Geopolitics of Energy Security

1
Geopolitics of Energy Security

• Focus EU / Germany finite supply of fossil
  fuels (and uranium).
• From 2050 oil / only to produce important
  plastics? Reduced number of suppliers from
  instabil regions with state-controlled oil / gas
  producers
• "Green Book" of the EU- Commission 2006 with
  focus on a "clearly defined external energy
  policy" (for sustainable, competitive and secure
  energy supply) and pan-European Energy Community
  with polit. concept for backup and
  diversification of energy supplies (of energy,
  suppliers and transport routes) was necessary,
  because energy policy get in ever sharper form
  geostrategic importance (in industrialized
  countries for the transport sector) .
• The report Wegweiser Nachhaltigkeit(Directions
  sustainability) of the federal government will
  provide renewable raw materials are often the
  only alternatives to fossil fuels.
• Military aspects It's about "securing an
  inexpensive, sufficient and reliable energy
  supply" (Rudolf Adam, header of the Federal
  Academy for Security Policy at the trade session
  of the BDI Presidial Group "international
  commodity issues" 30.3. 2006) The White Paper of
  the Bundeswehr 2006 securing the supply of
  raw materials and energy infrastructure as a
  military task (see also in NATO papers) -gt more
  in this study IMI 2008 / 02

2
Geopolitics of Agrofuels

• Classification Prof. Altvaters forecast
  classification of the "end of capitalism as we
  know it" because of the increasing scarcity of
  fossil fuels. Now, through agro-fuels
  reproduction of this model of production and
  consumption with serious global impact on climate
  and ecolog. - and social system
• Agrofuels and their In their intended production
  expansion to an famous future energy
• geopolit. Effects - introduce new
  inter-relationship of forces on a global level
  (after the geopolitics of access to fossil energy
  sources) -gt North-South relationship,
  privatization immediate living conditions, Big
  Factories, the distribution of consumption,
  migration, transport routes, military
  confrontation
• - Deepen the model of the agrobusiness
  (combination of monocultures, Biotech, Agro-
  gifts, financial capital, export economy) and the
  industrial agriculture
• Henry Kissinger Control the oil and you
  control nations, control the food and you control
  the people."

3
Latin America(LA) and Brazil (geostrat.)
importance for agrofuels

• Brazil since 1970s, sugar cane and increasingly
  for production of soya Agroflues (75 of all cars
  equipped) U.S. With 70 of global ethanol
  production, production as cheaply as anywhere in
  Brazil, know how of many years in the
  corresponding engine
• First own needs and independence of oil costs and
  high oil prices, now aim of the government Lula,
  in some years 10 of the world's fuel consumption
  needs. (Breaking into new regions Cerrado,
  Amazon and Pantanal with risks for ecosystems,
  regional food security and conflict over
  agricultural reform)
• By Heiligendamm process of integrating Brazil,
  China, India, Mexico and South Africa (with
  observer status). Brazil now comes the
  advertising to drum Agrofuels as
  Development-/Export-Model for countries of the
  South
• Under the IBSA (India Brazil South Africa
  Dialogue Forum) and the G20 Brazil takes decisive
  influence on WTO negotiations (through
  multi-institutionalization of a global player
  rather than a leader of the Mercusur?)
• Argentina Soy (monoculture and farmers- dying in
  Chaco, among other things, debt for industrial
  use of transgenic soya) Paraguay soy (80 with
  transgenic Roundup Ready soybeans from Monsanto)
  Colombia oilpalms (the highest energy output
  per cultivated land) and sugar cane and cassava

4
Ethanol Alliance United States - Brazil

• After the failure of the neo-liberal project FTAA
  now with the agreement on ethanol between Bush
  and Lula in 2007 starting the attempt to
• - the reduce the dependence on oil (especially
  Iran and Venezuela)
• - restore a new strategic integration axis to LA
  
• - stop the growing influence of Venezuela in LA
• - creating a "ethanol - OPEC" to control the
  price and
• - creating a global market agroenergetically
  trade goods
• U.S. desire (with the Memorandum of
  Understanding, 9.3. 2007), a strategic alliance
  to strengthen, at the same time to isolate the
  anti-US policies of Venezuela, Cuba and other
  LA-countries.
• agrofuels also means Political divisions over LA-
  Integration Brazil, Colombia ... against Cuba /
  Venezuela and get in conflict with proposed
  agricultural reforms (Thomas Fritz, agro energy
  in Latin America)