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Tohono Oodham Nation Monsoon Climatology George Ackerman

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... variables for prediction of onset & intensity. NARR dataset was very useful. More research is needed to identify variables to predict onset and intensity ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Tohono Oodham Nation Monsoon Climatology George Ackerman


1
Tohono Oodham Nation Monsoon ClimatologyGeorge
Ackerman
2
Purpose
  • Develop monsoon climatology for TON
  • Identify variables to predict onset and
    intensity

3
  • Monsoon start
  • The word monsoon
  • How the monsoon develops
  • Subtropical Ridge moves north
  • Wind shift from westerly to southerly/easterly
  • Moisture inflow / surges
  • Convective thunderstorms

4
TON Location Map
  • Generations
  • Traditional crops
  • Tepary, 60 d corn
  • Runoff agriculture
  • Diabetes
  • Return to diet
  • Return to Runoff
  • Clim help Ag
  • Study Location

5
Data
  • North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) DVD,
    1979-2002, daily and monthly
  • Monsoon onset dates from Marlow, daily data
  • Antecedent (mam) dataset, monthly data
  • Monsoon onset /- 30,60,90 day composite dataset,
    daily data

6
Methodology
  • Climatology- onset dates, composite dataset
    Grads were used
  • By using the monsoon onset date
  • Also maps were constructed showing correlation
  • MAM and TON

7
Climatology Relative Humidity
Time series
8
Climatology Precipitation
Time series
9
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13
Tmp2m correlation
14
Tmp2m onset correlation
15
Summary
  • Developed pre monsoon and monsoon climatology for
    the TON
  • Examine the 1984 wet year compared to the
    climatology
  • Examine antecedent variables for prediction of
    onset intensity
  • NARR dataset was very useful
  • More research is needed to identify variables to
    predict onset and intensity
  • Talk to the elders about monsoon
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