Title: Indigenous victims of violent crime
1Indigenous victims of violent crime
- Lucy Snowball and Don Weatherburn
- NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research
2Structure of presentation
- The problem of Indigenous violence
- Theories of Indigenous violence
- Aims and methods of the present study
- Bi-variate results
- Multivariate results
- Conclusions and policy implications
3Background
- In 2002, 25 of Australias Indigenous population
experienced some sort of violent assault in the
preceding 12 months - This is double the rate for Indigenous
Australians back in 1994 - Also much higher than the recorded rate for the
population as a whole
4Relative rates of violent offending in NSWATSI v
general population
Source NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and
Research
5Theories of Indigenous violence
- Cultural theory
- Sutton 2001 Contemporary Indigenous violence
largely reflective of traditional Indigenous
cultural values - Anomie theory
- Reser (1990), Hunter (1993), Langton (1989)
Dispossession, cultural exclusion cause loss of
self-esteem and feelings of powerlessness,
particularly among Indigenous men
6Theories of Indigenous violence (cont.)
- Social disorganisation theory
- RCIADIC (1991), Memmot et al. (2001)
Dispossession, forced removals, discrimination,
undermine traditional Indigenous informal social
controls (i.e. family, kinship networks) - Social deprivation theory
- Devery (1999), Walker and McDonald (1995), Gale
(1990) Indigenous violence a reflection of
Indigenous economic and social disadvantage - Lifestyle/routine activity theory
- Pearson (2001) Hughes and Warin (2005)
Indigenous violence caused by alcohol abuse and
passive welfare dependence
7Past research
- There is some evidence to support most of these
theories - The risk of violent assault/victimisation is
higher for those who - Are poor or unemployed I
- Have been exposed to social stress
- Live in a crowded household
- Have been removed or had relatives removed from
their family - Have a disability or long-term health condition
- Are high risk alcohol consumers
- Live with other householders who have been
arrested
Sources Hunter (2001) Al-Yarman et al. (2006)
8However..
- Hunter (2001)
- Was reliant on the NATSIS, which had few relevant
predictor variables and - No direct measure of violent victimisation
- Al-Yarman, Van Doeland Wallis (2006)
- Used the NATSISS but only looked at limited
number of predictor variables and - Only carried out bi-variate analyses
9Aims of the present study
- To assess the relative importance of variables
drawn from - Cultural theory
- Social disorganisation theory
- Social deprivation theory
- Lifestyle/routine activity theory
- As predictors of violent victimisation
- Anomie theory excluded because no relevant
variables except gender of victim
10Data Source
- 2002 NATSISS
- Representative sample survey of 9,359 Indigenous
persons aged ? 15 from 5,887 households across
Australia in 2002-2003 - Eighty per cent fully answered the questionnaire
and another 14 per cent partially answered it
11Research strategy
- Use the 2002 NATSISS to construct measures of
- Strength of traditional social norms
- Social disorganisation
- Economic and social disadvantage
- Lifestyle/routine activity theory
- Build a logistic regression model using these
measures to see which exert the strongest
independent effects on risk of violent
victimisation
12Measures of key constructs
- Adherence to traditional culture
- Gender, whether respondent identifies with a
clan, tribal or language group or speaks an
Indigenous language, difficulties speaking
English, whether the respondent lives on
homelands, location. - Social disorganisation
- lone parent, high mobility, experience of stolen
generation, level of involvement in social
activity - Economic and social disadvantage
- Unemployment, financial stress in previous 12
months, social stress, early school leaving,
household crowding, number of dependent children,
first charged as a child - Situational factors
- Neighbourhood or community problems, abuse of
drugs, high risk alcohol use, physical or
intellectual disability, access to a motor
vehicle, residence with a person who has been
formally charged. - Other controls
- age
13Bivariate resultsCultural theory
14Bivariate results Social disorganisation theory
15Bivariate results Social deprivation theory
Not significant at 5
16Bivariate resultsLifestyle/routine activity
theory
17SummaryAll factors significant except
- Gender
- Location
- Measures of Indigenous culture
- Level of education
- Access to a motor vehicle
- Number of dependents
18Results regression analysis
19Results marginal effects
20Results Compounding effect of risk factors
21Conclusions
- Strong support for lifestyle/routine activity
theory - Moderate support for social disorganisation/social
deprivation theory - No support for cultural theory
- Need an integrated theory of Indigenous violence
22Caveats
- Cross sectional study (difficult to infer
causation from correlation) - I D variables refer to different time periods
(must assume present conditions existed in the
past) - No measures of some key variables (lack of
self-esteem, depression, cultural norms etc) - No substance abuse data for remote areas (may
have weakened our measure of its effects)
23Policy implications
- Policy to reduce Indigenous violence should be
multifactorial - Particular emphasis needs to be given to
strategies that reduce Indigenous alcohol
consumption (e.g. restrictions on availability,
volumetric taxation) - Also need to give attention to measures that
reduce social stress and improve economic and
social outcomes (e.g. CDEP employment, funding
for Indigenous education)