an attribute. - Examples class rank, seeding in golf or tennis,
percentiles, level of motivation. - Do not allow common mathematical opperations.
- What about grades or GPA?
20Educational Statistics Ordinal-scale Data
- In addition to classifying individuals, ordinal
scales rank individuals in terms of the degree to
which they possess measures characteristics of
attributes. - Ordinal scales allow us to compare individuals in
terms of who has more (or) less of a
characteristic or attribute. - Do NOT indicate HOW MUCH more or less.
- Eg.
- Class rank
- Acrobatic competition judgments.
- What about grades or GPA?
21Educational Statistics Scales of Measurement
- Types of measurement scale.
- On an interval scale, objects are not only
ordered by magnitude, but the distance between
any two adjacent units is equal to the distance
between any other two adjacent units. - Examples SAT scores, Celsius and Fahrenheit
scales, developmental scale scores (e.g.,
EOG/EOC). - Allow common mathematical opperations.
22Educational StatisticsScaled Data
- Includes both interval and ratio level scales.
- Scale measurement yield equal intervals between
adjacent scale points. - The difference between 5-6 and 6 is the same
as the difference between 3 and 3-6. - The difference between an SAT-V score of 435 and
445 is the same as the difference between a score
of 520 and 530. - Most scores obtained form achievement tests,
aptitude tests, etc. are treated as scaled data.
23Educational StatisticsVariables
- Any event, category, behavior, or attribute that
can - take on different values, and
- can be measured.
- Examples
- age type of instruction
achievement - test score group assignment motivation
- class size size of print
creativity
24Educational StatisticsTypes of Variables
- Discrete and Continuous variables
- Variables can also be described in terms of the
types of values they can be assigned. - Discrete variables are categorical. No values
between two adjacent values are permissible. - Continuous variables can (theoretically) have an
infinite number of values.
25Educational StatisticsTypes of Variables
- Independent variables.
- Dependent variables.
- Attribute variables.
- Extraneous variables.
- Confounding variables.
- Intervening variables.
26Educational StatisticsIndependent Variables
- True independent variables
- Experimental.
- Manipulated.
- Controlled.
- Quasi-independent variables
- Naturally occurring.
- Organic or biological.
- Quasi-experimental
27Educational StatisticsDependent Variables
- Effects.
- Outcomes.
- Measured variables.
- Dependent variables are functions of independent
variables.
28Educational StatisticsAttribute Variables
- Characteristics or Attributes.
- May effect the dependent variables.
- Examples
- age experience
- sex attitude
- race advantagement
29Educational StatisticsExtraneous Variables
- Nuisance or controlled variables.
- Irrelevant to the focus of the study.
- Can affect interpretation of results.
- Examples
- time of day sequence of events
- side of building sex of investigator
- age of school building current events
30Educational StatisticsConfounding Variables
- Extraneous variables whose effects on the
dependent variables cannot be distinguished from
those of the independent variable(s). - Usually occurs when an extraneous variables is
correlated with one or more independent variables.
31Educational StatisticsIntervening Variables
- Black box variables.
- Invented to account for internal, unobservable
psychological processes that intervene between
independent and dependent variables. - E.g. learning intervenes between teaching and
achievement
32Educational StatisticsContinuous Variables
- Numerical data in research can be classified as
either continuous or discrete. - Variables that can take on any of a continuously
ordered set of values within some specified
range. - Examples
- age dogmatism
- experience motivation
- achievement intelligence
33Educational StatisticsDiscrete Variables
- Variables whose values can only be whole numbers.
- Characterized by gaps in the measurement scale.
- Typically represent counts of things.
- number of children school enrollment
- size of family number of books
34Educational StatisticsContinuous or Discrete
Can you tell?
- How would you classify the following variables?
Continuous or discrete? - Grade Level College classification
- Occupation Time on task
- Actually it depends upon how these variables are
defined. - What is the underlying characteristic or trait?
- Is it continuous or naturally discrete?
35Educational Statistics
36Educational StatisticsStatistical Terms and
Vocabulary