Title: KBC Group
1- KBC Group
- Company presentationAutumn 2005
Web site www.kbc.comTicker codes KBC BB
(Bloomberg) KBKBT BR (Reuters)
2Contact information
- Investor Relations OfficeLuc CoolNele
KindtMarina Kanamoriinvestor.relations_at_kbc.com - Surf to www.kbc.com for the latest update.
3Important information
- This presentation is provided for informational
purposes only and does not constitute an offer to
sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any
security - KBC believes that this presentation is reliable,
although some information may be condensed or
incomplete - This presentation contains forward-looking
statements with respect to our earnings
development involving assumptions and
uncertainties. The risk exists that these
statements may not be fulfilled and that future
results differ materially. - By receiving this presentation, each investor is
deemed to represent that it possesses sufficient
expertise to understand the risks involved
4Table of contents
- Company profile
- Strategy and earnings drivers
- 1H 2005 financial highlights
- Information on capital management
- Closing remarks on valuation
5Foto gebouw
1
Company profile
6Ranking in Euroland
Market cap ranking
Dec 2002
Aug 2005
Aug 2004
1 BNP Paribas (35 bn) 1 BNP Paribas (43 bn) 1 BSCH (63 bn)
2 BSCH (31bn) 2 BSCH (37 bn) 2 BNP Paribas (53 bn)
3 BBVA (29 bn) 3 BBVA (36 bn) 3 BBVA (47 bn)
4 Deutsche Bank (26bn) 4 Société Générale (30 bn) 4 Deutsche Bank (39 bn)
5 ABN AMRO (25 bn) 5 Deutsche Bank (30 bn) 5 Société Générale (39 bn)
6 Société Générale (24 bn) 6 Crédit Agricole (29 bn) 6 ABN AMRO (37 bn)
7 Unicredito (22 bn) 7 ABN AMRO (28 bn) 7 Crédit Agricole (33 bn)
8 Fortis (22 bn) 8 Unicredit (24 bn) 8 Fortis (31 bn)
9 Crédit Agricole (14bn) 9 Fortis (23 bn) 9 Unicredit (29 bn)
10 Dexia (14 bn) 10 Intesa BCO (17 bn) 10 KBC (25 bn)
11 Intesa BCI (12bn) 11 Dexia (16 bn) 11 Intesa BCI (23 bn)
12 Allied Irish Banks (12 bn) 12 KBC (15 bn) 12 Dexia (20bn)
13 Bank of Ireland (10 bn) 13 SanPaolo IMI (13 bn) 13 San Paolo IMI (18 bn)
14 KBC (9 bn) 14 Allied Irish Banks (11 bn) 14 HVB (17 bn)
15 SanPaolo IMI (9 bn) 15 HVB (10 bn) 15 Allied Irish Banks (16 bn)
16 Banco Popular (8 bn) 16 Commerzbank (8 bn) 16 Bank Austria (13 bn)
17 HVB (7 bn) 17 Erste Bank (8 bn) 17 Commerzbank (13bn)
18 Mediobanca (6 bn) 18 Bank Austria (8 bn) 18 Mediobanca (12 bn)
19 Bca MPS (6 bn) 19 Mediobanca (7bn) 19 Bank of Ireland (12 bn)
20 Bco Popular (5 bn) 20 Bca MPS (6 bn) 20 Bco Popular (12 bn)
DJ Euro Stoxx Banksconstituents
7Shareholder structure
Free float
CERA/Almancora27.1
Free float47.3
MRBB11.6
Other committed shareholders 11.7
(own shares 2.3, including ESOP hedge)
Situation as at 31-Dec-04(before merger with
Almanij)
Situation as at 30-Jun-05
- KBC is majority-owned by a group of committed
shareholders, thereby providing continuity for
the pursuit of long-term strategic goals - Core shareholders include the Cera/Almancora
Group (co-operative investment company), a
farmers association (MRBB) and a syndicate of
industrialist families
8Business portfolio
Revenue geographical breakdown(1H 2005)
Selected other markets (mostly in W. Europe)-
private banking- SME/corporate
CEE- retail bancassurance- asset management-
private banking- SME/corporate
Belgium- retail bancassurance- asset
management- private banking- SME/corporate
- KBC is a top bancassurer and asset manager in
Belgium and has successfully expanded its
operations in CEE-5, its 2nd home market. - Recently, Private Banking (69 bn AUM) has become
more of a key focus. The PB business was expanded
to include a Western European network. KBC is
also active be it rather selective in
commercial banking (mostly in W. Europe) and
financial markets.
9Top-3 player in Belgium
Individual Life
Savings deposits
Mutual funds
Market share 32 (1st)
19 (2nd ) 15 (3rd)
Non-life insurance
Mortgages
Business loans
Market share 24 (2nd) 21 (2nd)
9 (4th)
- Consolidated banking landscape (80 of market
held by top-4 banks) - Market highly receptive to cross-selling of AM
insurance products (the bancassurance model
dominates)
10KBCs presence in CEE
CEE profit contribution to KBC Group
Share of business segments in gross income, CEE
Banking
Profit contribution, Poland Profit contribution, Poland
2003 2004
-295 m 25 m
Total assets, bank 5 bn EURMarket share, bank 5 (No. 8)Market share, life 3 (No. 7)Market share, non-life 11 (No. 2) Total assets, bank 5 bn EURMarket share, bank 5 (No. 8)Market share, life 3 (No. 7)Market share, non-life 11 (No. 2)
Profit contribution, CZ SK Profit contribution, CZ SK
2003 2004
143 m 162 m
Slovakia
Total assets, bank 2 bn EURMarket share, bank 6 (No. 4)Market share, life 4 (No. 8)Market share, non-life 2 (No. 7)
Czech Republic
Total assets, bank 18 bn EURMarket share, bank 21 (No. 2)Market share, life 8 (No. 5)Market share, non-life 4 (No. 6)
Profit contribution, Hungary Profit contribution, Hungary
2003 2004
11 m 31 m
Total assets, bank 7 bn EURMarket share, bank 11 (No. 2)Market share, life 4 (No. 7)Market share, non-life 4 (No. 6) Total assets, bank 7 bn EURMarket share, bank 11 (No. 2)Market share, life 4 (No. 7)Market share, non-life 4 (No. 6)
Profit contribution, Slovenia Profit contribution, Slovenia
2003 2004
10 m 26 m
Minority stake (34)Market share, bank 41 (No. 1)Market share, life 6 (No. 5) Minority stake (34)Market share, bank 41 (No. 1)Market share, life 6 (No. 5)
11KBCs presence in CEE
Percent of towns with KBC branch
Density of KBCs branch network
- KBC Group is one of the largest international
players in the region - The density of KBCs branch network is amongst
the highest in the CEE region - Unlike the other players, KBC limits its presence
to the EU Member States (Czech Republic,
Slovakia, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia) and is
active in both the banking and insurance fields
12KBCs commercial banking network
Credit exposure
Belgium 61 bn
CEE 21 bn
Western-Euope 32 bn
Rest of the world 8 bn
TOTAL 122 bn
13KBCs private banking network
AUM
Belgium 24 bn
CEE 3 bn
Luxemburg
Switzerland 18 bn
Monaco
Spain 12 bn
Germany 5 bn
Netherlands 3 bn
United Kingdom 3 bn
France 1 bn
Italy 0.4 bn
Total 69 bn
Of which 7 bn in low-yielding assets
14Solid financial track record
Combined ratio, non-life
Cost/income, banking
In m EUR
Return on equity
Net profit growth
In m EUR
Pro forma figures, KBC Group (2003 figures are
according to B-GAAP)
15Foto gebouw
2
Strategy and earnings drivers
16Start of a new decade
- In Q1 2005, KBC merged with parent company
Almanij - Quick wins for shareholders included
- The re-rating of the KBC share due to increased
transparency, visibility and share liquidity
(analysts previously used a 10-15 discount) - Operational synergies, particularly in the field
of wealth management (programme of 75 m
recurring pre-tax result, of which ½ as from
2006) - Further value-creating potential includes
- Shifting the earnings trend in the private
banking area into much higher gear (earnings
growth to be doubled from 5 to at least 10
CAGR) - Moreover, KBC continues to be ambitious,
maintaining its performance commitments in both
Belgium and CEE
17We build a solid future
- Strategy headlines include
- Retail- and wealth-management-oriented, with
focus on Belgium and CEE-5 and selected Western
European markets - Further enhancement of efficiency (with emphasis
on - but not exclusively in - CEE and European
private banking) - Standalone basis (opportunistic operational
alliances in certain areas to generate economies
of scale, if needed) - Steady dividend growth and solid level of
financial strength/solvency - The solid growth and value outlook is reflected
in ambitious financial targets, valid until 2008
Efficiency Cost/income, banking Combined ratio, non-life max. 58 max. 95
Financial strength Tier-1, banking Solvency margin, insurance min. 8 min. 200
Value creation Adjusted ROE EPS growth (CAGR) min. 16 min. 10
18Earnings drivers in Belgium - overview
Do not underestimate the market
KBC Group is well positioned
- Consolidated banking market (80 of assets held
by top-4 players) - Savings ratio amongst highest in the world (every
year, ca. 15 of GDP flows into fin. assets) - Market highly receptive to cross-selling of AM
insurance, fueling strong growth trend in AM and
life insurance business - Strong mortgage growth trend (ca. 10 per year)
expected to continue, as residential property
price levels are still below other European
markets - Fee rates for retail banking services only 50 of
European average (gradual increase expected) - Credit quality has proven to be solid over the
cycle
- Top-3 market position, esp. strong in Northern
region (one of the wealthiest regions in the EU) - Of the top players, level of customer
satisfaction is highest - Innovative product offering in retail AM
(steadily increasing market share over the past
10 yrs.) - Still high cross-selling potential for non-life
products and well-performing bancassurance
distribution model - Further cost efficiency improvement potential,
among other things, via co-sourcing of back
offices with other banks - Well-diversified revenue structure (50 fee
income) and further increase in fee income
targeted
19Earning drivers in CEE - overview
Strong market growth momentum
KBC Group is well positioned
- Nom. GDP growth in 2005/06 at 6.3. Although
prospects have been revised due to global
economic slowdown, growth will still outgrow EMU
by 3.1 - Ongoing catch-up in product penetration
(currently, an avg. of 45 for banking accounts
and 5 for mortgages) - Mortgage volumes growing at double-digit pace (up
51 on avg. in 2004) - Financial sector could grow five-fold if
financial assets to GDP were to reach current
levels of S. Europe
- Solid market position in retail and corporate
businesses (excl. banking in Poland) with
nationwide branch networks - Competitive advantage in enhancing cross-selling
of asset management and insurance products - Well positioned in HNWI and private banking
through epb know-how - C/I still on the high side overall, inducing
further improvement, e.g., by setting up
cross-border platforms for processing
transactions - Adequately provisioned balance sheet (risks under
control) - Availability of capital within the Group
20Strong growth fundamentals in CEE
Financial services (banking insurance) in of
GDP (2004)
(Source Vienna Institute for International
Economic Studies)
21Bancassurance fueling CEE earnings
Results are encouraging
- Now the model is in place
- Transfer of product know-how and streamlining of
business processes and IT systems - Implementation of KBCs distribution model and
setting up of sales incentives and adequate sales
approach - Unified management responsibility (joint
management committee of bank and insurance) - competitive advantage relative to other CEE
players
Cross-sell rates2004 CZ HU PL SK BE
Consumer loanXLife 83 50 100 94 67
Mortgage loan XLife 45 50 100 75 67
Mortgage loanXProperty insurance 54 71 42 30 50
22Growth in AM fueling CEE earnings
- KBC is well positioned
- Strong appetite for risk-free investments in
the market (money-market, capital-guaranteed
funds), fully in line with KBCs core
competencies and successful track record in
Belgium - Cost/AUM below average (around 16 bps vs. 20 bps
for Europe) - competitive advantage relative to other CEE
players
- Results are encouraging
- AUM grew in 04 by 25. Continued high growth
expected in coming years (CAGR of 15-20 in
mutual funds and 10-15 in pension products) - Via the funds business, new customers are
recruited. Existing customers using deposits to
buy funds replenish deposit accounts after one
year
Market share 2003 2004 1H05 Trend
CZ 19 22 26
HU 8 9 11
SK 6 7 8
SLO - 8 10
PL 3 4 4
23Centralized processes reducing costs
- Example 1 card transactions
- Centralized purchasing processing of
- 7.5 million cards
- 500 million transactions
- Reduced costs driven by
- Standardized technology anticipating future
developments (SEPA) - Economies of scale
- Example 2 cross-border payments
- Centralized processing of cross-border
transactions (also open for third-parties) - Reduced costs driven by
- Standardized technology anticipating future
developments (SEPA) - Economies of scale
cost/trans.
0.12
0.10
100
0.08
90
0.06
80
0.04
0.02
0.00
-
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
million transactions
24Mid-term financial outlook, CEE
RWA CAGR Net profit CAGR Loan-loss ratio Cost/Incomeratio
Banking 10 15 10 15 lt 0.50 lt 60
Premium income CAGR Net profit CAGR Combined ratio
Insurance 15 25 25 - 35 95
25Private banking in higher gear
Core business an integrated private banking
business in selected European markets focusing on
clients with gt1m of investable assets
- Dual brand strategy network-led vs. independent
boutique - Growth drivers network trade-up, extension of
product offer and hiring of private bankers
- Integrated network of local pure-play private
banking brands (boutique style) - Priority of reducing costs by creating synergies
in a central hub (IT, operations, support) - Growth drivers increased share of wallet, hiring
of PB managers and opportunistic MA
- Small today (2 bn AUM), but high market growth
expected (gt15 p.a.) - Strengthening a network-led model, leveraging
Belgian experience
- Low-growth market
- Focus on profitability (leveraging the hub)
- If possible, steer repatriated assets to KBC
onshore - No expansion, except in IFAs with short payback
Opportunistic acquisitions may imply investments
of 150-250 m per year
26Private banking in higher gear
Changing market environment
KBC Group is well positioned
- Strong relationship-based approach, open
architecture concept, KBC AMs sound product
expertise and solid capability for tailor-made
solutions - Greatly improved efficiency (implementation of
large scale rationalization programme), to be
further boosted by the realization of merger
synergies within the enlarged KBC Group - Leveraging the network in Belgium
- Local private banking brands with status/heritage
in Germany, Spain, Netherlands, UK and Belgium - Unique model attracting experienced private
bankers from big banks
- Shift in customer preference towards greater
sophistication open architecture, alternative
investments, financial planning, accessibility
and Internet delivery - However, the core needs of customers will remain
the same (trusted personal relationships,
status/exclusivity, investment performance)
27Operational synergies in private banking
The merger of KBC and Almanij allows to realise
synergies by reducing costs and cross
selling.The total benefit amounts to 75 m euro
(pre-tax) per year as of 2009 (50 to be realised
as of 2006).
Type of benefits
Source of benefits
m
Securities
m
Payments
Securities
Revenue(40)
Fin. Markets
Corporate
Insurance
Asset Management
Cost (60)
ICT Overheads
Cross sales
Newbusiness
Pro-cure-ment
People
Costsavoided
Total
Optimi-zation
Synergy benefits defined as peak recurring
annual increase in pre-tax bottom-line result
(2009 - peak level)
28Private banking, financial projections
In total, KBC Group projects 10 net income
growth per year until 2008
KBC Group Forecasts KBC Group Forecasts KBC Group Forecasts KBC Group Forecasts
2004 2004 2008 Forecasts
AUA (bn) KBL EPB 44
KBC PB 14
Total 58 83
2004 2004 2008 Forecasts
Net Income (bn) KBL EPB 205
KBC PB 50
Total 255 380
Cost Income Ratio 67 55
AUA Growth AUA Growth AUA Growth
Belgium CAGR 14
Onshore W. Europe CAGR 10
Offshore W. Europe CAGR 0
CEE CAGR 15
Total AUA Growth CAGR 9
Net Income Growth
CAGR 10
Excluding any future acquisitions
This assumes normal market conditions
29Foto gebouw
3
1H 2005Financial highlights
30Financial highlights - At a glance - Group
financial performance - Headlines per segment FY
2005 profit outlook
Foto gebouw
311H 2005 at a glance
- Net profit at 1 253 m, up 55 y/y, generating a
return on equity of 20 - Underlying profit (excl. one-offs) growing at 34
- Comparison of individual P/L lines with pro forma
2004 figures distorted by application of IFRS
32/39 and IFRS 4 as of 2005 - Strong business volume growth (deposits / loans /
AUM / insurance) generating strong commission
income (23) and offsetting impact of flattening
yield curve on net interest income - AUM reaching the 170 bn EUR level (o/w 69 bn in
private banking) - Further downtrend in expenses - cost/income ratio
(banking) at 57 - Sustained low combined ratio, non-life (94)
- Very low credit-risk provisioning (loan-loss
ratio at 0.06) - High levels of return in most business segments,
especially in Belgian retail (29) and in CEE
(54) - Outlook for 2005 remains positive
32Solid business growth
30 June 2005 Customer loans o/w mortgages Customer deposits(banking) Life deposits(insurance) AUM(asset management)
Outstanding 108.7 bn 30.7 bn 167.8 bn 14.9 bn 170.5 bn
Growth, Ytd 7 10 7 11 11
Belgium 7 8 5 10 15
CEE 3 16 15 15 20
Rest of world 7 15 7 - 5
Note Growth trend, excl. (reverse) repo
activity, from 31-Dec-04 to 30-Jun-05
33Profit trend, 1H 05
1H 2004pro forma 1H 2005 1H/1H 1H/1Hexcl. one-offs
Gross income, net of technical insur. charges 3 919 4 163 6 2
Expenses -2 373 -2 313 -3 -6
Operating result 1 545 1 850 20 15
Impairments -242 -57 -76 -76
Associated companies -39 33 - -27
Net profit 810 1 253 55 34
C/I, bankingCR, non-lifeROE 619314 579420
- Notes
- One-offs include the disinvestment loss at Agfa
Gevaert (net bottom-line impact of 80 m) in Q2
2004, the write-back of of provisions for
operating expenses after a legal settlement (net
48m) in Q2 2004, the income related to the
settlement of a historic Slovakian loan (net
68 m) in Q1 2005, the non-recurring value
gains on shares of Irish insurer FBD (net 68m)
in Q1 2005 and merger-related expenses (net 13m)
in Q2 2005 - All 2004 figures exclude impact of IAS 32/39 and
IFRS 4
34Profit trend, Q2 05
2Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 2Q/2Q 2Q/1Q
Gross income, net of tech. charges 1 917 2 127 2 035
Expenses -1 105 -1 104 -1 209
Operating result 812 1 024 826 2 -19
Operating result, underlying 739 851 846 15 -1
Impairments -90 -15 -42
Associated companies -60 21 13
Net profit 434 717 536 24 -25
Net profit, underlying 465 581 550 18 -5
- Notes
- One-offs include the disinvestment loss at Agfa
Gevaert (net bottom-line impact of -80m) in Q2
2004, the write-back of of provisions for
operating expenses after a legal settlement (net
48m) in Q2 2004, the income related to the
settlement of a historic Slovakian loan (net
68 m) in Q1 2005, the non-recurring value
gains on shares of Irish insurer FBD (net 68m)
in Q1 2005 and merger-related expenses (net 13m)
in Q2 2005 - All 2004 figures exclude impact of IAS 32/39 and
IFRS 4
35Financial highlights - At a glance - Group
financial performance - Financial headlines per
segment FY 2005 profit outlook
Foto gebouw
36Solid revenue trend
- IFRS reclassfications distort comparison with
2004 (among other things, non-recognition of
unit-linked insurance premiums) - Q1s solid trends continued in Q2
- NII volume growth almost offsetting q/q NIM
contraction - High level of life insurance premium income (1.2
bn - mostly unit-linked, in line with stock
market performance) - Strong commission line (410 m)
- Down 693 m y/y, mainly due to non-recognition of
1.1 bn new unit-linked premium volume under IFRS
2005 - Apart from one-offs (136 m in Q1), solid revenue
quality - NII volume growth almost offsetting negative
impact on NIM from flattening yield curve (-13
bps) - High level of life insurance premium income (2
bn) - Strong commission line (23)
37NII trend, banking activities
1H 05 (y/y trend)
38Impact of IFRS on NII / FV income
1H 05 IFRS, as reported
1H 04 1H 05
NII 1 961 2 122 8
FV income 415 225 -46
Total 2 376 2 348 -1
- Main impact from IFRS
- Reclassification of interest income on hedging
derivatives from NIM to FV income (? 175m) - Negative impact of FV adjustments on financial
instruments (-70m)
1H 05, adjusted for comparison
1H 04 1H 05
NII 1 961 1 947 -1
FV income 415 470 13
Total 2 376 2 417 2
Remark simplified - only the mentioned main
IFRS-adjustments are used
39Impact of IFRS on Life income
1H 05 IFRS, as reported
1H 04 1H 05
Premium income, life 1 910 892 -53
Fees, investments w/o DPF - 32 -
Technical charges, life -1 945 -983 -49
Financial income 160 259 62
Total 123 197 61
- No recognition of premium income and technical
charges of investments contracts without
Discretionary Participationt Feature (mostly
unit-linked life products) - Margin recognized as fee/commission income
- Remark no bottom-line impact !
1H 05, adjusted for comparison
1H 04 1H 05
Premium income, life 1 910 1 963 3
Fees, investments w/o DPF - - -
Technical charges, life -1 945 -2 025 4
Financial income 160 259 62
Total 123 197 61
40Competitive landscape in Belgium
Net Interest Margin, KBC Bank, Belgium
Spreads on new mortgages (bps), KBC, Belgium
0.88
0.76
0.48
0.41
- In 1H 05, NIM was stable y/y at 2.0 .
- In Q4 04 and Q1 05 the (obviously lagging) effect
of the flattening of the yield curve was offset
by the improved product mix (shift to
low-yielding liquid savings deposits in
anticipation of an interest rate hike). In Q2 05,
customers switched to long-term investments,
anticipating deposit rate cuts (-25 bps as of Q3
03). - Volume growth (deposits/loans) was strong in
Belgium, further boosting NII - Since mid-2004, credit spreads have seen a
significant deterioriation as a result of
increased price competition. Currently, pricing
rationality is tending to be restored.
41Competitive landscape in Belgium
Change in retail market share since the beginning
of 2004 (avg. deposits and loans), proxy
Source Febelfin (market sample)Includes
consumer loans, mortgages, saving accounts and
saving certificates
- In 2004, the large banks, representing gt80 of
the market, lost roughly 1 market share to the
benefit of smaller players. But from 1H05, this
trend seems to be on the wane. - KBC has been able to keep its market share stable
(and may have further increased its market share
in unit-linked insurance and probably mutual
funds).
42Sustained favourable y/y cost trend
-3
- As expected, cost level up q/q due to
- Elimination in Q2 of underusage of IT and
marketing budgets of ca. 20m in Q1 (time lag) - Higher income-related staff costs (? 27 m esp. at
KBC Financial Products) - Restructuring costs (20 m) and one-off
merger-related costs (20 m) - Y/y trend Q2 04 includes write-back (73 m) of
provision for operating charges (after legal
settlement)
- Ytd expenses down 3, mainly driven by (a) cost
cutting in Belgium and (b) lower staff
profit-sharing bonuses (esp. at KBC Financial
Producs) - Cost/income, banking, down from 61 to 57
43Historic low impairment level
-76
- Impairments down 185 m (-76) on the back of
limited credit risk and solid equity markets - Loan-loss ratio down from 0.20 in FY 04 to 0.06
- Impairments on investments limited to 16 m versus
130 m in 1H 04
- Q2 impairments remain at historic low
- Q2 includes 5 m impairment on goodwill at KBL
France
LLR Avg loans FY 04 1H 05
Belgium 58.3 0.09 0.03
CZ/Slovakia 10.7 0.26 0.00
Hungary 5.4 0.64 0.93
Poland 3.9 0.69 0.00
International 40.2 0.26 0.09
Total 118.5 0.20 0.06
44Excellent underwriting result, non-life
- Combined ratio at 94 on the back of
- Sound risk management (claims ratio at 64)
- Good cost control (expense ratio at 30)
- Favourable claims environment on all markets
- Q2 sligthly higher q/q, mainly for seasonality
reasons
C/R FY03 FY04 1H05
Belgium 93 92 93
Czech Rep. 102 99 93
Slovakia 146 138 116
Hungary 103 98 86
Poland - 95 97
R/I 100 98 90
Total 96 95 94
45Financial highlights - At a glance - Group
financial performance - Financial headlines per
segment FY 2005 profit outlook
Foto gebouw
46Segment structure
KBC Group NV
KBCInsurance
KBCAM
KBL epb
Gevaert
KBCBank
Primary segmentation by business segment
47Key points, business segments
BANKING
Net profit (in m)
- Banking
- Q2 05 result at 314 m
- Good top-line mix, commissions particularly
strong, not boosted by gains and trading income,
NII almost stable despite flatening yield curve - Higher costs after the very low Q1 level (see
above) - Impact of one-offs in y/y and q/q comparison (see
below) - 1H 05 profit at record level of 784 m, driven by
- Strong commission income (21)
- Strict cost control (C/I at 57 incl. AM)
- Limited credit cost (0.06 bp)
- One-off income related to settlement of historic
Slovakian loan (net 68 m) - Insurance
- Q2 05 results in line with Q1 (though high gains
in Q1), due to - Record level of sales of life products (1.2 bn)
- High dividend income (86 m)
- Slightly better claims result
- 1H 05 results increasing to 246 m on the back of
- High sales of life insurance (2 bn euro)
- Excellent underwriting performance (CR, non-life,
94)
784
699
564
2Q05
2Q04
4Q04
1Q04
1Q05
3Q04
Pro forma IFRS 2004
IFRS 2005
INSURANCE
246
Net profit (in m)
119
2Q05
3
4Q04
2Q04
1Q05
3Q04
1Q04
Pro forma IFRS 2004
IFRS 2005
48Profit trend, banking segment
Impact of one-off items
Segment banking 2Q 04 1Q 05 2Q 05 2Q/2Q as stated 2Q/2Qexcl. one-offs 2Q/1Q as stated 2Q/1Qexcl.one-offs
Gross income 1 400 1 513 1 373 -2 -2 -9 -3
Expenses -816 -807 -878 8 -1 9 9
Operating result 585 706 495 -15 -3 -30 -18
Net profit 367 470 314 -14 -2 -33 -22
Net profit, underlying 319 402 314 -2 -22
- Notes
- One-offs include the write-back of of provisions
for operating expenses after a legal settlement
(net 48m) in Q2 2004 and the income related to
the settlement of a historic Slovakian loan
(net 68 m) in Q1 2005 - All 2004 figures exclude impact of IAS 32/39 and
IFRS 4
49Key points, business segments
ASSET MANAGEMENT
- Asset management
- AUM in 1H 05 up 16 to 97 bn (2/3 due to new
money inflows) - 1H 05 profit contribution at 126 m, 16 m y/y
(driven by increased AUM) - Note total AUM within the Group 170 bn
- Asset management segment 82 bn (3rd party) 15
bn (group assets) - Banking segment 24 bn (mostly private and HNWI
assets in Belgium and CEE) - European private banking segment 50 bn (o/w 46
bn of private banking customers) - European private banking
- 1H 05 profit contribution at 94 m, up 28 m y/y
and down 12 m q/q (due to restructuring
provisions) - Top-line at high level (partly due to M2M of
financial instruments) with sustained growth
trend of commission income - Private banking AUM in 1H 05 up 8 to 50 bn
- Cost/income at 67
- No relevant impairment charges
Net profit (in m)
126
119
109
2Q05
4Q04
2Q04
3Q04
1Q05
1Q04
Pro forma IFRS 2004
IFRS 2005
EUROPEAN PRIVATE BANKING
Net profit (in m)
94
66
8
2Q05
2Q04
1Q04
3Q04
1Q05
4Q04
Pro forma IFRS 2004
IFRS 2005
50Key points, business segments
Net profit (in m)
GEVAERT
- Gevaert
- 1H 05 profit contribution of 63 m (remember that
in 2Q 04, discontinued activities weighed on the
P/L at 80 m) - Revenue shored up, among other things, by M2M
according to IFRS standards of private equity
portfolio in 1Q 05 (15 m) and by gains on
disposal of listed equity holdings in 2Q 05 (30
m) - 1H 05 profit contribution from Agfa-Gevaert 14
m - Holding company
- 1H 05 net holding company results at -59 m, quite
high due to - One-off costs in Q2, related to Almanij-KBC
merger (20m) expenses for existing stock option
plan at KBL and external advisory services - Elimination of received dividends on own shares
(IFRS 2005) (9 m) - Costs of debt related to minority buy-out of KBL
- Debt funding will be gradually reduced in future
36
63
-48
2Q05
4Q04
3Q04
1Q05
1Q04
2Q04
Pro forma IFRS2004
IFRS 2005
Net profit (in m)
HOLDING COMPANY
-40
-59
-19
1Q04
3Q04
1Q05
2Q04
4Q04
2Q05
Pro forma IFRS 2004
IFRS 2005
51Segment structure contd.
2
KBC Group NV
1
KBCInsurance
KBCAM
KBL epb
Gevaert
KBCBank
Retail
Business customers
CEE
Markets
European private banking
1 . Primary segmentation by business segment 2.
Additional breakdown by area of activity
Gevaert
52Retail Belgium and CEE
- Retail Belgium
- Q2 somewhat lower q/q due to lower banking
revenue (partly seasonal) and higher taxes (less
exempted gains) - 1H 05 net profit of 539 m, 320 m more than 1H 04
- sound revenue growth (esp. related to
savings/investments and mortgages) - sustained cost discipline (-4)
- strong non-life underwriting performance
- absence of credit provisioning and normalization
of value impairments on the investment portfolio
(impairments ? 148 m) - Private banking sub-segment contributes 32m in
1H 05 - 1H 05 ROAC at 29 (pro forma FY 04 22)
- CEE
- Q2 on same (high) level as Q1 (except 68 m
one-off in Q1) - 1H 05 profit contribution of 312 m - ROAC at 54
(pro forma FY04 27) - In CZ/Slovakia 1H 05 profit contribution of 219
m (incl. one-off of 68 m in Q1). The negative
effect of lower interest rates is compensated by
higher volumes. Sound growth of insurance
business. - Hungary further positive trend of operating
results, but somewhat higher loan-loss provisions
(LLR 0.93, similar to that of major peer). 1H 05
profit at 20 m. - Poland 1H 05 profit contribution of 62 m, (incl.
deferred taxes of 9 m in Q2) due to sound cost
trend, growing insurance business and absence of
loan losses)
RETAIL BELGIUM
Net profit (in m)
539
435
2Q05
219
2Q04
4Q04
1Q05
1Q04
3Q04
Pro forma
CEE
Net profit (in m)
312
164
2Q05
126
4Q04
2Q04
3Q04
1Q04
1Q05
Pro forma
53SME and wholesale activities
Net profit (in m)
- SME/corporate
- Strong profitability trend of 2004 continues as a
result of - Low credit provisions (LLR 1H 05 0.21)
- High cost efficiency (C/I 36)
- Solid technical result from reinsurance (C/R 90)
- 2nd quarter profit level slightly lower than
average of previous quarters due to lower revenue
and higher taxes - 1H 05 ROAC at 20 (pro forma FY04 19)
-
- Capital markets
- 2Q 05 profit contribution continues to be at
level registered in previous quarter, but below
record high of 1H 04 (when exceptionally fine
results were booked in derivatives) - 1H 05 earnings amounts to 106 m (-23 y/y).
Income from convertibles equity derivatives
trading was particular weak. Equity brokerage and
structured credit business brought about a result
improvement. - 1H 05 ROAC at 28 (pro forma FY 04 34)
SME/CORPORATE
225
226
204
2Q05
2Q04
4Q04
1Q05
1Q04
3Q04
Pro forma
CAPITAL MARKETS
Net profit (in m)
137
106
96
2Q04
2Q05
4Q04
1Q05
1Q04
3Q04
Pro forma
54Financial highlights - At a glance - Group
financial performance - Financial headlines per
segment FY 2005 profit outlook
Foto gebouw
552005 profit outlook
- KBC continues to be positive on its strategy in
the various business lines - Banking costs are expected to decrease in 2005
- There are no signs of any substantial decline in
credit quality or in underwriting performance,
non-life - The interest rate and stock market environments
remain factors of uncertainty - KBC has already set a mid-term objective of gt10
CAGR EPS growth - On the basis of the solid 1H 05 earnings and the
prevailing view regarding the relevant economic
and financial parameters, KBCs 2005 net profit
is expected to exceed the10 growth level,
amounting to more than 2 bn euros
56Financial highlights - At a glance - Group
financial performance - Financial headlines per
segment FY 2005 profit outlook Additional
information
Foto gebouw
57Solid business growth
Customer loans o/w mortgages Customer deposits Life deposits AUM(off-balance)
Outstanding (in bn) 108.7 30.7 167.8 14.9 170.5
Growth, 2Q 05 3 6 3 7 4
Belgium 4 4 2 7 5
CEE - CZ/Slovakia - Hungary - Poland 4530 98125 566-5 832716 12102412
Rest of the world 1 9 4 - 0
Growth, Ytd 7 10 7 11 11
Belgium 7 8 5 10 15
CEE - CZ/Slovakia - Hungary - Poland 364-4 1615227 152110-3 1512468 202268-4
Rest of the world 7 15 7 - 5
Note growth trend excl. (reverse) repo activity
58Group income statement, 1H 2005
(in m euros) Banking Insurance AM KBL epb Gevaert Holding Group
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realised gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income 1 80706712163605223 2661 707864144-14829 -107811841 7907822120633 -2031437049 -3000-40-2235 2 1221 707169225265839330
Gross income 2 887 2 088 199 429 101 200 5 660
Operating expensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated companies -1 685-34-3410017 -254-20-1-18- 1464-330 -30000000 -287-501002 -421110015 -257000000 -2 313-57-34-16-1 464-3333
Profit before taxes 1 185 316 169 137 75 -57 1 826
Income tax expense Minority interests -306-96 -66-4 -430 -39-4 -12-1 -20 -469-104
Net profit 784 246 126 94 63 -59 1 253
Excl. intrasegment eliminations
59Areas of activity overview, 1H 2005
(in m euros) Retail CEE SME/Corp. Markets KBL epb Gevaert Total
Banking and AM
Gross incomeOperating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit group share 1 288-7347-1780383 925-526-7-71-41282 508-183-34-840208 410-235-2-670106 429-289-5-39-494 3 515-2 004-39-415-1001 003
Insurance
Gross income (- techn. ch.)Operating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit group share 373-156-15-46-1155 131-83-1-10-730 47-15-4-10017 591-254-20-66-4246
Holding Co
Net profit group share 63 3
Group total
Net profit Group shareShare in group resultROAC 5394329 3122554 2251820 106828 94816 63511 1 25320
Excl. non-allocated results
60Group income statement, 2Q 2005
(in m euros) Banking Insurance AM KBLepb Gevaert Holding Group
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realised gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income 91004951628474 13697876938-6710 -10440961 410538191069 002-634026 -1400-300130 1 0749781359297410118
Gross income 1 373 1 180 105 217 56 112 2 904
Operating expensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated comp. -878-36-382006 -131-40-4-852-170 -15000000 -153-4-11001 -22211006 -149000000 -1 209-42-380-852-1713
Profit before taxes 465 176 90 60 42 -37 797
Income tax expense Minority interests -109-42 -48-4 -220 -18-1 -110 -40 -212-48
Net profit 314 124 68 41 31 -41 536
61Areas of activity overview, 2Q 2005
(in m euros) Retail CEE SME/Corp. Markets KBLepb Gevaert Total
Banking and AM (incl. KBL)
Gross incomeOperating expensesImparimentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit group share 629-363-6-910170 403-273-2-11-16101 250-89-21-45095 235-142-2-38053 218-155-4-18-141 1 696- 1 048-40-149-42422
Insurance
Gross income - tecbn. ch. Operating expensesImpairmentsIncome tax expenseMinority interestsNet profit group share 159-82-3-35074 70-420-4-419 22-70-806 313-131-4-48-4124
Holding Co
Net profit group share 31 -10
Group total
Net profit Group share 244 121 101 53 41 31 536
Excl. non-allocated results
62Group earnings, quarter by quarter
(in m euros) 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05
Net interest incomeGross earned premium, insuranceDividend incomeNet gains from FI at FV Net realised gains from AFS assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income 9951 27525224193357106 9661 40412119160324113 9109013912393323128 9631 57746187157399132 1 04872934133168429215 1 0749781359297410118
Gross income 3 175 3 178 2 517 3 462 2 756 2 904
Operating expensesImpairments - o/w on loans and receivables - o/w on AFS assetsGross technical charges, insuranceCeded reinsurance resultShare in results, associated companies -1 269-152-33-119- 1 169-520 - 1 105-90-74 -12-1 240-22-60 -1 147-44-15-18-771-1234 -1 424-79-76-2-1 454-2928 -1 104-153-16-612-1721 -1 209-42-380-852-1713
Profit before taxes 602 662 577 504 1 030 797
Income tax expense Minority interests -170-55 -177-51 -155-57 -35-29 -256-57 -212-48
Net profit 376 434 365 440 717 536
63CEE, company overview
CEE
1H 2005 (in m EUR)
CSOB
KH
KB
NLB
Insurance
547 207 149 12 131 Gross income
-265 -142 -113 -83 General expenses
6 -25 12 -1 Impairments
-61 10 9 -10 Taxes
227 30 57 38 Standalone profit
7 -6 -4 -1 Adjustments, o/w elimination of yield on excess capital, etc
-24 -10 -8 -7 Minority interests
210 15 45 12 30 Profit contributionto Group
83 17 42 31 Return on allocated capital
64CEE banking - I/S details, 1H 2005
1H 2005 CSOB KB KH NLB
Statutory accounts Net interest incomeDividend incomeNet gains from financial instruments at fair valueNet realised gains from available for sale assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income 252 1975 63144 8666 496114 291123 249 101 62918417 312-1 14822 6488 659 107 76712750 139-19142 9186 490
Gross income 546 730 149 283 207 251
Operating expensesImpairmentsShare in result of associated companiesTaxes -265 0166 1690-60 971 -113 08212 143988 618 -142 048-25 1781 369-10 989
Net statutory profit 226 911 57 061 30 405
Profit contibution to Group Net statutory profitConsolidation adjustmentsResults of capital allocationMinority interests 226 91118 758-11 586-23 609 57 061-949-3 295-7 644 30 405-940-4 870-9 971
Profit contribution, Group shareROACROI 210 4748326 45 1724214 14 6241711 11 731
65CEE banking - I/S details, 2Q 2005
2Q 2005 CSOB KB KH NLB
Statutory accounts Net interest incomeDividend incomeNet gains from financial instruments at fair valueNet realised gains from available for sale assetsNet fee and commission incomeOther income 128 3132 11825 9552 17756 5988 801 51 2161845 803-2 6116 4215 298 54 29011424 864-14118 3383 845
Gross income 223 961 66 311 101 309
Operating expensesImpairmentsShare in result of associated companiesTaxes -142 6221 5970- 7 434 -53 72412 11809 950 -73 645-15 5090633
Net statutory profit 75 502 34 174 9 559
Profit contibution to Group Net statutory profitConsolidation adjustmentsResults of capital allocationMinority interests 75 502-299- 6 377-6 106 34 174- 440-1 267-4 406 9 559-443-213- 1 695
Profit contribution, Group share 62 721 28 060 7 208 3 308
66No. of shares outstanding
BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) BASIC NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions)
Ordinary shares Mandatory convertibles Treasury shares Basic No.of shares Avg. quarter Average Ytd
31/12/03 367.7 2. 6 -11.0 359.4 - -
31/03/04 367.0 2. 6 -10.1 359.6 359.5 359.5
30/06/04 366.3 2. 6 -9.7 359.2 359.4 359.5
30/09/04 366.3 2. 6 -9.5 359.4 359.3 359.4
31/12/04 366.4 2. 6 -9. 6 359.5 359.5 359.4
31/03/05 366. 4 2. 6 -12.6 356.5 358.0 358.0
30/06/05 366. 4 2. 6 -9.1 360.0 358.3 358.1
DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions) DILUTIVE NUMBER OF SHARES (in millions)
Basic No. of shares Stock options Convertible bonds Dilutive No. of shares Avg. quarter Average Ytd
31/12/03 359.4 6.1 5.2 370.7 - -
31/03/04 359.6 6.1 5.2 370.9 370.8 370.8
30/06/04 359.2 6.0 5.2 370.5 370.7 370.8
30/09/04 359.5 5.8 5.2 370.5 370.5 370.7
31/12/04 359.5 5.0 5.2 369.7 370.1 370.5
31/03/05 356.5 5.0 5.2 366.7 368.2 368.2
30/06/05 360.0 4.0 5.2 369.3 368.0 368.1
Net profit 1H 05 (in m) 1 253
Basic number of shares 358 122 942
Dilutive number of shares 368 084 650
Basic EPS (in euros) 3.50
Dilutive EPS (in euros) 3.42
67Foto gebouw
4
Information on capital management
68Capital position
Capital position Capital position Capital position Capital position
Available capital 1 Surplus capital 2 Immediatefree surplus 3
Banking 10.7 bn 2.1 bn 1.5 bn
Insurance 2.8 bn 1.2 bn 0.4 bn
Gevaert 1.2 bn 1.0 bn 0.4 bn
Total 14.7 bn 4.3 bn 2.3 bn
Internal capital budget requirements Internal capital budget requirements Internal capital budget requirements Internal capital budget requirements
Deleveraging of the holding company Deleveraging of the holding company Deleveraging of the holding company 0.4 0.6 bn
Buy-out of 3rd parties in CEE Buy-out of 3rd parties in CEE Buy-out of 3rd parties in CEE 0.8 1.3 bn
External growth in CEE External growth in CEE External growth in CEE 1.0 2.0 bn
1 Regulatory capital under Basel I/Solvency I
(incl. hybrids and minority interests, after
elimination of intangibles and goodwill),
based on capital position as at 30-Mar-05 2
Difference between available capital and internal
minimum level 3 Surplus capital excl. expected
adverse IFRS impact on Tier-1, banking (as of
2006), unrealized gains on tied-up assets
(insurance) and value of Agfa-Gevaert (timing of
disposal uncertain)
69Foto gebouw
5
Closing remarks on valuation
70Valuation
Valuation relative to peer group
- Key figures
- Share price 66.6 euros
- Net asset value 40.0 euros
- 1H 2005 EPS 3.50 euros
- Analysts estimates 1
- 2005 EPS consensus 5.97 (33 y/y)
- 2006 EPS consensus 6.24 (4 y/y)
- 2005-06 P/E 10.9
- Recommendations
- Positive 42
- Neutral 42
- Negative 16
weighted P/E 2005-06 unweighted P/E 2005-06
CEE banks 2 15.0 15.1
CEE-exposed banks 3 11.6 12.4
Euro-zone banks 4 11.5 12.4
KBC 1 10.9 10.9
BEL banks 5 10.3 10.4
Weighted and unweighted averages of IBES data 2
OTP, Komercni, Pekao, BPH PBK, BRE 3 BA-CA,
Erste, Unicredit, Soc. Gen., Intesa BCI 4 Top-20
DJ Euro Stoxx Banks 5 Fortis, Dexia
Situation as at 18 August 2005
5 Smart consensus collected by KBC (18 estimates)
71Analysts recommendations