Examples of a Probability Based Poker Strategy

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Examples of a Probability Based Poker Strategy
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• Since the odds of getting dealt a favorable hand
  depend highly on the rules of the game you are
  playing, the winning criteria for the following
  examples must be defined first. When I play poker
  with my friends, the rules are simple. The game
  is 5 card draw where each player is dealt 5 cards
  and then given the opportunity to discard up to 3
  cards for new ones. To have a winning hand, you
  must have at least a pair of jacks or better.

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• If you want a better chance of having a favorable
  hand, you should keep the K and Q because we only
  need another one of those to get a pair of jacks
  or better. In this case, there are possibly six
  cards remaining in the deck that would instantly
  produce a win (3 kings and 3 queens) if we were
  dealt one of those. We dont care what the other
  two remaining cards are, we just want one of
  those kings or queens and then we will have a
  winning hand.

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• This means that the 3 card combination we must be
  dealt that would give us the best chance of
  winning is (Any card)-(Any card)- (Q/K) which
  have respective probabilities of 47/47 x 46/46 x
  6/45 6/45 0.13333 or 13.33. (note that we
  are more likely to receive the winning card on
  the last of the 3 cards dealt than the first
  because the total amount of cards in the deck is
  smaller).

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• With a probability based strategy, the goal is to
  keep any cards that will give you the best
  overall odds of getting a favorable hand. Note
  that the examples below don't take into account
  what any other players may have in their hands
  because it is impossible to know what cards they
  are holding. This strategy works really well when
  playing against "the house" or a computer based
  dealer.
• Source http//www.pokercheatdevice.com/news/2519.
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