Improving Decision Making for Results

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Improving Decision Making for Results
The Role of Ex Ante Poverty Impact Assessment
Third International Round Table MfDRHanoi,
February 2007 Wolf M. Dio, GTZPOVNET Task Team
Leader Ex Ante Poverty Impact Assessment
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PIA framework and modules
PIA Modules
Risks
Assess Improvements to MDGs plus
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Assess Enhancement to capabilities
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Determine transmission channels
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R E S U L T S C H A I N
Information quality and gaps
Analyse Institutions Stakeholders
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Determine Design Interventions
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Country Assistance Strategies
National Strategies / Plans
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PIA pilot applications Lessons learned

• PIA pilot applications in
• India, Vietnam, Kenya, Cambodia, Honduras,
  Zambia (Bangladesh, Bolivia, Mali, Senegal
  forthcoming)
• Donors involved in PIA pilot applications
• France, Germany, Netherlands, Sweden,
  Switzerland

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PIA pilot applications Lessons learned

• PIA helps to
• understand stakeholders and institutions that
  influence and are influenced by an intervention
• understand the importance and inter-relationship
  of specific transmission channels through which
  changes are transmitted to the stakeholders
• assess the likely positive and negative outcomes
  for stakeholders taking into account
  multi-dimensionality of poverty

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PIA pilot applications Lessons learned

• PIA helps to
• 4. assess the reliability of data/information and
  knowledge gaps
• 5. provide a framework for improving baseline
  data and monitoring the impact hypothesis during
  implementation and inputs for ex post evaluations
• 6. formulate recommendations for decision makers
  on how the intervention might be improved

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PIA pilot applications Lessons learned

• Take care that
• 1. it is not used as a box-ticking exercise
• 2. decision makers and stakeholders
  are adequately involved in the process
• 3. you depart on a full-fledged analysis (PSIA),
  in case information gaps and/or risks are too
  large
• 4. it is not seen as a merely technical exercise,
  loosing sight of political dimensions

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PIA pilot applications Lessons learned

• Challenges ahead
• Scaling up experiences
• Appropriation and institutionalization by donors
  and partners
• Capacity development of staff of operational
  departments of donors, partner agencies, local
  research institutions and consultants

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Summing up Key Messages

• To manage for results, appropriate approaches for
  ex ante assessments and analysis are as relevant
  as monitoring and ex post evaluation
• PIA provides a focussed process to look at
  poverty-relevant consequences of interventions
• PIA and PSIA are complementing approaches with
  specific comparative advantages
• Scaling up experiences, institutionalization and
  capacity development are key for the future

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• Thank you for your attention
• For more information
• www.oecd.org/dac/poverty wolf.dio_at_gtz.de