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Institutions 1

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Self-reinforcing beliefs that shape ... Political institutions and their interaction with economics ... work of Posner on C te d'Ivoire vs. Burkina-Faso. Ex. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Institutions 1


1
Institutions (1)
  • Laws, Rules, Internalized Norms, Beliefs,
    Dispositions? (North ? Greif ? Bourdieu)
  • Self-reinforcing beliefs that shape behavior
    (Greif)
  • Internalized norms of reciprocity and cooperation
    inter-cultural variation (Bowles, Fehr
    Gintis)
  • Political institutions and their interaction with
    economics (North, Wallis Weingast / Acemoglu
    Robinson)

2
Institutions (2)
  • Institutional change? ? Evolutionism
  • Functionalism (adaptation to)
  • Structuralism (structure persistence and path
    dependence)
  • Exogenous shocks (colonization, globalisation,
    charismatic leader, religious innovation)
  • Endogenous evolution (beneficial reciprocity and
    cooperation norms, learning by doing)

3
Inequality and politics (1)
  • Political inequality and economic inequality
  • Acemoglu et al. on Colombia
  • Bates on Kenya vs. Ghana
  • Influential economic groups (e.g. landowners) may
    compensate for the detrimental impact of
    political rapacity/nepotism (e.g. biased against
    agriculture)
  • But difficult to disentangle economic and
    political influence should be very much
    correlated, if only due to the effect of
    political power on economic advantage
  • Ex. of elite capture in Ecuador Decentralized
    choice of pro-poor (latrines) vs other
    (pro-elite) projects

4
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6
Inequality and politics (2)
  • Caste, religious and ethnic fragmentation and
    public goods (this sessions papers)
  • However
  • Fragmentation is not exogenous
  • Identification to varies with political and
    economic context and also with individual
    position (peoples opium?)
  • Top ? Bottom policies may counteract segregation
    or fragmentation effects, as well as political
    mobilization

7
Micro data and national institutions
  • Comparisons at borders
  • Ex. Miguel (presented in this session)
  • Forthcoming work of Posner on Côte dIvoire vs.
    Burkina-Faso
  • Ex. Cogneau et al. work on West Africa To what
    extent do national averages reflect national
    idiosyncrasies?

8
National idiosyncrasies in West-AfricaWest
African borders Pre-colonial setting
9
Teachers per inhabitants, 1910-1930
averageHuillery, 2006
Colonial districts 1925 map of Afrique
Occidentale Française
10
Post-colonial national borders
11
Border regions of Côte dIvoire
12
100 kilometers band
13
Border sample sizes
14
Border averages 100 km bandXConstant ? D
100 km
15
National idiosyncrasiesCounterfactual
experiments (1)
  • Outcome Y (1-C) Y0 C Y1
  • ATE E(Y1 -Y0)
  • (i) Unconfoundedness
  • C independent from (Y0,Y1) conditional on Xx
    for all x ? ?
  • (ii) Overlap
  • 0 lt Pr(C1 Xx) lt 1 for all x ? ?
  • LATE E(Y1 -Y0 x ? ? )

16
National idiosyncrasies at bordersCounterfactual
experiments (2)
  • ? D 100 km
  • (i) C is independent from (Y0, Y1) for D 100 km
  • (ii) 0 lt Pr(C1) lt 1 for D 100 km
  • E(Y1 -Y0 D 100 )
  • E(Y C1, D 100) - E(Y C0, D 100)
  • Heterosketastic clustering of surveys
  • Controls E(Y C, X) m0 (m1- m0) C X a
  • National and international migration bias

17
Linear regression discontinuity
18
Geographical controls
19
Adding migrants
20
Education (1) Côte dIvoire vs Ghana
21
Education (1)
Education(2) NorthernBorders
22
Children education and health
23
Living standards Utilities
24
The British and the French (1)
  • 5 countries Ghana Uganda / Côte dIvoire,
    Guinea Madagascar
  • Bossuroy Cogneau 2 former British colonies
    display lower level of educational and
    occupational mobility (both inter- and intra-
    generational)
  • A large part of the ? can be traced back to the
    colonial legacy of spatial structures
  • ? more migration, increased access to education

25
Occupational Mobility
Occupational mobility in the life cycle
(intra-generational)
26
Occupational Mobility
Intergenerational mobility between agriculture
and other sectors
27
The British and the French (2)
  • Cogneau Mesplé-Somps ? in social mobility
    partially translate in inequality of opportunity
    in income
  • But earnings structures (income dualism) also
    carry a large weight ? politico-economic dualism
    (with also some colonial connections)

28
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